FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $21.4B · ISIN KYG3730V1059
What is FTAI Aviation Ltd. really worth?
FTAI Aviation Ltd.
FTAI · US
Below-average quality, and trading another 109% above our fair value of $95.49.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −10.2% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
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What matters now
- Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide ($63.94 to $222.24). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $13.14 – $308.99 · fair‑value band $63.94 – $222.24 · the $199.39 price screens above the $95.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
Analysis
FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI) currently trades at $199.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $95.49, implying the stock looks roughly 108.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $223.61 per share, and 2 of the 16 models we run sit above the $199.39 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $22.82, and 14 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, FTAI Aviation Ltd. generated revenue of $2.8B at a net margin of 18.9%. Revenue grew 65.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 233.3%. Net debt stands at $3.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $63.94 (bear case) to $222.24 (bull case); at $199.39, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 85% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −44% fair-value upside, at −52%, FTAI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $2.39 per share, which is 2.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($223.61) versus Asset-Based ($2.18). Highest evidence: EPV (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
FTAI Aviation Ltd. owns, acquires, and sells aviation equipment for the transportation of goods and people worldwide. It operates in two segments, Aviation Leasing and Aerospace Products. The Aviation Leasing segment owns, leases, manages, and sells aircraft and aircraft engines.
Full company description
FTAI Aviation Ltd. owns, acquires, and sells aviation equipment for the transportation of goods and people worldwide. It operates in two segments, Aviation Leasing and Aerospace Products. The Aviation Leasing segment owns, leases, manages, and sells aircraft and aircraft engines. As of December 31, 2025, this segment owned and managed 290 aviation assets consisting of 47 commercial aircraft and 243 engines, including eight aircraft and seventeen engines in Russia. The Aerospace Products segment develops, manufactures, repairs/refurbishes, and sells aircraft engines and aftermarket components for the commercial aircraft engines. It also engages in the offshore energy business, which consists of vessels and equipment that support offshore oil and gas activities and production. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
FTAI Aviation Ltd. reported revenue of $2.5B in FY2025 versus $336M in FY2021, a compound +65.3%/yr. Reported net income was $501M in FY2025.
FTAI screens 109% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- FTAI Aviation named a new long at Hedgeye
- Does New US$2 Billion Warehouse Facility Reshape the Bull Case for FTAI Aviation (FTAI)?
- FTAI Aviation (FTAI) Stock Still Looks Cheap As Its 9x Run Looms Large
- FTAI Aviation (FTAI) Secures New Financing, Is It Still 12% Undervalued?
Peer Group
Aerospace & Defense · 229 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| General Electric Company GE | $335.71 | $116.71 | −65% |
| RTX Corporation RTX | $212.08 | $88.37 | −58% |
| Airbus SE AIR | €213.00 | €117.01 | −45% |
| Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT | $565.89 | $419.01 | −26% |
| Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM | $264.85 | $50.43 | −81% |
| General Dynamics Corporation GD | $379.32 | $274.32 | −28% |
| Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC | $545.57 | $356.59 | −35% |
| TransDigm Group TDG | $1,235 | $571.03 | −54% |
| L3Harris Technologies, Inc LHX | $262.82 | $146.55 | −44% |
| Thales S.A HO | €243.70 | €171.13 | −30% |
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