Allegro.eu S.A (ALE) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · PL · Market cap 40.5B PLN
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Share price +5.7% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 29% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 77/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (41.18 PLN). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 18.37 PLN – 73.90 PLN · fair‑value band 24.13 PLN – 41.18 PLN · the 46.41 PLN price screens above the 32.94 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Allegro.eu S.A (ALE) currently trades at 46.41 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 32.94 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 29.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Allegro.eu S.A generated revenue of 11.9B PLN at a net margin of 13.2%. Revenue grew 11.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.7%. Net debt stands at 2.5B PLN. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 24.13 PLN (bear case) to 41.18 PLN (bull case); at 46.41 PLN, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 82% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at -29%, ALE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (72.29 PLN) versus Asset-Based (6.71 PLN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Allegro.eu S.A. operates a commerce platform for consumers in Poland, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary, and internationally. It operates through Allegro, Ceneo, Allegro International, and Other segments.
Full company description
Allegro.eu S.A. operates a commerce platform for consumers in Poland, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary, and internationally. It operates through Allegro, Ceneo, Allegro International, and Other segments. The company engages in operating B2C, C2C, and B2B e-commerce platforms comprising online marketplace; and various services, such as consumer lending and logistics services. It also provides multi-category price comparison services allowing the customer to find prices among the different websites and marketplaces. In addition, it operates eBilet, an event ticket sales site. Further, the company operates Allegro. pl, an online marketplace; Ceneo.pl, a price comparison platform. Additionally, the company engages in online marketplace; retail sale via the Internet; advertising; logistic services; online price comparison services; consumer lending to marketplace buyers; online tickets distribution; software and solutions for delivery logistics; and provides payment services to partners. The company was formerly known as Adinan Super Topco S.a r.l. and changed its name to Allegro.eu S.A. in August 2020. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Allegro.eu S.A reported revenue of 11.5B PLN in FY2025 versus 5.4B PLN in FY2021, a compound +21.0%/yr. Reported net income was 1.5B PLN in FY2025, compounding +8.6%/yr from FY2021.
ALE screens 29% overvalued. Compare with Amazon.com, Inc →
Peer Group
Internet Retail · 109 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Internet Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Internet Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amazon.com, Inc AMZN | $267.28 | $127.67 | -52% |
| Alibaba Group BABA | $125.22 | $76.00 | -39% |
| PDD Holdings PDD | $89.04 | $224.27 | +152% |
| MercadoLibre, Inc MELI | $1,828 | $798.98 | -56% |
| DoorDash, Inc DASH | $212.00 | $38.64 | -82% |
| Sea Limited SE | $128.11 | $52.70 | -59% |
| eBay Inc EBAY | $102.31 | $60.13 | -41% |
| JD.com, Inc JD | €27.00 | €31.73 | +18% |
| Coupang, Inc CPNG | $16.32 | $2.79 | -83% |
| Delivery Hero SE DHER | €37.04 | €12.71 | -66% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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