Ninebot Limited (689009) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 32.8B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +15.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 11% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (¥29.80 to ¥75.69) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from ¥29.80 (bear) to ¥75.69 (bull), base ¥39.73. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 70/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥21.93 – ¥83.61 · fair‑value band ¥29.80 – ¥75.69 · the ¥44.48 price screens above the ¥39.73 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Ninebot Limited (689009) currently trades at ¥44.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥39.73, implying the stock looks roughly 10.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Ninebot Limited generated revenue of 22.0B CNY at a net margin of 6.8%. Revenue grew 14.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.3%. Net debt stands at 386M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥29.80 (bear case) to ¥75.69 (bull case); at ¥44.48, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -11%, 689009 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥113.31) versus Asset-Based (¥6.66). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ninebot Limited engages in the design, research and development, production, sale, and servicing of short-distance transportation and robot products worldwide. Its products include electric vehicles, scooter, balance bike, all-terrain vehicle, service robots, and E-bike.
Full company description
Ninebot Limited engages in the design, research and development, production, sale, and servicing of short-distance transportation and robot products worldwide. Its products include electric vehicles, scooter, balance bike, all-terrain vehicle, service robots, and E-bike. The company also engages in repair of bicycles and tricycles; import and export trade, wholesale, sales, and research and development; provision of intelligent equipment services, transportation vehicles, robots, and related accessories for small-scale transportation; finance; promotion, sales of goods and provision of after-sales service; car sales; Computer software technology development and technology transfer. In addition; it develops, research, process, and sales of motorcycles, electric two-wheeled motorcycles, electric three-wheeled motorcycles, electric bicycles and their parts, batteries, chargers and their parts, technology transfer of off-highway recreational vehicles and spare parts, and all-terrain vehicles and accessories; development of optoelectronic integration technology and computer technology, consulting, transfer, and industrial automatic control system devices, and auxiliary equipment, and communication equipment; intelligent control system integration; information system integration services; and investment management. The company was founded in 1999 and is based in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ninebot Limited reported revenue of ¥21.3B in FY2025 versus ¥9.1B in FY2021, a compound +23.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.8B in FY2025, compounding +43.9%/yr from FY2021.
689009 screens 11% overvalued. Compare with ANTA Sports Products Limited →
Peer Group
Leisure · 190 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Leisure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ANTA Sports Products Limited 2020 | HK$72.80 | HK$119.82 | +65% |
| Pop Mart International Group 9992 | HK$151.00 | HK$227.30 | +51% |
| Amer Sports, Inc AS | $33.03 | $16.16 | -51% |
| Hasbro, Inc HAS | $94.89 | $81.97 | -14% |
| Life Time Group LTH | $43.81 | $15.61 | -64% |
| Li Ning Company 2331 | HK$14.59 | HK$29.45 | +102% |
| Asmodee Group ASMDEEB | kr 158.70 | kr 96.65 | -39% |
| Smartfit Escola de Ginástica e Dança S.A SMFT3 | R$17.25 | R$22.90 | +33% |
| Songcheng Performance Development Co 300144 | ¥6.17 | ¥6.85 | +11% |
| Thule Group THULE | kr 213.40 | kr 142.22 | -33% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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