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CVB Financial Corp (CVBF) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $4.0B

CF CVB Financial Corp logo CVB Financial Corp CVBF · US
Price$23.16
Fair Value$13.76
Upside-40.6%
Quality62/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 40.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.56% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
Moderate moat 63/100
Evidence: High Range $10.32 – $17.19 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $15.42 to $13.76 (−10.8%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +2.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 41% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($17.19). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$24.63 $9.42 Fair Value $13.76 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $9.42 – $24.63 · fair‑value band $10.32 – $17.19 · the $23.16 price screens above the $13.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

CVB Financial Corp (CVBF) currently trades at $23.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.76, implying the stock looks roughly 40.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, CVB Financial Corp generated revenue of $519M at a net margin of 40.3%. Revenue grew 0.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.2%. Net debt stands at $883M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $10.32 (bear case) to $17.19 (bull case); at $23.16, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at -41%, CVBF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $11.05 $12.02 $14.97 76
Gordon GGM $5.52 $11.01 $16.67 70
P/E Multiple $11.56 $15.42 $19.27 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $5.52 $11.01 $16.67 70
DDM Multi-Stage $5.52 $8.55 $11.62 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $11.56 $15.42 $19.27 63
P/B Multiple $13.66 $18.21 $22.76 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $6.50 $8.71 $13.01 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $11.05 $12.02 $14.97 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($15.42) versus Dividend Discount ($8.55). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $519M
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.3%
Net margin 40.3%
Return on equity 9.2%
Free cash flow $217M FY2025
P/E ratio 15.1
More key figures
Operating margin 54.6%
EPS (TTM) $1.53
Dividend yield 3.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +4.4%
Net debt $883M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 84
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 2
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 62
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 79
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 96
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

CVB Financial Corp. operates as bank holding company for Citizens Business Bank, National Association, a state-chartered bank that provides banking and financial services to small to mid-sized businesses and individuals.

Full company description

CVB Financial Corp. operates as bank holding company for Citizens Business Bank, National Association, a state-chartered bank that provides banking and financial services to small to mid-sized businesses and individuals. The company offers checking, savings, money market, and certificates of time deposit products for business and personal accounts, municipalities and districts, and specialized deposit products for title and escrow; and serves as a federal tax depository for business customers. It also provides commercial lending products comprising lines of credit and other working capital financing, accounts receivable lending, and letters of credit; agriculture loans to finance the operating needs of wholesale dairy farm operations, cattle feeders, livestock raisers, and farmers; lease financing services for municipal governments; commercial real estate and construction loans; consumer financing products, including automobile leasing and financing, lines of credit, credit cards, home mortgages, and home equity loans; and equipment and vehicle leasing services. In addition, the company offers various specialized services, such as treasury management systems for monitoring and managing cash flow, a merchant card processing program, armored pick-up and delivery, payroll services, remote deposit capture, electronic funds transfers, wires and automated clearinghouse, and online account access; and foreign exchange and letters of credit services. Further, it provides financial and trust services, such as fiduciary services, mutual funds, annuities, 401(k) plans, and individual investment accounts. CVB Financial Corp. was founded in 1974 and is headquartered in Ontario, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CVB Financial Corp reported revenue of $643M in FY2025 versus $468M in FY2021, a compound +8.3%/yr. Reported net income was $209M in FY2025, compounding −0.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 70/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$643M
Latest YoY
−2.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.1%
Avg. growth/yr (36Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.3%
Revenue +8.3%/yr
FY21 $468M
FY22 $562M
FY23 $666M
FY24 $659M
FY25 $643M
Net income −0.4%/yr
FY21 $213M
FY22 $235M
FY23 $221M
FY24 $201M
FY25 $209M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +5.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.2 pp

of which total revenue +9.3 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.1 pp

EBIT margin −2.2 pp
Tax rate +1.4 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.1 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

CVBF screens 41% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CVB Financial Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CVBF

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1086 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −41% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 40% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 55% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.43× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.1× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.74× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 7.67× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 18.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 17.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 1.47× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 33
FUTURE 2 · sector 44
PAST 37 · sector 41
HEALTH 78 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 71 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,350 IDR 4,637 IDR -27%
KB Financial Group 105560 168,100 KRW 220,258 KRW +31%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 3,110 IDR 3,792 IDR +22%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,130 IDR 6,067 IDR +47%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 8,400 ARS +64%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 103,800 KRW 146,032 KRW +41%
Hana Financial Group 086790 127,900 KRW 210,506 KRW +65%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,500 VND 45,959 VND -23%
Woori Financial Group 316140 33,000 KRW 60,758 KRW +84%

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Frequently asked questions

Is CVB Financial Corp (CVBF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $13.76 versus a price of $23.16, about −41% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CVBF?
Our model-based fair value for CVB Financial Corp is $13.76 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $23.16.
What is the quality score of CVBF?
CVB Financial Corp has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of CVB Financial Corp (CVBF)?
CVB Financial Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $519M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CVBF?
The net profit margin of CVB Financial Corp is about 40.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 40.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does CVB Financial Corp pay a dividend?
CVB Financial Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.02% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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