Banco BPM S.p.A (BAMI) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · IT · Market cap €25.6B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from €17.98 to €16.20 (−9.9%) since Jul 25, 2026. Share price +8.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €1.53 – €17.18 · fair‑value band €12.16 – €20.26 · the €16.92 price screens above the €16.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Banco BPM S.p.A (BAMI) currently trades at €16.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €16.20, implying the stock looks roughly 4.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Banco BPM S.p.A generated revenue of €5.4B at a net margin of 37.8%. Revenue grew 2.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.7%. Net debt stands at €17.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €12.16 (bear case) to €20.26 (bull case); at €16.92, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 92% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at -4%, BAMI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (€14.57) versus Asset-Based (€6.90). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 90
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Banco BPM S.p.A. provides banking and financial products and services to individual, business, and corporate customers in Italy. The company operates through six segments: Commercial; Corporate and Investment Banking; Asset Management and Insurance; Other Partnerships; Finance; and Corporate Centre.
Full company description
Banco BPM S.p.A. provides banking and financial products and services to individual, business, and corporate customers in Italy. The company operates through six segments: Commercial; Corporate and Investment Banking; Asset Management and Insurance; Other Partnerships; Finance; and Corporate Centre. It offers current account and digital services; safety deposit boxes; home, personal, property, and car and vehicle insurances; credit, telepass family, debit, payment, and prepaid cards; T3 Trading, web, and T3 mobile platforms; home and surrogacy mortgagees; long term car rental; personal loans, including salary-backed loan; calculate mortgage payments; mutual funds, insurance investment, saving, and certificate products; and supplementary pension securities comprising true life secure retirement and anima arts and crafts pension funds. The company also provides business current accounts; green and sustainable, ordinary financing, dedicated, subsidized, and condominium credit financing products; international payments and collections, trade and export finance, and digital international solutions; license plate, equipment, real estate, renewable energy, operating, and nautical leasing services; POS receipts; and RIBA, MAV and SDD collections. In addition, it offers multi-risk, personal, property, and motor vehicle insurance; corporate cards; digital services; foreign risk coverage, exchange risk hedging, and interest rate risk coverage; investment banking, including equity capital market, mergers and acquisitions, securitization, and debt capital markets; documentary box office receipts, electronic collections abroad, international guarantees, and pro-soluto assignment of export credits services; structured finances; and collection and payment services. The company was formerly known as Banco Popolare Societa Cooperativa Scarl and changed its name to Banco BPM Società per Azioni in January 2017. Banco BPM S.p.A. was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Verona, Italy.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Banco BPM S.p.A reported revenue of €5.8B in FY2025 versus €4.4B in FY2021, a compound +7.5%/yr. Reported net income was €2.1B in FY2025, compounding +38.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Banco BPM SpA (BNCZF) (H1 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Record Profit and Raised Shareholder ...
- CREDIT AGRICOLE SA: Crédit Agricole now stands at 29.3% of Banco BPM’s share capital
- Assessing Banco BPM (BIT:BAMI) Valuation After Strong Recent Share Price Momentum
Peer Group
Banks - Regional · 1086 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA | 6,350 IDR | 4,637 IDR | -27% |
| KB Financial Group 105560 | 168,100 KRW | 220,258 KRW | +31% |
| PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI | 3,110 IDR | 3,792 IDR | +22% |
| PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI | 4,130 IDR | 6,067 IDR | +47% |
| Banco Bradesco S.A BBD | 5,120 ARS | 8,400 ARS | +64% |
| Shinhan Financial Group 055550 | 103,800 KRW | 146,032 KRW | +41% |
| Hana Financial Group 086790 | 127,900 KRW | 210,506 KRW | +65% |
| Lloyds Banking Group LYG | 4,138 ARS | 8,275 ARS | +100% |
| Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB | 59,500 VND | 45,959 VND | -23% |
| Woori Financial Group 316140 | 33,000 KRW | 60,758 KRW | +84% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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