Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co Ltd (002236) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 54.2B CNY (≈ $8.1B) · ISIN CNE100000BJ4
What is Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co Ltd really worth?
A solid business, trading 48% below our fair value of ¥31.47.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥23.58 to ¥31.47 (+33.5%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price −4.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
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What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥19.66). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (¥19.66 to ¥38.56) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥10.02 – ¥23.94 · fair‑value band ¥19.66 – ¥38.56 · the ¥16.31 price screens below the ¥31.47 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co Ltd (002236) currently trades at ¥16.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥31.47, implying the stock looks roughly 48.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥36.73 per share, and 21 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥16.31 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥7.74, and 5 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co Ltd generated revenue of 33.4B CNY at a net margin of 11.7%. Revenue grew 10.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 10.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥19.66 (bear case) to ¥38.56 (bull case); at ¥16.31, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −7% fair-value upside, at 93%, 002236 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.4315 per share, which is 1.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥36.73) versus Asset-Based (¥7.74). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co., Ltd. provides and operates video-centric IoT solutions. It offers network, high-definition composite video interface (HDCVI), PT, PTZ, thermal, explosion-proof, and anti-corrosion cameras; IP storage products; network and HDCVI recorders; video intercoms; and access control products, including modules, turnstiles, accessories, …
Full company description
Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co., Ltd. provides and operates video-centric IoT solutions. It offers network, high-definition composite video interface (HDCVI), PT, PTZ, thermal, explosion-proof, and anti-corrosion cameras; IP storage products; network and HDCVI recorders; video intercoms; and access control products, including modules, turnstiles, accessories, AI, and time attendance solutions. The company also provides alarms; fire alarm; intelligent traffic and smart parking; EV charger; mobile, MPT, and dash camera; transmission; display and control; interactive whiteboards; video conferencing; video server, video surveillance server, and video device; metal detector, security screening machine, bollard, ESL, EAS, and software; and camera accessories, power, cabling, detector, and solar power. In addition, it offers internal SSD, memory card, USB flash drives, external storage, memory module, and DRAM; HDCVI kit; drone; audio and sensing; and project exclusive products. It provides solutions for transportation, critical infrastructure, traffic, banking and finance, building, retail, culture, education, and healthcare. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 32.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 32.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound −0.1%/yr. Reported net income was 3.9B CNY in FY2025, compounding +3.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +13.6 % · buybacks/dilution −1.3 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Security & Protection Services · 108 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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| Allegion plc ALLE | $166.11 | $127.80 | −23% |
| Securitas AB SECUB | kr 147.90 | kr 186.34 | +26% |
| MSA Safety Incorporated MSA | $190.34 | $116.42 | −39% |
| ADT Inc ADT | $7.44 | $16.68 | +124% |
| The Brink's Company BCO | $113.12 | $121.18 | +7% |
| Brady Corporation BRC | $93.25 | $72.32 | −22% |
| The GEO Group GEO | $31.81 | $25.50 | −20% |
| Loomis AB LOOMIS | kr 533.00 | kr 496.43 | −7% |
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