FDJ United (FDJU) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · FR · Market cap €4.2B · ISIN FR0013451333
What is FDJ United really worth?
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of €20.97.
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from €19.06 to €20.97 (+10.0%) since Jul 15, 2026. Share price +0.3% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin.
- The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €20.38 – €37.64 · fair‑value band €15.72 – €26.21 · the €22.29 price screens above the €20.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
FDJ United (FDJU) currently trades at €22.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €20.97, implying the stock looks roughly 6.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of €31.03 per share, and 15 of the 26 models we run sit above the €22.29 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €3.54, and 11 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, FDJ United generated revenue of €3.7B at a net margin of 4.8%. Revenue grew 10.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.3%. Net debt stands at €1.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €15.72 (bear case) to €26.21 (bull case); at €22.29, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −14% fair-value upside, at −6%, FDJU screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (€31.03) versus Asset-Based (€3.54). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
FDJ United engages in the gambling operation and distribution business in France and internationally. The company operates through Lottery and Sports Betting; Online Betting and Gaming; International Lottery; and Payment and Services segments.
Full company description
FDJ United engages in the gambling operation and distribution business in France and internationally. The company operates through Lottery and Sports Betting; Online Betting and Gaming; International Lottery; and Payment and Services segments. It offers prize draws, such as Loto and Euromillions, as well as Illiko instant games; online offer (open to competition), including sports betting and horse-race betting, poker and casino games; and payment and collection service through a network of point"of"sale registered as agents. The company also provides B2B solutions; and owns Relax Gaming, a supplier of online gambling products. The company was formerly known as La Française des Jeux Société anonyme and changed its name to FDJ United in March 2025. FDJ United was founded in 1933 and is based in Boulogne-Billancourt, France.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
FDJ United reported revenue of €3.7B in FY2025 versus €2.3B in FY2021, a compound +13.0%/yr. Reported net income was €176M in FY2025, compounding −12.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +7.6 % · buybacks/dilution +0.3 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- FDJ United (LFDJF) (H1 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating Tax Headwinds and Strategic ...
- FDJ UNITED - H1 2026
- FDJ UNITED: Combined General Meeting of 23 April 2026
- FDJ UNITED - Q1 2026
Peer Group
Gambling · 54 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gambling median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Gambling stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flutter Entertainment plc FLUT | $98.08 | $88.33 | −10% |
| Evolution AB EVO | kr 832.60 | kr 982.64 | +18% |
| The Lottery Corporation TLC | A$5.36 | A$2.99 | −44% |
| Rush Street Interactive, Inc RSI | $26.05 | $3.10 | −88% |
| Super Group SGHC | $13.95 | $9.39 | −33% |
| Light & Wonder, Inc LNWO | $89.75 | $77.19 | −14% |
| Lottomatica Group LTMC | €25.59 | €16.45 | −36% |
| Churchill Downs Incorporated CHDN | $86.65 | $88.74 | +2% |
| Brightstar Lottery PLC BRSL | $11.31 | $17.61 | +56% |
| Tabcorp Holdings TAH | A$0.8900 | A$0.6000 | −33% |
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