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Cresud SACIF y A (CRESY) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $827M · ISIN US2264061068

What is Cresud SACIF y A really worth?

CS Cresud SACIF y A logo Cresud SACIF y A CRESY · US
Price$11.84
Fair Value$22.12
Upside+86.8%
Quality47/100

Below-average quality, trading 46% below our fair value of $22.12.

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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 18.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/11)

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +61.9 %/yr)
!Moderate moat 50/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 25 out of 100

For context

·5.21% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range $6.47 – $29.75

Fair value as of: Aug 31, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 31, 2026, revised from $22.38 to $22.12 (−1.2%) since Aug 27, 2026. Share price +7.5% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($6.47 to $29.75). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$14.11 $2.88 Fair Value $22.12 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.88 – $14.11 · fair‑value band $6.47 – $29.75 · the $11.84 price screens below the $22.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.

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Analysis

Cresud SACIF y A (CRESY) currently trades at $11.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $22.12, implying the stock looks roughly 46.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 19 models at a data quality of 80/100, which puts the evidence level at medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Cresud SACIF y A generated revenue of $1.0T at a net margin of 18.0%. Revenue grew 5.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.0%. Net debt stands at $1.2T. Fundamentals as of Aug 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $6.47 (bear case) to $29.75 (bull case); at $11.84, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 53% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at 87%, CRESY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence $11,183 $12,085 $14,899 74
Owner Earnings $14,101 $32,624 $66,994 69
Gordon GGM $9.25 $16.67 $22.94 66
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $14,101 $32,624 $66,994 69
5Y P/E Exit $21,405 $59,900 $113,716 64
10Y P/E Exit $13,227 $45,091 $100,354 55
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $9,218 $64,287 $90,217 61
Lynch FV $33,213 $47,447 $61,681 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $9.25 $16.67 $22.94 66
DDM Multi-Stage $9.25 $15.22 $17.80 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple $35,585 $47,447 $59,309 63
P/B Multiple $17,284 $23,046 $28,807 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $6,842 $9,169 $13,685 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence $11,183 $12,085 $14,899 74

Widest divergence: Earnings-Based ($47,447) versus Dividend Discount ($15.22). Highest evidence: Residual Income (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 5.8
P/S ratio 0.61 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $2.03 price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.8
Dividend yield 5.2% payout 30.4%
Net margin 10.5% FY2025
Return on equity 16.0% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 6.8% avg 5y
Operating margin 12.2% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $1.0T TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.0% 3y avg +6.0%
EPS growth (YoY) −26.3%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $55.0M FY2025
Net debt $1.2T FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 16
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 67
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 98
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Cresud Sociedad Anónima, Comercial, Inmobiliaria, Financiera y Agropecuaria, an agricultural company, engages in the production of agricultural commodities in Brazil and other Latin American countries. The company operates through Agricultural Business, and Business Urban Properties and Investments segments.

Full company description

Cresud Sociedad Anónima, Comercial, Inmobiliaria, Financiera y Agropecuaria, an agricultural company, engages in the production of agricultural commodities in Brazil and other Latin American countries. The company operates through Agricultural Business, and Business Urban Properties and Investments segments. It is also involved in the management, development, and ownership of shopping malls, office buildings, and hotels; sale of grain derivatives, such as flour and oil; production and sale of crops, such as soybean, sugarcane, wheat, corn, oilseed, and sunflower, as well as sorghum and peanuts; and breeding, purchasing, and/or fattening of cattle for sale to slaughterhouses and supermarkets. In addition, it leases its farms to third parties for agriculture, cattle breeding, and seed production; and offers agricultural services. The company was incorporated in 1936 and is headquartered in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Cresud SACIF y A reported revenue of $914B in FY2025 versus $150B in FY2021, a compound +57.1%/yr. Reported net income was $96.1B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$914B
Latest YoY
+28.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+61.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (27Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+43.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+35.2% (30.0 + 5.2)
Revenue +57.1%/yr
FY21 $150B
FY22 $768B
FY23 $707B
FY24 $711B
FY25 $914B
Net income
FY21 −$44.4B
FY22 $297B
FY23 $163B
FY24 $78.5B
FY25 $96.1B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cresud SACIF y A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CRESY

Peer Group

Conglomerates · 375 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside +87% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.2% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.49× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 15.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 23
FUTURE25 · sector 17
PAST64 · sector 17
HEALTH76 · sector 89
DIVIDEND100 · sector 42

Insider activity: 66/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Frequently asked questions

Is Cresud SACIF y A (CRESY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $22.12 versus a price of $11.84, about +87% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CRESY?
Our model-based fair value for Cresud SACIF y A is $22.12 (as of Aug 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $11.84.
What is the quality score of CRESY?
Cresud SACIF y A has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Cresud SACIF y A (CRESY)?
Cresud SACIF y A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.0T (latest available figure, as of Aug 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CRESY?
The net profit margin of Cresud SACIF y A is about 18.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 18.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Cresud SACIF y A pay a dividend?
Cresud SACIF y A currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.21% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 31, 2026).
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