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Astronics Corp Cl B (ATROB) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $3.4B · ISIN US0464332073

What is Astronics Corp Cl B really worth?

AC Astronics Corp Cl B logo Astronics Corp Cl B ATROB · US
Price$72.66
Fair Value$16.02
Upside−78.0%
Quality54/100

A solid business, but trading 354% above our fair value of $16.02.

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Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +11.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.1% net margin
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
!Moderate moat 56/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Medium Range $7.19 – $21.09

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −4.3% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($21.09). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($7.19 to $21.09). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$92.98 $5.24 Fair Value $16.02 Apr 2017 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.24 – $92.98 · fair‑value band $7.19 – $21.09 · the $72.66 price screens above the $16.02 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Astronics Corp Cl B (ATROB) currently trades at $72.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.02, implying the stock looks roughly 353.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $19.22 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the $72.66 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $2.44, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Astronics Corp Cl B generated revenue of $887M at a net margin of 5.1%. Revenue grew 12.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.2%. Net debt stands at $360M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $7.19 (bear case) to $21.09 (bull case); at $72.66, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 217% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −44% fair-value upside, at −78%, ATROB screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.6835 per share, which is 4.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely ($2.44 to $31.66). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EPV $8.03 $10.59 $12.81 74
FCF DCF $6.37 $19.22 $42.94 73
Owner Earnings $4.34 $14.94 73
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $6.37 $19.22 $42.94 73
Owner Earnings $4.34 $14.94 73
5Y Revenue Exit $8.77 $24.06 $45.66 68
5Y EBITDA Exit $12.29 $31.66 $57.00 71
5Y P/E Exit $4.10 $13.98 $25.63 66
10Y Revenue Exit $7.20 $21.50 $45.10 61
10Y EBITDA Exit $10.15 $27.08 $54.80 63
10Y P/E Exit $4.74 $14.08 $27.96 59
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $5.19 $27.96 $38.75 63
Lynch FV $7.74 $11.06 $14.37 61
PEG = 1.0 $7.74 $11.06 $14.37 57
EPV $8.03 $10.59 $12.81 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $12.02 $16.02 $20.03 63
P/S Multiple $9.73 $12.97 $16.21 58
P/B Multiple $9.73 $12.97 $16.21 55
EV/EBIT $17.10 $25.54 $33.98 65
EV/EBITDA $16.67 $24.97 $33.27 66
EV/Revenue $9.85 $17.60 $25.34 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.82 $2.44 $3.64 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $6.05 $17.46 $36.70 72
Rev-Margin DCF $8.77 $23.43 $43.31 68
Economic Profit
Residual Income $4.82 $6.41 $25.92 64
ROIC Compounder $10.06 $16.94 $25.56 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $11.36 $16.23 $21.09 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($19.22) versus Asset-Based ($2.44). Highest evidence: EPV (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 78.7 as of Jun 18, 2026
P/S ratio 2.68 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $1.01 price ÷ EPS = P/E 78.7
Net margin 3.4% FY2025
Return on equity 21.2% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 0.9% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 11.8% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $887M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.0% 3y avg +17.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +154%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $43.1M FY2025
Net debt $360M FY2025 · ≈ 8.4 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 59
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 78
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 30
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 25
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 77
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 87
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 9
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Astronics Corporation, through its subsidiaries, designs and manufactures products for the aerospace, defense, and electronics industries in the United States, rest of North America, Asia, Europe, South America, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Aerospace and Test Systems.

Full company description

Astronics Corporation, through its subsidiaries, designs and manufactures products for the aerospace, defense, and electronics industries in the United States, rest of North America, Asia, Europe, South America, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Aerospace and Test Systems. The Aerospace segment offers lighting and safety systems, electrical power generation systems, distribution and seat motions systems, aircraft structures, avionics products, systems certification, and other products. This segment serves airframe manufacturers (OEM) that build aircraft for the commercial transport, military, and general aviation markets; suppliers to OEMs; and aircraft operators, such as airlines; suppliers to the aircraft operators; and branches of the U.S. Department of Defense. The Test Systems segment designs, develops, manufactures, and maintains automated test systems that support the aerospace and defense, communications, and mass transit industries, as well as training and simulation devices for commercial and military applications. This segment serves OEMs and prime government contractors for electronics and military products. The company was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in East Aurora, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Astronics Corp Cl B reported revenue of $862M in FY2025 versus $445M in FY2021, a compound +18.0%/yr. Reported net income was $29.4M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 76/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$862M
Latest YoY
+8.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.0%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−8.3% (−8.3 + 0.0)
Revenue +18.0%/yr
FY21 $445M
FY22 $535M
FY23 $689M
FY24 $795M
FY25 $862M
Net income
FY21 −$25.6M
FY22 −$35.7M
FY23 −$26.4M
FY24 −$16.2M
FY25 $29.4M

ATROB screens 354% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Astronics Corp Cl B Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ATROB

Peer Group

Aerospace & Defense · 229 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −78% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Debt / equity 2.39× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 78.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 24.41× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.86× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 79.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 30.2× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.47× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE60 · sector 50
PAST85 · sector 38
HEALTH0 · sector 93
DIVIDEND0 · sector 16

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE $335.71 $116.71 −65%
RTX Corporation RTX $212.08 $88.37 −58%
Airbus SE AIR €213.00 €117.01 −45%
Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT $565.89 $419.01 −26%
Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM $264.85 $50.43 −81%
General Dynamics Corporation GD $379.32 $274.32 −28%
Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC $545.57 $356.59 −35%
TransDigm Group TDG $1,235 $571.03 −54%
L3Harris Technologies, Inc LHX $262.82 $146.55 −44%
Thales S.A HO €243.70 €171.13 −30%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Astronics Corp Cl B (ATROB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $16.02 versus a price of $72.66, about −78% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ATROB?
Our model-based fair value for Astronics Corp Cl B is $16.02 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $72.66.
What is the quality score of ATROB?
Astronics Corp Cl B has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Astronics Corp Cl B (ATROB)?
Astronics Corp Cl B reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $887M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ATROB?
The net profit margin of Astronics Corp Cl B is about 5.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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