Empresas Copec S.A. (COPEC) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CL · Market cap 7.8T CLP (≈ $8.6B) · ISIN CLP7847L1080
What is Empresas Copec S.A. really worth?
Below-average quality, trading 38% below our fair value of 10,959 CLP.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 20, 2026, revised from 10,809 CLP to 10,959 CLP (+1.4%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +8.9% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (8,317 CLP). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (8,317 CLP to 16,417 CLP) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 4,457 CLP – 7,660 CLP · fair‑value band 8,317 CLP – 16,417 CLP · the 6,782 CLP price screens below the 10,959 CLP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
Analysis
Empresas Copec S.A. (COPEC) currently trades at 6,782 CLP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 10,959 CLP, implying the stock looks roughly 38.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of 10,959 CLP per share, and 7 of the 7 models we run sit above the 6,782 CLP price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 6,842 CLP, and 0 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Empresas Copec S.A. generated revenue of 30.1B CLP at a net margin of 3.1%. Revenue grew 6.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.1%. Net debt stands at 8.3B CLP. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 8,317 CLP (bear case) to 16,417 CLP (bull case); at 6,782 CLP, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at 62%, COPEC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 416.52 CLP per share, which is 3.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Earnings-Based (10,959 CLP) versus Asset-Based (6,842 CLP). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Empresas Copec S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates in the natural resources and energy sectors in Chile and internationally. The company operates through Celulosa Arauco y Constitución S.A., Copec S.A., Abastible S.A., Sociedad Nacional de Oleoductos S.A., and Pesquera Iquique-Guanaye S.A. segments.
Full company description
Empresas Copec S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates in the natural resources and energy sectors in Chile and internationally. The company operates through Celulosa Arauco y Constitución S.A., Copec S.A., Abastible S.A., Sociedad Nacional de Oleoductos S.A., and Pesquera Iquique-Guanaye S.A. segments. It offers electric charging services, renewable energy, and energy storage and efficiency solutions; and operates service stations and convenience stores. The company also distributes liquid fuels, lubricants, liquefied gas, and natural gas; produces and sells kraft pulps, panels, and sawn timbers for the paper, construction, packaging, and furniture industries; transports gasoline, kerosene and diesel, and liquefied petroleum gas; and produces fishmeal, fish oil, and canned and frozen mussels. In addition, it engages in the forestry, fishing, and mining businesses; sale of beans, rice, chickpeas, and lentils under the San José brand; distribution of general mills' products and processed avocado pears; investment in electromobility and start-ups involving energy, mobility, convenience, and other projects; and electricity generation and distribution from renewable energies. It exports its products to Asia and America. The company was incorporated in 1934 and is based in Santiago, Chile. Empresas Copec S.A. is a subsidiary of AntarChile S.A.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Empresas Copec S.A. reported revenue of $29.6B in FY2025 versus $24.8B in FY2021, a compound +4.6%/yr. Reported net income was $877M in FY2025, compounding −16.2%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +0.8 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Empresas COPEC SA (XSGO:COPEC) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Record EBITDA and Strategic ...
- Empresas COPEC SA (XSGO:COPEC) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Energy Division ...
- Empresas COPEC SA (XSGO:COPEC) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strategic Gains Amidst Sector ...
- Empresas Copec's Q4 profit jumps 26%, above expectations
Peer Group
Conglomerates · 375 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
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10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).
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| SK Inc 034730 | 553,000 KRW | 615,077 KRW | +11% |
| PT Astra International Tbk, ASII | 4,800 IDR | 9,600 IDR | +100% |
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