Dpm Metals Inc. (DPM) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$10.5B (≈ $7.5B) · ISIN AU0000413890
What is Dpm Metals Inc. really worth?
A solid business, but trading 119% above our fair value of A$28.26.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from A$33.41 to A$28.26 (−15.4%) since Jul 15, 2026. Share price +12.6% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
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What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$40.46). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (A$21.19 to A$40.46) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
12‑month range A$31.53 – A$71.31 · fair‑value band A$21.19 – A$40.46 · the A$62.02 price screens above the A$28.26 fair value. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Dpm Metals Inc. (DPM) currently trades at A$62.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$28.26, implying the stock looks roughly 119.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of A$74.32 per share, and 3 of the 25 models we run sit above the A$62.02 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$7.80, and 22 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Dpm Metals Inc. generated revenue of A$1.1B at a net margin of 44.9%. Revenue grew 115.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$485M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$21.19 (bear case) to A$40.46 (bull case); at A$62.02, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 104% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at −54%, DPM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly A$2.40 per share, which is 8.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (A$74.32) versus Dividend Discount (A$2.14). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
DPM Metals Inc., a gold mining company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, mining, and processing of precious metals. It primarily explores gold, copper, and silver deposits. The company holds a portfolio of projects located in Bulgaria, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Serbia, and Ecuador.
Full company description
DPM Metals Inc., a gold mining company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, mining, and processing of precious metals. It primarily explores gold, copper, and silver deposits. The company holds a portfolio of projects located in Bulgaria, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Serbia, and Ecuador. The company was formerly known as Dundee Precious Metals Inc. and changed its name to DPM Metals Inc. in September 2025. DPM Metals Inc. is based in Toronto, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Dpm Metals Inc. reported revenue of $950M in FY2025 versus $641M in FY2021, a compound +10.3%/yr. Reported net income was $369M in FY2025, compounding +15.1%/yr from FY2021.
DPM screens 119% overvalued. Compare with Newmont Corporation →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- DPM Metals Announces Commercial Production at Vareš
- DPM Metals Reports Record Q2 2026 Free Cash Flow and Earnings; Vareš On-Track to Achieve Full Production by Year-end 2026
- DPM Metals Declares Dividend
- DPM Metals Delivers Strong Second Quarter Gold Equivalent Production; Continues to Progress Vareš Ramp-up
Peer Group
Gold · 245 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $128.00 | $112.82 | −12% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥32.21 | ¥39.42 | +22% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | C$268.76 | C$213.40 | −21% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $41.23 | $50.66 | +23% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | $271.31 | $96.63 | −64% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | C$201.40 | C$56.05 | −72% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $97.92 | $88.63 | −9% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $32.51 | $34.62 | +6% |
| Royal Gold, Inc RGLD | $262.85 | $93.56 | −64% |
| Northern Star Resources Limited NST | A$23.19 | A$15.98 | −31% |
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