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Banco del Bajío, S.A (BBAJIOO) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · MX · Market cap 66.8B MXN

BD Banco del Bajío, S.A BBAJIOO · MX
Price56.14 MXN
Fair Value77.33 MXN
Upside+37.7%
Quality62/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 39.9% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Wide moat 73/100
Evidence: High Range 58.00 MXN – 96.66 MXN Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 99.19 MXN to 77.33 MXN (−22.0%) since Jul 12, 2026. Share price +2.8% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 38% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (58.00 MXN). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

57.64 MXN 16.44 MXN Fair Value 77.33 MXN Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 16.44 MXN – 57.64 MXN · fair‑value band 58.00 MXN – 96.66 MXN · the 56.14 MXN price screens below the 77.33 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Banco del Bajío, S.A (BBAJIOO) currently trades at 56.14 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 77.33 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 37.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Banco del Bajío, S.A generated revenue of 21.7B MXN at a net margin of 39.9%. Revenue declined 7.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.6%. Net debt stands at 29.9B MXN. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 58.00 MXN (bear case) to 96.66 MXN (bull case); at 56.14 MXN, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at 38%, BBAJIOO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 48.38 MXN 59.41 MXN 147.02 MXN 76
Gordon GGM 49.46 MXN 102.84 MXN 163.15 MXN 70
P/E Multiple 74.39 MXN 99.19 MXN 123.99 MXN 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 49.46 MXN 102.84 MXN 163.15 MXN 70
DDM Multi-Stage 49.46 MXN 86.72 MXN 107.93 MXN 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 74.39 MXN 99.19 MXN 123.99 MXN 63
P/B Multiple 42.21 MXN 56.28 MXN 70.36 MXN 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 20.10 MXN 26.94 MXN 40.20 MXN 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 48.38 MXN 59.41 MXN 147.02 MXN 76

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (86.72 MXN) versus Asset-Based (26.94 MXN). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 21.7B MXN
Revenue growth (YoY) -7.5%
Net margin 39.9%
Return on equity 17.6%
Free cash flow 21.3B MXN FY2025
P/E ratio 7.4
More key figures
Operating margin 52.7%
EPS (TTM) 7.63 MXN
EPS growth (YoY) -4.5%
Net debt 29.9B MXN FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 20
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 65
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Banco del Bajío, S.A., Institución de Banca Múltiple provides banking products and services in Mexico. The company offers electronic and specialized banking, banking insurance, credits, accounts, foreign exchange, investments, payroll, and credit card services.

Full company description

Banco del Bajío, S.A., Institución de Banca Múltiple provides banking products and services in Mexico. The company offers electronic and specialized banking, banking insurance, credits, accounts, foreign exchange, investments, payroll, and credit card services. It also provides agribusiness, level accounts, derivatives, electronic account statement, saving fund, electronic payroll, business package, and protection line services. The company was incorporated in 1994 and is based in León, Mexico.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Banco del Bajío, S.A reported revenue of 26.2B MXN in FY2025 versus 14.1B MXN in FY2021, a compound +16.8%/yr. Reported net income was 9.1B MXN in FY2025, compounding +17.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 94/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
26.2B MXN
Latest YoY
−3.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.9%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.7%
Revenue +16.8%/yr
FY21 14.1B MXN
FY22 17.2B MXN
FY23 26.0B MXN
FY24 27.2B MXN
FY25 26.2B MXN
Net income +17.2%/yr
FY21 4.8B MXN
FY22 7.0B MXN
FY23 11.0B MXN
FY24 10.7B MXN
FY25 9.1B MXN

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Banco del Bajío, S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BBAJIOO

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1086 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +38% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 40% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 53% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.64× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.40× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.09× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 84 · sector 33
FUTURE 0 · sector 44
PAST 71 · sector 41
HEALTH 68 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,350 IDR 4,637 IDR -27%
KB Financial Group 105560 168,100 KRW 220,258 KRW +31%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 3,110 IDR 3,792 IDR +22%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,130 IDR 6,067 IDR +47%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 8,400 ARS +64%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 103,800 KRW 146,032 KRW +41%
Hana Financial Group 086790 127,900 KRW 210,506 KRW +65%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,500 VND 45,959 VND -23%
Woori Financial Group 316140 33,000 KRW 60,758 KRW +84%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Banco del Bajío, S.A (BBAJIOO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 77.33 MXN versus a price of 56.14 MXN, about +38% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BBAJIOO?
Our model-based fair value for Banco del Bajío, S.A is 77.33 MXN (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 56.14 MXN.
What is the quality score of BBAJIOO?
Banco del Bajío, S.A has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Banco del Bajío, S.A (BBAJIOO)?
Banco del Bajío, S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 21.7B MXN (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BBAJIOO?
The net profit margin of Banco del Bajío, S.A is about 39.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 39.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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