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Delivery Hero SE (DHER) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · DE · Market cap €11.6B · ISIN DE000A2E4K43

What is Delivery Hero SE really worth?

DH Delivery Hero SE DHER · XETRA
Price€36.47
Fair Value€12.71
Upside−65.2%
Quality36/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 187% above our fair value of €12.71.

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Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +41.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -5.6% net margin
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/12)
!Narrow moat 18/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 9 out of 100
Evidence: Medium Range €7.46 – €17.95

Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026

From 5 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Share price −2.2% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€17.95). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range (€7.46 to €17.95) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€132.10 €15.28 Fair Value €12.71 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €15.28 – €132.10 · fair‑value band €7.46 – €17.95 · the €36.47 price screens above the €12.71 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

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Analysis

Delivery Hero SE (DHER) currently trades at €36.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €12.71, implying the stock looks roughly 186.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €14.68 per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the €36.47 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €2.86, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Delivery Hero SE generated revenue of €14.1B at a net margin of −5.6%. Revenue grew 10.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −31.0%. Net debt stands at €2.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €7.46 (bear case) to €17.95 (bull case); at €36.47, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 146% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at −65%, DHER screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA best evidence €9.43 €14.68 €19.92 66
Gordon GGM €1.63 €3.39 €5.38 64
DDM Multi-Stage €1.63 €2.86 €3.56 64
All 5 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €1.63 €3.39 €5.38 64
DDM Multi-Stage €1.63 €2.86 €3.56 64
Multiples
EV/EBIT €0.0200 61
EV/EBITDA best evidence €9.43 €14.68 €19.92 66
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €2.70 €3.62 €5.40 54

Widest divergence: Multiples (€14.68) versus Dividend Discount (€2.86). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (66).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.82 TTM
EPS (TTM) €−2.62
Dividend yield 0.5%
Net margin −5.6% FY2025
Return on equity −31.0% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −6.7% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 1.2% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) €14.1B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +10.1% 3y avg +17.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +380%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −€260M FY2025
Net debt €2.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 16
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 4
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 77
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 85
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 36
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Delivery Hero SE provides online food ordering, quick commerce, and delivery services. The company also offers advertising services. It operates in approximately 70 countries across Asia, the Middle East, Africa, Europe, and Latin America. Delivery Hero SE was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Berlin, Germany.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Delivery Hero SE reported revenue of €14.1B in FY2025 versus €5.9B in FY2021, a compound +24.5%/yr. Reported net income was −€783M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€14.1B
Latest YoY
+14.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+41.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+62.4%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +24.5%/yr
FY21 €5.9B
FY22 €8.6B
FY23 €9.9B
FY24 €12.3B
FY25 €14.1B
Net income
FY21 −€1.1B
FY22 −€3.0B
FY23 −€2.3B
FY24 −€882M
FY25 −€783M

DHER screens 187% overvalued. Compare with Amazon.com, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Delivery Hero SE Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DHER

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Internet Retail · 103 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −65% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Revenue growth 10% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 2.46× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Internet Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/B 8.22× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.96× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 50.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 23
FUTURE51 · sector 52
PAST0 · sector 12
HEALTH0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND9 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Internet Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Amazon.com, Inc AMZN $256.26 $127.67 −50%
Alibaba Group 89988 HK$97.45 HK$48.38 −50%
PDD Holdings PDD $85.69 $225.48 +163%
MercadoLibre, Inc MELI $1,966 $798.98 −59%
DoorDash, Inc DASH $222.00 $38.64 −83%
Sea Limited SE $118.32 $52.70 −55%
JD.com, Inc 89618 ¥95.45 ¥73.98 −22%
eBay Inc EBAY $105.62 $60.13 −43%
Coupang, Inc CPNG $16.32 $2.79 −83%
Wayfair Inc W $99.27 $11.46 −88%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Delivery Hero SE (DHER) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €12.71 versus a price of €36.47, about −65% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DHER?
Our model-based fair value for Delivery Hero SE is €12.71 (as of Aug 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €36.47.
What is the quality score of DHER?
Delivery Hero SE has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Delivery Hero SE (DHER)?
Delivery Hero SE reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €14.1B (latest available figure, as of Aug 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DHER?
The net profit margin of Delivery Hero SE is about −5.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Delivery Hero SE pay a dividend?
Delivery Hero SE currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.46% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 29, 2026).
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