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Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $26.1B · ISIN US2315611010

What is Curtiss-Wright Corporation really worth?

CW Curtiss-Wright Corporation logo Curtiss-Wright Corporation CW · US
Price$568.72
Fair Value$242.91
Upside−57.3%
Quality71/100

A solid business, but trading 134% above our fair value of $242.91.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +7.9 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 14.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 65/100

Risks

!Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
!Weak on dividend: 3 out of 100

For context

·0.17% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $167.83 – $310.03

Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price −24.9% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 71/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($310.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • A fairly wide model range ($167.83 to $310.03) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$792.77 $110.16 Fair Value $242.91 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $110.16 – $792.77 · fair‑value band $167.83 – $310.03 · the $568.72 price screens above the $242.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

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Analysis

Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW) currently trades at $568.72, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $242.91, implying the stock looks roughly 134.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $270.31 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $568.72 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $45.95, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Curtiss-Wright Corporation generated revenue of $3.6B at a net margin of 14.2%. Revenue grew 13.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.7%. Net debt stands at $943M. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $167.83 (bear case) to $310.03 (bull case); at $568.72, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −44% fair-value upside, at −57%, CW screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $8.59 per share, which is 3.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $166.21 $277.16 $453.30 78
Growth DCF $167.99 $277.12 $449.99 77
Owner Earnings $155.25 $259.32 $424.52 75
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $166.21 $277.16 $453.30 78
Owner Earnings $155.25 $259.32 $424.52 75
5Y Revenue Exit $125.47 $204.10 $304.97 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $169.09 $288.12 $429.54 74
5Y P/E Exit $172.13 $293.97 $424.95 70
10Y Revenue Exit $134.52 $211.04 $315.86 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $166.42 $270.31 $413.59 67
10Y P/E Exit $168.38 $274.43 $409.99 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $89.13 $317.60 $427.72 64
Lynch FV $74.69 $106.70 $138.71 61
PEG = 1.0 $74.69 $106.70 $138.71 57
EPV $119.02 $140.60 $159.48 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $8.63 $17.95 $28.47 66
DDM Multi-Stage $8.63 $15.13 $18.84 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $206.45 $275.27 $344.09 63
P/S Multiple $142.05 $189.40 $236.75 58
P/B Multiple $167.13 $222.84 $278.55 55
EV/EBIT $209.75 $283.15 $356.55 66
EV/EBITDA $190.88 $257.99 $325.10 67
EV/Revenue $108.86 $160.00 $211.14 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $34.29 $45.95 $68.58 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $167.99 $277.12 $449.99 77
Rev-Margin DCF $125.47 $204.50 $299.11 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $88.10 $123.02 $601.88 64
ROIC Compounder $130.72 $173.83 $228.32 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $143.40 $204.86 $266.31 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($270.31) versus Dividend Discount ($15.13). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 41.6
P/S ratio 5.75 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $13.68 price ÷ EPS = P/E 41.6
Dividend yield 0.2% payout 7.0%
Net margin 13.8% FY2025
Return on equity 19.7% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 10.4% avg 5y
Operating margin 17.6% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $3.6B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.4% 3y avg +11.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +29.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $554M FY2025
Net debt $943M FY2025 · ≈ 1.7 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 71/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 69
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 43
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 96
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Curtiss-Wright Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides engineered products, solutions, and services mainly to aerospace and defense, commercial nuclear power, process, and industrial markets worldwide. It operates through three segments: Aerospace & Industrial, Defense Electronics, and Naval & Power.

Full company description

Curtiss-Wright Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides engineered products, solutions, and services mainly to aerospace and defense, commercial nuclear power, process, and industrial markets worldwide. It operates through three segments: Aerospace & Industrial, Defense Electronics, and Naval & Power. The Aerospace & Industrial segment offers industrial and specialty vehicle products, such as power management electronics, traction inverters, transmission shifters, and control systems; sensors, controls, and electro-mechanical actuation components used on commercial and military aircraft; and surface technology services including shot peening, laser peening, and engineered coatings. The Defense Electronics segment provides commercial off-the-shelf embedded computing board-level modules and processing equipment, data acquisition and flight test instrumentation equipment, integrated subsystems, instrumentation and control systems, tactical communications solutions; and electronic stabilization products, and weapons handling systems; avionics and electronics; flight test equipment; and aircraft data management solutions. The Naval & Power segment offers main coolant pumps, power-dense compact motors, generators, steam turbines, valves, and secondary propulsion systems; energy absorbers, retractable hook cable systems, net-stanchion systems and mobile systems to support fixed land-based arresting systems; hardware, valves, fastening systems, specialized containment doors, airlock hatches, and spent fuel management products; reactor coolant pumps and control rod drive mechanisms for commercial nuclear power plants, as well as various nuclear reactor technologies. This segment furnishes severe-service valve technologies and services, heat exchanger repair, and piping test and isolation products, and offers ship repair and maintenance for the U.S. navy. Curtiss-Wright Corporation was incorporated in 1929 and is headquartered in Davidson, North Carolina.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Curtiss-Wright Corporation reported revenue of $3.5B in FY2025 versus $2.5B in FY2021, a compound +8.8%/yr. Reported net income was $484M in FY2025, compounding +16.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 86/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$3.5B
Latest YoY
+12.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (36Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+13.3% (13.1 + 0.2)
Revenue +8.8%/yr
FY21 $2.5B
FY22 $2.6B
FY23 $2.8B
FY24 $3.1B
FY25 $3.5B
Net income +16.5%/yr
FY21 $263M
FY22 $294M
FY23 $355M
FY24 $405M
FY25 $484M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +14.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.7 %

of which total revenue +4.2 % · buybacks/dilution +2.4 %

EBIT margin +2.8 %
Tax rate +1.9 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +2.6 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

CW screens 134% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Curtiss-Wright Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CW

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Aerospace & Defense · 229 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −57% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 13% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.30× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 41.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 10.32× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 7.25× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 47.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 32.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 2.00× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE67 · sector 50
PAST79 · sector 38
HEALTH85 · sector 93
DIVIDEND3 · sector 16

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE $335.71 $116.71 −65%
RTX Corporation RTX $212.08 $88.37 −58%
Airbus SE AIR €213.00 €117.01 −45%
Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT $565.89 $419.01 −26%
Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM $264.85 $50.43 −81%
General Dynamics Corporation GD $379.32 $274.32 −28%
Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC $545.57 $356.59 −35%
TransDigm Group TDG $1,235 $571.03 −54%
L3Harris Technologies, Inc LHX $262.82 $146.55 −44%
Thales S.A HO €243.70 €171.13 −30%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $242.91 versus a price of $568.72, about −57% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CW?
Our model-based fair value for Curtiss-Wright Corporation is $242.91 (as of Sep 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $568.72.
What is the quality score of CW?
Curtiss-Wright Corporation has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW)?
Curtiss-Wright Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CW?
The net profit margin of Curtiss-Wright Corporation is about 14.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Curtiss-Wright Corporation pay a dividend?
Curtiss-Wright Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.17% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 3, 2026).
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