Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $2.5B · ISIN US83001C1080
What is Six Flags Entertainment Corporation really worth?
Below-average quality, trading 60% below our fair value of $37.80.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −17.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (13/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($15.37). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The model range is unusually wide ($15.37 to $60.24). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $12.83 – $57.63 · fair‑value band $15.37 – $60.24 · the $15.03 price screens below the $37.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) currently trades at $15.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $37.80, implying the stock looks roughly 60.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 13/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 5 models at a data quality of 90/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Six Flags Entertainment Corporation generated revenue of $3.1B at a net margin of −52.8%. Revenue grew 11.7% year over year. Net debt stands at $5.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $15.37 (bear case) to $60.24 (bull case); at $15.03, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at 152%, FUN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($40.10) versus Asset-Based ($3.60). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (63).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 16 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Six Flags Entertainment Corporation operates amusement parks and resort properties in North America. It operates amusement parks, water parks, and resorts in the United States, Mexico, and Canada. The company was formerly known as Cedar Fair, L.P. and changed its name to Six Flags Entertainment Corporation in July 2024.
Full company description
Six Flags Entertainment Corporation operates amusement parks and resort properties in North America. It operates amusement parks, water parks, and resorts in the United States, Mexico, and Canada. The company was formerly known as Cedar Fair, L.P. and changed its name to Six Flags Entertainment Corporation in July 2024. The company was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Six Flags Entertainment Corporation reported revenue of $3.1B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound +23.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.6B in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Leisure · 190 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Leisure median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ANTA Sports Products Limited 82020 | HK$65.10 | HK$97.98 | +51% |
| Pop Mart International Group 9992 | HK$158.70 | HK$227.30 | +43% |
| Amer Sports, Inc AS | $33.03 | $16.16 | −51% |
| Hasbro, Inc HAS | $94.10 | $81.97 | −13% |
| Life Time Group LTH | $45.40 | $15.61 | −66% |
| Li Ning Company 82331 | HK$11.62 | HK$11.48 | −1% |
| Acushnet Holdings GOLF | $89.10 | $36.89 | −59% |
| Ninebot Limited 689009 | ¥44.94 | ¥39.73 | −12% |
| Mattel, Inc MAT | $15.26 | $18.93 | +24% |
| Planet Fitness, Inc PLNT | $53.33 | $52.62 | −1% |
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