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City Holding Company (CHCO) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $1.8B · ISIN US1778351056

What is City Holding Company really worth?

CH City Holding Company logo City Holding Company CHCO · US
Price$144.95
Fair Value$84.60
Upside−41.6%
Quality70/100

A solid business, but trading 71% above our fair value of $84.60.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +9.0 %/yr)
Highly profitable · 41.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 84/100

Risks

!Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
!Weak on future: 28 out of 100

For context

·2.35% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $63.45 – $105.75

Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 13 days ago

Share price −0.5% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($105.75). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$147.98 $63.16 Fair Value $84.60 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $63.16 – $147.98 · fair‑value band $63.45 – $105.75 · the $144.95 price screens above the $84.60 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

City Holding Company (CHCO) currently trades at $144.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $84.60, implying the stock looks roughly 71.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $80.33 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the $144.95 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $38.31, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, City Holding Company generated revenue of $320M at a net margin of 41.3%. Revenue grew 5.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.0%. Net debt stands at $366M. Fundamentals as of Aug 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $63.45 (bear case) to $105.75 (bull case); at $144.95, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −42%, CHCO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $3.85 per share, which is 4.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence $55.48 $69.53 $152.91 70
Gordon GGM $26.04 $46.92 $64.59 68
DDM Multi-Stage $26.04 $38.31 $49.61 67
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $26.04 $46.92 $64.59 68
DDM Multi-Stage $26.04 $38.31 $49.61 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $90.16 $120.21 $150.26 63
P/B Multiple $60.25 $80.33 $100.41 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $28.69 $38.44 $57.38 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence $55.48 $69.53 $152.91 70

Widest divergence: Multiples ($80.33) versus Dividend Discount ($38.31). Highest evidence: Residual Income (70).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 16.0
P/S ratio 5.32 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $9.07 price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.0
Dividend yield 2.3% payout 37.5%
Net margin 33.3% FY2025
Return on equity 17.0% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 2.2% avg 5y
Operating margin 51.0% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $320M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.5% 3y avg +15.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +6.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $128M FY2025
Net debt $366M FY2025 · ≈ 2.8 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 70/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 84
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 8
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 97
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 62
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 75
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 97
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

City Holding Company operates as a financial holding company for City National Bank of West Virginia that provides banking, trust and investment management, and other financial solutions in the United States. It offers checking, savings, and money market accounts, as well as certificates of deposit and individual retirement accounts.

Full company description

City Holding Company operates as a financial holding company for City National Bank of West Virginia that provides banking, trust and investment management, and other financial solutions in the United States. It offers checking, savings, and money market accounts, as well as certificates of deposit and individual retirement accounts. The company also provides commercial and industrial loans that consist of loans to corporate and other legal entity borrowers primarily in small to mid-size industrial and commercial companies; commercial real estate loans comprising commercial mortgages, which are secured by nonresidential and multi-family residential properties; residential real estate loans to consumers for the purchase or refinance of residence; first-priority home equity loans; home equity lines of credit; amortized home equity loans; consumer loans that are secured and unsecured by automobiles, boats, recreational vehicles, certificates of deposit, and other personal property; and demand deposit account overdrafts, as well as owner-occupied real estate and construction, land development, and lines of credit. In addition, it offers mortgage banking services, including fixed and adjustable-rate mortgages, construction financing, land loans, production of conventional and government-insured mortgages, secondary marketing, and mortgage servicing. Further, the company provides treasury management, lockbox, and other cash management services; merchant credit card services; wealth management, trust, investment, and custodial services for commercial and individual customers; and corporate trust and institutional custody, financial and estate planning, and retirement plan services, as well as automated-teller-machine, interactive-teller-machine, mobile banking, interactive voice response systems, and credit and debit card services. The company was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Charleston, West Virginia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

City Holding Company reported revenue of $392M in FY2025 versus $229M in FY2021, a compound +14.4%/yr. Reported net income was $130M in FY2025, compounding +10.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 88/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$392M
Latest YoY
+5.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (36Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+12.5% (10.2 + 2.3)
Revenue +14.4%/yr
FY21 $229M
FY22 $256M
FY23 $334M
FY24 $371M
FY25 $392M
Net income +10.3%/yr
FY21 $88.1M
FY22 $102M
FY23 $114M
FY24 $117M
FY25 $130M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +10.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +8.4 %

of which total revenue +8.0 % · buybacks/dilution +0.4 %

EBIT margin −0.5 %
Tax rate +2.0 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

CHCO screens 71% overvalued. Compare with DBS Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "City Holding Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CHCO

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1071 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −42% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 41% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 51% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.3% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.19× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.22× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 5.61× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 14.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 10.5× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.91× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 33
FUTURE28 · sector 45
PAST68 · sector 41
HEALTH91 · sector 85
DIVIDEND47 · sector 51

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 88/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DBS Group D05 75.65 SGD 40.48 SGD −46%
China Merchants Bank Co 3968 HK$47.96 HK$76.51 +60%
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP €6.78 €5.66 −17%
HDFC Bank Limited HDB $23.17 $24.12 +4%
BNP Paribas SA BNP €102.56 €144.64 +41%
UniCredit S.p.A UCG €84.71 €77.62 −8%
Mizuho Financial Group MFG $10.74 $9.69 −10%
ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK ₹1,443 ₹835.21 −42%
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation O39 31.07 SGD 19.80 SGD −36%
CaixaBank, S.A CABK €13.52 €8.85 −35%

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Frequently asked questions

Is City Holding Company (CHCO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $84.60 versus a price of $144.95, about −42% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CHCO?
Our model-based fair value for City Holding Company is $84.60 (as of Aug 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $144.95.
What is the quality score of CHCO?
City Holding Company has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of City Holding Company (CHCO)?
City Holding Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $320M (latest available figure, as of Aug 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CHCO?
The net profit margin of City Holding Company is about 41.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 41.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does City Holding Company pay a dividend?
City Holding Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.35% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 23, 2026).
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