ASSA ABLOY AB (ASSA-B) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · SE · Market cap 387B SEK
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Share price +9.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 25% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (kr 180.23 to kr 353.80) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 189.30 – kr 391.10 · fair‑value band kr 180.23 – kr 353.80 · the kr 360.50 price screens above the kr 269.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
ASSA ABLOY AB (ASSA-B) currently trades at kr 360.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 269.97, implying the stock looks roughly 25.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, ASSA ABLOY AB generated revenue of 150B SEK at a net margin of 10.5%. Revenue declined 5.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.1%. Net debt stands at 68.9B SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 180.23 (bear case) to kr 353.80 (bull case); at kr 360.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at -25%, ASSA-B screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 322.66) versus Asset-Based (kr 64.63). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Notify me when ASSA-B reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
ASSA ABLOY AB (publ) provides door opening and access products for the institutional, commercial, and residential markets. It operates through Europe, the Middle East, India, and Africa (EMEIA); North and South America (Americas); Asia and Oceania (Asia Pacific); Global Technologies; and Entrance Systems divisions.
Full company description
ASSA ABLOY AB (publ) provides door opening and access products for the institutional, commercial, and residential markets. It operates through Europe, the Middle East, India, and Africa (EMEIA); North and South America (Americas); Asia and Oceania (Asia Pacific); Global Technologies; and Entrance Systems divisions. The company offers digital access solutions, such as electronic access control ecosystem, wireless and keyed access solutions, and standalone access and electrochemical solutions; swing, revolving, and sliding doors; hinges, lever handles, mortise lockcases, euro profile cylinders, panic exit devices, door closers, floor springs, pull handles, and general hardware; wooden and steel doors; and security entrance control and loading dock equipment. It also provides repair and maintenance, and digital services; building specification; and educational program and training services. In addition, the company's technology platforms for hi-tech door and entrance environments include Aperio, CLIQ, Hi-O, Incedo, and Seos. Further, it provides Openings Studio, a building information modeling software that integrates with design software to create and visualize openings for door, frame, and hardware specifications. The company offers its products under the ASSA ABLOY, Yale, ABLOY, Vachette, TESA, Kwikset, Baldwin, Weiser, Sargent, Curries, Norton Rixson, Papaiz, Odis, Philips, PanPan, Gateman, Lockwood, and HID brands. It sells its products through distributors and wholesalers. The company serves aviation, education, distribution and logistics, entertainment and public facilities, finance and banking, government and military, healthcare, hospitality, industry and manufacturing, mining, office and enterprise, residential, retail, shipyards, and transportation, hospitality, heavy, construction, critical infrastructure, key and asset management, marine, self-storage, and senior care industries. ASSA ABLOY AB (publ) was founded in 1881 and is based in Stockholm, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
ASSA ABLOY AB reported revenue of kr 152B in FY2025 versus kr 95.0B in FY2021, a compound +12.5%/yr. Reported net income was kr 14.7B in FY2025, compounding +7.8%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +9.5 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
ASSA-B screens 25% overvalued. Compare with Verisure plc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- ASSA ABLOY to acquire Gunnebo Entrance Control
- ASSA ABLOY acquires Classic Brass in the US
- ASSA ABLOY: Quarterly Report Q2 2026
- ASSA ABLOY acquires Sentinel Dock & Door in Canada
Peer Group
Security & Protection Services · 113 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Verisure plc VSURE | €9.33 | €12.40 | +33% |
| Allegion plc ALLE | $166.11 | $127.80 | -23% |
| Securitas AB SECUB | kr 147.90 | kr 186.34 | +26% |
| Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 | ¥16.46 | ¥31.47 | +91% |
| MSA Safety Incorporated MSA | $192.04 | $116.42 | -39% |
| ADT Inc ADT | $7.31 | $16.68 | +128% |
| The Brink's Company BCO | $113.96 | $121.18 | +6% |
| Brady Corporation BRC | $95.12 | $72.32 | -24% |
| The GEO Group GEO | $31.45 | $25.50 | -19% |
| Loomis AB LOOMIS | kr 512.00 | kr 496.43 | -3% |
Compare ASSA ABLOY AB with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is ASSA ABLOY AB (ASSA-B) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of ASSA-B?
What is the quality score of ASSA-B?
What is the revenue of ASSA ABLOY AB (ASSA-B)?
What is the net profit margin of ASSA-B?
Does ASSA ABLOY AB pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track ASSA ABLOY AB and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.