Banque Cantonale Vaudoise (BCVN) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · CH · Market cap CHF 10.5B · ISIN CH0531751755
What is Banque Cantonale Vaudoise really worth?
A solid business, but trading 107% above our fair value of CHF 64.25.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 1, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price +5.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 80.31). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 54.39 – CHF 133.50 · fair‑value band CHF 48.19 – CHF 80.31 · the CHF 133.00 price screens above the CHF 64.25 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
Analysis
Banque Cantonale Vaudoise (BCVN) currently trades at CHF 133.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 64.25, implying the stock looks roughly 107.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of CHF 64.81 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the CHF 133.00 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at CHF 31.02, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Banque Cantonale Vaudoise generated revenue of CHF 1.1B at a net margin of 37.4%. Revenue declined 0.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.9%. Net debt stands at CHF 1.8B. Fundamentals as of Sep 1, 2026
Our scenario range runs from CHF 48.19 (bear case) to CHF 80.31 (bull case); at CHF 133.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 56% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −52%, BCVN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly CHF 0.4128 per share, which is 0.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (CHF 64.81) versus Asset-Based (CHF 31.02). Highest evidence: Residual Income (75).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 84
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Banque Cantonale Vaudoise engages in the provision of various financial services in Vaud Canton and rest of Switzerland, the European Union, North America, and internationally. It operates through four divisions: Retail Banking, Private Banking, Corporate Banking, and Asset Management & Trading.
Full company description
Banque Cantonale Vaudoise engages in the provision of various financial services in Vaud Canton and rest of Switzerland, the European Union, North America, and internationally. It operates through four divisions: Retail Banking, Private Banking, Corporate Banking, and Asset Management & Trading. The company offers current, savings, foreign-currency, and retirement investment accounts; overdraft facilities; credit and payment cards; mortgage, personal, home, business, and construction loans; and production equipment financing and working capital and international trade finance products. It also provides a range of banking services, such as investments, real estate, financial planning services, and trading through its TradeDirect online platform; and cash management services, as well as instruments for hedging exchange-rate and interest-rate risk. In addition, the company offers asset and wealth management services; and investment and hedging products, such as currencies, equities, bonds, derivatives, and structured products. Further, it engages in the market transactions in equities, fixed-income instruments, forex, and precious metals on behalf of clients. Additionally, the company provides life insurance products, ATMs, and online banking services; manages finances and investments of high-net-worth individuals; and advisory services, such as tax planning, estate planning, and financial planning; and retirement, life insurance, and disability coverages. It primarily serves retail and business customers, and public sector institutions. Banque Cantonale Vaudoise was founded in 1845 and is headquartered in Lausanne, Switzerland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Banque Cantonale Vaudoise reported revenue of CHF 1.4B in FY2025 versus CHF 1.0B in FY2021, a compound +8.6%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 430M in FY2025, compounding +3.2%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +2.6 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
BCVN screens 107% overvalued. Compare with DBS Group →
Peer Group
Banks - Regional · 1071 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 1, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DBS Group D05 | 75.65 SGD | 40.48 SGD | −46% |
| China Merchants Bank Co 3968 | HK$47.96 | HK$76.51 | +60% |
| Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP | €6.78 | €5.66 | −17% |
| HDFC Bank Limited HDB | $23.17 | $24.12 | +4% |
| BNP Paribas SA BNP | €102.56 | €144.64 | +41% |
| UniCredit S.p.A UCG | €84.71 | €77.62 | −8% |
| Mizuho Financial Group MFG | $10.74 | $9.69 | −10% |
| ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK | ₹1,443 | ₹835.21 | −42% |
| Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation O39 | 31.07 SGD | 19.80 SGD | −36% |
| CaixaBank, S.A CABK | €13.52 | €8.85 | −35% |
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