Flutter Entertainment plc (FLUT) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $19.2B · ISIN IE00BWT6H894
What is Flutter Entertainment plc really worth?
Flutter Entertainment plc
FLUT · US
A solid business, but trading 16% above our fair value of $88.33.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −2.5% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($52.54 to $124.13) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $89.85 – $308.60 · fair‑value band $52.54 – $124.13 · the $102.34 price screens above the $88.33 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Flutter Entertainment plc (FLUT) currently trades at $102.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $88.33, implying the stock looks roughly 15.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $116.73 per share, and 5 of the 13 models we run sit above the $102.34 price. Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $9.39, and 8 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Flutter Entertainment plc generated revenue of $17.0B at a net margin of −2.2%. Revenue grew 17.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −5.0%. Net debt stands at $9.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $52.54 (bear case) to $124.13 (bull case); at $102.34, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 67% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −14% fair-value upside, at −14%, FLUT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($116.73) versus Multiples ($9.39). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (71).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Flutter Entertainment plc operates as a sports betting and gaming company in the United States, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Australia, Italy, and internationally.
Full company description
Flutter Entertainment plc operates as a sports betting and gaming company in the United States, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Australia, Italy, and internationally. It provides sportsbooks; iGaming products, such as blackjack, roulette, slot machines, poker, and rummy, as well as lottery products; and sports betting products, which include Betfair betting exchanges, daily fantasy sports, and horse racing wagering under the TVG brand. The company offers sports betting and gaming services through fanduel.com, tvg.com, betfair.com, paddypower.com, and paddypower.ie, sportsbet.com.au, pokerstars.com, betfair.com, sisal.it, maxbet.rs, and adjarabet.com websites under the FanDuel, Sky Betting & Gaming, Sportsbet, PokerStars, Paddy Power, Sisal, tombola, Betfair, TVG, Adjarabet, and MaxBet brands, as well as live poker tours and events. It also provides business-to-business pricing and risk management services. The company was formerly known as Paddy Power Betfair plc and changed its name to Flutter Entertainment plc in 2019. Flutter Entertainment plc was incorporated in 1958 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Flutter Entertainment plc reported revenue of $16.4B in FY2025 versus $8.3B in FY2021, a compound +18.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$380M in FY2025.
FLUT screens 16% overvalued. Compare with Evolution AB →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Flutter Entertainment’s Q2 Earnings Call: Our Top 5 Analyst Questions
- Flutter Entertainment Q2 Earnings Call Highlights
- Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) Is Down 8.9% After Guidance Cut And CEO Handover Plan - Has The Bull Case Changed?
Peer Group
Gambling · 54 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gambling median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 42/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Gambling stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Evolution AB EVO | kr 832.60 | kr 982.64 | +18% |
| The Lottery Corporation TLC | A$5.36 | A$2.99 | −44% |
| Rush Street Interactive, Inc RSI | $26.05 | $3.10 | −88% |
| Super Group SGHC | $13.95 | $9.39 | −33% |
| Light & Wonder, Inc LNWO | $89.75 | $77.19 | −14% |
| Lottomatica Group LTMC | €25.59 | €16.45 | −36% |
| Churchill Downs Incorporated CHDN | $86.65 | $88.74 | +2% |
| FDJ United FDJ | €22.33 | €20.97 | −6% |
| Brightstar Lottery PLC BRSL | $11.31 | $17.61 | +56% |
| Tabcorp Holdings TAH | A$0.8900 | A$0.6000 | −33% |
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