Brinks Company (BCO) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $4.3B · ISIN US1096961040
What is Brinks Company really worth?
Brinks Company
BCO · US
A solid business, trading 12% below our fair value of $121.18.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 22, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 14 days ago
Share price −9.9% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range ($69.01 to $176.92) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
- The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $46.49 – $135.25 · fair‑value band $69.01 – $176.92 · the $106.35 price screens below the $121.18 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.
Analysis
Brinks Company (BCO) currently trades at $106.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $121.18, implying the stock looks roughly 12.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $117.02 per share, and 10 of the 25 models we run sit above the $106.35 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $13.31, and 15 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Brinks Company generated revenue of $5.4B at a net margin of 3.3%. Revenue grew 10.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 53.0%. Net debt stands at $2.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $69.01 (bear case) to $176.92 (bull case); at $106.35, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −7% fair-value upside, at 14%, BCO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $2.22 per share, which is 1.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($117.02) versus Asset-Based ($4.52). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
The Brink's Company provides cash and valuables management, digital retail solutions (DRS), and automated teller machines (ATM) managed services in North America, Latin America, Europe, and internationally.
Full company description
The Brink's Company provides cash and valuables management, digital retail solutions (DRS), and automated teller machines (ATM) managed services in North America, Latin America, Europe, and internationally. The company offers cash-in-transit services, such as armored vehicle transportation of cash and coin; cash replenishment and treasury management of automated teller machines; international transportation, pick-up, packaging, customs clearance, secure vault storage, and inventory management of high-value commodities and goods; and counting, sorting, wrapping, check imaging, cashier balancing, counterfeit detection, account consolidation, and electronic reporting cash management services. It also provides vaulting services, including CIT services, cash management, vaulting, and electronic reporting technologies for banks; guarding, commercial security, and payment services; devices, software, analytics, and services for cash management needs, as well as services under the Complete and CompuSafe brands; and ATM management comprising cash forecasting, cash optimization, ATM remote monitoring, service call dispatching, transaction processing, first and second line maintenance, parts provisioning, funds settlements, and installation services. The company was formerly known as The Pittston Company and changed its name to The Brink's Company in May 2003. The Brink's Company was founded in 1859 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Brinks Company reported revenue of $5.3B in FY2025 versus $4.2B in FY2021, a compound +5.8%/yr. Reported net income was $200M in FY2025, compounding +17.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Brink's (BCO) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
- Q2 Earnings Roundup: Brink's (NYSE:BCO) And The Rest Of The Safety & Security Services Segment
- Investing in Brink's (BCO)? Don't Miss Assessing Its International Revenue Trends
Peer Group
Security & Protection Services · 108 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 22, 2026).
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| Securitas AB SECUB | kr 147.90 | kr 186.34 | +26% |
| Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 | ¥16.46 | ¥31.47 | +91% |
| MSA Safety Incorporated MSA | $190.34 | $116.42 | −39% |
| ADT Inc ADT | $7.44 | $16.68 | +124% |
| Brady Corporation BRC | $93.25 | $72.32 | −22% |
| The GEO Group GEO | $31.81 | $25.50 | −20% |
| Loomis AB LOOMIS | kr 533.00 | kr 496.43 | −7% |
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