Epiroc AB (EPI-A) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · SE · Market cap 302B SEK
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Share price −3.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 42% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 186.63). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- A fairly wide model range (kr 88.01 to kr 186.63) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 139.03 – kr 278.20 · fair‑value band kr 88.01 – kr 186.63 · the kr 248.70 price screens above the kr 144.14 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Epiroc AB (EPI-A) currently trades at kr 248.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 144.14, implying the stock looks roughly 42.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Epiroc AB generated revenue of 60.8B SEK at a net margin of 14.0%. Revenue declined 7.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.3%. Net debt stands at 11.4B SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 88.01 (bear case) to kr 186.63 (bull case); at kr 248.70, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at -42%, EPI-A screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 149.56) versus Asset-Based (kr 23.40). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Epiroc AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, develops and produces equipment for use in surface and underground applications in North America, South America, Europe, Africa, the Middle East, Asia, Australia, and India. It operates in two segments, Equipment & Service, and Tools & Attachments.
Full company description
Epiroc AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, develops and produces equipment for use in surface and underground applications in North America, South America, Europe, Africa, the Middle East, Asia, Australia, and India. It operates in two segments, Equipment & Service, and Tools & Attachments. The Equipment & Service segment offers equipment and solutions for rock drilling, rock excavation, rock reinforcement, loading and haulage, and ventilation systems; drilling equipment for exploration, and water and energy; and related spare parts and services for the mining and infrastructure industries. This segment also provides digital solutions, such as connectivity, collision avoidance systems, automation, and mine planning, as well as electrification. Its Tools & Attachments segment offers rock drilling tools, including tophammer, COPROD, down-the hole, rotary and raiseboring; drill string components comprising bits, rods, pipes, shanks, hammers, and other products; rock reinforcement tools, such as rock bolts, mesh, and accessories; and exploration drilling tools. This segment also provides hydraulic breakers, shears and pulverizers, concrete cutters and busters, quick couplers and thumbs, drum cutters, excavator grapples, excavator magnets, and crusher and screening buckets; ground engaging tools, including teeth, lip shrouds, and protective shrouds; and digital solutions for monitoring, optimization, loss detection and analytics. In addition, the company offers aftermarket services, such as replacement parts and kits, service agreements and audits, circular services, and custom-engineered solutions, as well as component remanufacturing, midlife upgrades, cost-per-meter contracts, and conversion kits. The company has a strategic collaboration with Sany Group Company Limited for the development of equipment and technology for mining applications. Epiroc AB (publ) was founded in 1873 and is headquartered in Nacka, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Epiroc AB reported revenue of kr 62.0B in FY2025 versus kr 39.6B in FY2021, a compound +11.8%/yr. Reported net income was kr 8.6B in FY2025, compounding +5.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +9.9 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
EPI-A screens 42% overvalued. Compare with Caterpillar Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Rajant and Epiroc Mexico Announce Strategic Partnership to Advance Connected Mining Operations Across Mexico
- Epiroc AB (EPIAF) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Organic Growth and Strategic Advancements
- Epiroc and Ericsson team up to boost 5G connectivity in mining
- Epiroc secures mining equipment contract from Mopani
Peer Group
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 149 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caterpillar Inc CAT | $855.60 | $307.83 | -64% |
| Deere & Company DE | $619.77 | $182.29 | -71% |
| AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA | kr 344.00 | kr 288.08 | -16% |
| PACCAR Inc PCAR | $131.06 | $94.80 | -28% |
| Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 | ¥18.91 | ¥20.84 | +10% |
| XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 | ¥8.25 | ¥11.79 | +43% |
| Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 | HK$41.42 | HK$53.57 | +29% |
| Yutong Bus Co 600066 | ¥29.82 | ¥42.00 | +41% |
| Ashok Leyland Limited ASHOKLEY | ₹176.70 | ₹118.01 | -33% |
| Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co 1157 | HK$6.96 | HK$11.25 | +62% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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