Callaway Golf Company (CALY) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $3.5B · ISIN US1311931042
What is Callaway Golf Company really worth?
Callaway Golf Company
CALY · US
A solid business, but trading 231% above our fair value of $4.75.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price −19.7% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($5.94). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.97 – $27.04 · fair‑value band $3.56 – $5.94 · the $15.72 price screens above the $4.75 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
Analysis
Callaway Golf Company (CALY) currently trades at $15.72, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.75, implying the stock looks roughly 230.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $15.97 per share, and 7 of the 24 models we run sit above the $15.72 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $1.20, and 17 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Callaway Golf Company generated revenue of $2.1B at a net margin of −15.0%. Revenue grew 9.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.2%. Net debt stands at $771M. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $3.56 (bear case) to $5.94 (bull case); at $15.72, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 150% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at −70%, CALY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.1759 per share, which is 3.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($15.97) versus Earnings-Based ($1.20). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Callaway Golf Company designs, manufactures, and sells golf equipment, golf and lifestyle apparel, and other accessories in the United States, Europe, Asia, and Internationally. It operates in two business segments: Golf Equipment; and Apparel, Gear and Other.
Full company description
Callaway Golf Company designs, manufactures, and sells golf equipment, golf and lifestyle apparel, and other accessories in the United States, Europe, Asia, and Internationally. It operates in two business segments: Golf Equipment; and Apparel, Gear and Other. The company provides drivers, fairway woods, hybrids, irons, and wedges under the Callaway brands; packaged sets under the Callaway and Strata brands; and putters under Odyssey brand. It designs, manufactures, and sells golf clubs, golf balls, apparel, bags, and other accessories under TravisMathew and OGIO brand. It sells its products through golf retailers, sporting goods retailers, online retailers, mass merchants, department stores, third-party distributors, and merchants, and directly to consumers through its retail stores and websites. The company was formerly known as Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp. and changed its name to Callaway Golf Company in January 2026. The company was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in Carlsbad, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Callaway Golf Company reported revenue of $2.1B in FY2025 versus $3.1B in FY2021, a compound −10.0%/yr. Reported net income was $38.8M in FY2025, compounding −41.1%/yr from FY2021.
CALY screens 231% overvalued. Compare with ANTA Sports Products Limited →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Callaway Golf (CALY) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
- Callaway forecasts $2.045B-$2.070B 2026 net sales and $246M-$260M adjusted EBITDA amid revised tariff assumptions
- Evaluating How Callaway Golf (CALY) is Unlocking Value
Peer Group
Leisure · 190 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Leisure median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ANTA Sports Products Limited 82020 | HK$65.10 | HK$97.98 | +51% |
| Pop Mart International Group 9992 | HK$158.70 | HK$227.30 | +43% |
| Amer Sports, Inc AS | $33.03 | $16.16 | −51% |
| Hasbro, Inc HAS | $94.10 | $81.97 | −13% |
| Life Time Group LTH | $45.40 | $15.61 | −66% |
| Li Ning Company 82331 | HK$11.62 | HK$11.48 | −1% |
| Acushnet Holdings GOLF | $89.10 | $36.89 | −59% |
| Ninebot Limited 689009 | ¥44.94 | ¥39.73 | −12% |
| Mattel, Inc MAT | $15.26 | $18.93 | +24% |
| Planet Fitness, Inc PLNT | $53.33 | $52.62 | −1% |
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