Burberry Group PLC (BRBY) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · GB · Market cap 4.0B GBX · ISIN GB0031743007
What is Burberry Group PLC really worth?
Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
A solid business, but trading 520% above our fair value of £1.78.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price −8.7% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£1.78). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £5.71 – £24.41 · the £11.04 price screens above the £1.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
Analysis
Burberry Group PLC (BRBY) currently trades at £11.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.78, implying the stock looks roughly 520.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of £9.93 per share, and 6 of the 24 models we run sit above the £11.04 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at £0.8100, and 18 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Burberry Group PLC generated revenue of £2.4B at a net margin of 0.9%. Revenue grew 0.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.1%. Net debt stands at £852M. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at −84%, BRBY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly £0.0258 per share, which is 1.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (£9.93) versus Earnings-Based (£0.8100). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Burberry Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in manufacturing, retail, and wholesale of luxury goods under the Burberry brand in the Asia Pacific, China, Europe, the Middle East, India, Africa, and the Americas. The company operates in two segments, Retail/Wholesale and Licensing.
Full company description
Burberry Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in manufacturing, retail, and wholesale of luxury goods under the Burberry brand in the Asia Pacific, China, Europe, the Middle East, India, Africa, and the Americas. The company operates in two segments, Retail/Wholesale and Licensing. It offers accessories, womenswear, menswear, childrenswear, and others, as well as eyewear and beauty, and bags. The company also licenses third parties to manufacture and distribute products using the Burberry trademarks. It sells its products through operated stores, concessions, outlets, digital commerce, Burberry franchisees, department stores, multi-brand specialty accounts, and through the Burberry.com website. Burberry Group plc was founded in 1856 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Burberry Group PLC reported revenue of £2.4B in FY2026 versus £2.8B in FY2022, a compound −3.8%/yr. Reported net income was £21.0M in FY2026, compounding −52.0%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +0.4 % · buybacks/dilution +2.3 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
BRBY screens 520% overvalued. Compare with Hermès International Société en commandite par actions →
Peer Group
Luxury Goods · 135 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hermès International Société en commandite par actions RMS | €1,598 | €950.24 | −41% |
| Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR | CHF 192.15 | CHF 119.49 | −38% |
| Christian Dior SE DIO | €423.60 | €1,095 | +159% |
| Titan Company TITAN | ₹5,106 | ₹972.23 | −81% |
| Tapestry, Inc TPR | $153.74 | $19.95 | −87% |
| Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 | HK$12.31 | HK$11.51 | −6% |
| The Swatch Group UHRN | CHF 36.35 | CHF 8.46 | −77% |
| Prada S.p.A 1913 | HK$40.86 | HK$64.71 | +58% |
| Pandora A/S PNDORA | kr 783.00 | kr 1,424 | +82% |
| Laopu Gold Co 6181 | HK$385.00 | HK$654.83 | +70% |
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