Empresas Copec S.A. (COPEC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Empresas Copec S.A. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
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Below-average quality, trading 40% below our fair value of 11,036 CLP.
As of Sep 8, 2026, the fair value of Empresas Copec S.A. is 11,036 CLP per share against a price of 6,630 CLP, so the fair value sits 66% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +10.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.1% net margin
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
!Narrow moat 38/100
!Weak on past: 28 out of 100
Evidence: HighRange 8,375 CLP to 16,533 CLP
Fair value as of: Sep 8, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Sep 8, 2026, revised from 10,959 CLP to 11,036 CLP (+0.7%) since Aug 20, 2026. Share price +10.0% over the past month.
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What matters now
The price is below even our cautious bear case (8,375 CLP). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
A fairly wide model range (8,375 CLP to 16,533 CLP) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 4,457 CLP – 7,660 CLP · fair‑value band 8,375 CLP – 16,533 CLP · the 6,630 CLP price screens below the 11,036 CLP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.
Empresas Copec S.A. (COPEC) currently trades at 6,630 CLP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 11,036 CLP, implying the stock looks roughly 39.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of 11,036 CLP per share, and 7 of the 7 models we run sit above the 6,630 CLP price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 6,890 CLP, and 0 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Empresas Copec S.A. generated revenue of $30.1B at a net margin of 3.1%. Revenue grew 6.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.1%. Net debt stands at $8.3B. Fundamentals as of Sep 8, 2026
Scenario range: 8,375 CLP (bear) to 16,533 CLP (bull), the price of 6,630 CLP sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 35% fair-value upside, at 66%, COPEC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (426.59 CLP per share) are deliberately not added.
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
ModelBear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence8,347 CLP8,758 CLP9,131 CLP76
DDM Multi-Stage5,023 CLP7,833 CLP11,008 CLP66
Graham-Dodd4,286 CLP11,036 CLP14,369 CLP65
All 7 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd4,286 CLP11,036 CLP14,369 CLP65
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM5,023 CLP10,336 CLP18,459 CLP65
DDM Multi-Stage5,023 CLP7,833 CLP11,008 CLP66
Multiples
P/E Multiple9,915 CLP13,230 CLP16,535 CLP63
P/B Multiple8,029 CLP10,709 CLP13,379 CLP55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)5,144 CLP6,890 CLP10,289 CLP54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence8,347 CLP8,758 CLP9,131 CLP76
Widest divergence: Earnings-Based (11,036 CLP) versus Asset-Based (6,890 CLP). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
P/E ratio10.8
P/S ratio0.32P/E × margin
EPS (TTM)613.22 CLPprice ÷ EPS = P/E 10.8
Dividend yield0.0%payout 0.0%
Net margin3.0%FY2025
Return on equity7.1%TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT)5.8%avg 5y
Operating margin6.4%TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM)$30.1BTTM
Revenue growth (YoY)+6.0%3y avg −1.2%
EPS growth (YoY)+30.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow−$194MFY2025
Net debt$8.3BFY2025
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality47/100
Of which business quality 46
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51
Profitability35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow25
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility89
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum32
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance82
Buybacks instead of dilution
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Empresas Copec S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates in the natural resources and energy sectors in Chile and internationally. The company operates through Celulosa Arauco y Constitución S.A., Copec S.A., Abastible S.A., Sociedad Nacional de Oleoductos S.A., and Pesquera Iquique-Guanaye S.A. segments.
Full company description
Empresas Copec S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates in the natural resources and energy sectors in Chile and internationally. The company operates through Celulosa Arauco y Constitución S.A., Copec S.A., Abastible S.A., Sociedad Nacional de Oleoductos S.A., and Pesquera Iquique-Guanaye S.A. segments. It offers electric charging services, renewable energy, and energy storage and efficiency solutions; and operates service stations and convenience stores. The company also distributes liquid fuels, lubricants, liquefied gas, and natural gas; produces and sells kraft pulps, panels, and sawn timbers for the paper, construction, packaging, and furniture industries; transports gasoline, kerosene and diesel, and liquefied petroleum gas; and produces fishmeal, fish oil, and canned and frozen mussels. In addition, it engages in the forestry, fishing, and mining businesses; sale of beans, rice, chickpeas, and lentils under the San José brand; distribution of general mills' products and processed avocado pears; investment in electromobility and start-ups involving energy, mobility, convenience, and other projects; and electricity generation and distribution from renewable energies. It exports its products to Asia and America. The company was incorporated in 1934 and is based in Santiago, Chile. Empresas Copec S.A. is a subsidiary of AntarChile S.A.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Empresas Copec S.A. reported revenue of $29.6B in FY2025 versus $24.8B in FY2021, a compound +4.6%/yr. Reported net income was $877M in FY2025, compounding −16.2%/yr from FY2021.
