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Amer Sports, Inc. (AS) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $21.2B · ISIN KYG0260P1028

What is Amer Sports, Inc. really worth?

AS Amer Sports, Inc. logo Amer Sports, Inc. AS · US
Price$28.51
Fair Value$13.74
Upside−51.8%
Quality55/100

A solid business, but trading 108% above our fair value of $13.74.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +21.8 %/yr)
Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Thin margins · 6.5% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
!Moderate moat 53/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Medium Range $9.32 – $17.17

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −21.3% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($17.17). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($9.32 to $17.17) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

$41.96 $10.47 Fair Value $13.74 Feb 2024 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

31‑month range $10.47 – $41.96 · fair‑value band $9.32 – $17.17 · the $28.51 price screens above the $13.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Amer Sports, Inc. (AS) currently trades at $28.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.74, implying the stock looks roughly 107.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $26.78 per share, and 4 of the 24 models we run sit above the $28.51 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $6.68, and 20 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Amer Sports, Inc. generated revenue of $7.0B at a net margin of 6.5%. Revenue grew 32.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.9%. Net debt stands at $1.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $9.32 (bear case) to $17.17 (bull case); at $28.51, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at −52%, AS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 11 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.7452 per share, which is 5.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $14.20 $22.69 $49.30 75
EPV $7.87 $9.22 $10.41 74
Growth DCF $13.37 $25.25 $49.08 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $14.20 $22.69 $49.30 75
Owner Earnings $15.57 $35.74 $78.09 70
5Y Revenue Exit $11.07 $19.97 $37.87 69
5Y EBITDA Exit $15.67 $29.59 $55.93 71
5Y P/E Exit $12.50 $26.78 $45.60 68
10Y Revenue Exit $11.56 $24.56 $36.21 65
10Y EBITDA Exit $15.26 $33.82 $69.17 63
10Y P/E Exit $12.99 $27.45 $53.02 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $5.00 $34.84 $48.89 63
Lynch FV $11.56 $16.52 $21.48 61
PEG = 1.0 $11.56 $16.52 $21.48 57
EPV $7.87 $9.22 $10.41 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $12.12 $16.16 $20.20 63
P/S Multiple $9.37 $12.49 $15.61 58
P/B Multiple $9.37 $12.49 $15.61 55
EV/EBIT $15.53 $20.79 $26.04 66
EV/EBITDA $16.22 $21.70 $27.19 67
EV/Revenue $9.24 $13.30 $17.36 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.99 $6.68 $9.97 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $13.37 $25.25 $49.08 74
Rev-Margin DCF $11.07 $22.53 $40.26 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income $8.16 $8.65 $9.45 71
ROIC Compounder $7.87 $9.22 $11.10 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $15.58 $22.26 $28.94 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($26.78) versus Asset-Based ($6.68). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (75).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 35.6
P/S ratio 2.32 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.8000 price ÷ EPS = P/E 35.6
Net margin 6.5% FY2025
Return on equity 7.9% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 3.9% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 16.5% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $7.0B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +32.1% 3y avg +22.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +20.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $504M FY2025
Net debt $1.8B FY2025 · ≈ 3.5 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 83
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 64
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 69
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 22
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 17
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Amer Sports, Inc. designs, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells sports equipment, apparel, footwear, and accessories in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through three segments: Technical Apparel, Outdoor Performance, and Ball & Racquet Sports.

Full company description

Amer Sports, Inc. designs, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells sports equipment, apparel, footwear, and accessories in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through three segments: Technical Apparel, Outdoor Performance, and Ball & Racquet Sports. The Technical Apparel segment offers outdoor apparel, footwear, and accessories, which include climbing gear. The Outdoor Performance segment provides hiking and running footwear, functional apparel, skiing and snowboarding gear, and lifestyle footwear products. The Ball & Racquet Sports segment offers sports equipment for tennis, baseball, American football, basketball, golf, and various other professional and recreational sports, as well as functional athletic apparel. This segment provides custom-fitting protective gear and apparel for baseball, softball, football, and lacrosse. The company sells its products under the Arc'teryx, PeakPerformance, Salomon, Atomic, Armada, Wilson, Louisville Slugger, DeMarini, EvoShield, and Atec brands. It distributes its products through retail stores, general sporting goods retailers, specialty stores, independently operated partner stores, and distributors, as well as retailer-owned and third-party e-commerce websites. The company was formerly known as Amer Sports Management Holding (Cayman) Limited and changed its name to Amer Sports, Inc. in August 2023. Amer Sports, Inc. was founded in 1950 and is based in Helsinki, Finland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Amer Sports, Inc. reported revenue of $6.6B in FY2025 versus $3.1B in FY2021, a compound +21.0%/yr. Reported net income was $427M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$6.6B
Latest YoY
+26.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.8%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed
Revenue +21.0%/yr
FY21 $3.1B
FY22 $3.6B
FY23 $4.4B
FY24 $5.2B
FY25 $6.6B
Net income
FY21 −$126M
FY22 −$253M
FY23 −$209M
FY24 $72.6M
FY25 $427M

AS screens 108% overvalued. Compare with ANTA Sports Products Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Amer Sports, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AS

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Leisure · 190 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −52% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 32% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.14× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Leisure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 35.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.65× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.01× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 42.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 20.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.82× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 16
FUTURE100 · sector 14
PAST32 · sector 19
HEALTH93 · sector 94
DIVIDEND0 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 42/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ANTA Sports Products Limited 82020 HK$65.10 HK$97.98 +51%
Pop Mart International Group 9992 HK$158.70 HK$227.30 +43%
Hasbro, Inc HAS $94.10 $81.97 −13%
Life Time Group LTH $45.40 $15.61 −66%
Li Ning Company 82331 HK$11.62 HK$11.48 −1%
Acushnet Holdings GOLF $89.10 $36.89 −59%
Ninebot Limited 689009 ¥44.94 ¥39.73 −12%
Mattel, Inc MAT $15.26 $18.93 +24%
Planet Fitness, Inc PLNT $53.33 $52.62 −1%
Fluidra, S.A FDR €19.31 €19.47 +1%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Amer Sports, Inc. (AS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $13.74 versus a price of $28.51, about −52% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AS?
Our model-based fair value for Amer Sports, Inc. is $13.74 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $28.51.
What is the quality score of AS?
Amer Sports, Inc. has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Amer Sports, Inc. (AS)?
Amer Sports, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $7.0B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AS?
The net profit margin of Amer Sports, Inc. is about 6.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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