Growth Quality 50/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$29.6B
Latest YoY
+3.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (19Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.0%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+35.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+35.7%
Dividend yield0.0%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 35.7% vs 10Y 4.7%, picking up
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3.6% (2020) → 4.2% (2025) · steady
Worst earnings drop84% (2019) · in USD
Revenue+4.6%/yr
FY21$24.8B
FY22$30.8B
FY23$28.5B
FY24$28.7B
FY25$29.6B
Net income−16.2%/yr
FY21$1.8B
FY22$1.5B
FY23$349M
FY24$1.1B
FY25$877M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2011-2022)+5.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share+0.8 %
of which total revenue +0.8 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %
EBIT margin+2.3 %
Tax rate+0.4 %
Residual (interest, one-offs)+1.8 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE100· sector 29
FUTURE30· sector 16
PAST28· sector 17
HEALTH68· sector 89
DIVIDEND0· sector 41
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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Is Empresas Copec S.A. (COPEC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 11,036 CLP versus a price of 6,630 CLP, about +66% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of COPEC?
Our model-based fair value for Empresas Copec S.A. is 11,036 CLP (as of Sep 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 6,630 CLP.
What is the quality score of COPEC?
Empresas Copec S.A. has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Empresas Copec S.A. (COPEC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 11,036 CLP (as of Sep 8, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 8,375 CLP, optimistic scenario 16,533 CLP. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Empresas Copec S.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 11,036 CLP, about +66% upside versus a price of 6,630 CLP (undervalued). Cautious scenario 8,375 CLP, optimistic scenario 16,533 CLP. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Empresas Copec S.A. (COPEC)?
Empresas Copec S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $30.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of COPEC?
The net profit margin of Empresas Copec S.A. is about 3.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Empresas Copec S.A. pay a dividend?
Empresas Copec S.A. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.00% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 8, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Empresas Copec S.A. (COPEC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Empresas Copec S.A. it is 11,036 CLP per share (as of Sep 8, 2026), against a price of 6,630 CLP. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Empresas Copec S.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 8, 2026, COPEC trades below its calculated fair value: price 6,630 CLP, fair value 11,036 CLP, a gap of about +66% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of COPEC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (6,630 CLP); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (11,036 CLP). For Empresas Copec S.A. the two are 4,406 CLP per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Empresas Copec S.A. worth?
The market values Empresas Copec S.A. at about 8.6T CLP (market capitalisation, as of Sep 8, 2026). Per share that is 6,630 CLP; our models calculate a fair value of 11,036 CLP per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about COPEC?
Our models span a range for Empresas Copec S.A.: cautious scenario 8,375 CLP, base 11,036 CLP, optimistic 16,533 CLP per share (as of Sep 8, 2026, price 6,630 CLP). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of COPEC?
Empresas Copec S.A. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.8 (as of Sep 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 11,036 CLP is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 3.2, P/B 0.6, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 8.6.
What is the PEG ratio of COPEC?
The PEG ratio of Empresas Copec S.A. is 3.22 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 8, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Empresas Copec S.A. (COPEC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Empresas Copec S.A. (as of Sep 8, 2026): return on equity 7.1%, debt of 0.65 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is COPEC from its 52-week high?
Empresas Copec S.A. trades at 6,630 CLP, about 15% below its 52-week high of 7,805 CLP and 13% above the low of 5,843 CLP (as of Sep 8, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 11,036 CLP is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Empresas Copec S.A.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value ITOCHU Corporation, 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, CITIC Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Empresas Copec S.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 8, 2026: price 6,630 CLP, calculated fair value 11,036 CLP (+66%), Quality Score 47/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of COPEC calculated?
We run Empresas Copec S.A. through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 11,036 CLP, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 32.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Empresas Copec S.A. currently trades 66 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on <a href="/is-it-worth-investing-now/">is it worth investing now</a>.
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