Loomis AB (LOOMIS) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · SE · Market cap 32.8B SEK
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +4.8% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from kr 372.32 (bear) to kr 620.53 (bull), base kr 496.43. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 66/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 185.39 – kr 545.50 · fair‑value band kr 372.32 – kr 620.53 · the kr 518.00 price screens above the kr 496.43 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Loomis AB (LOOMIS) currently trades at kr 518.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 496.43, implying the stock looks roughly 4.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Loomis AB generated revenue of 30.3B SEK at a net margin of 5.7%. Revenue declined 2.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.3%. Net debt stands at 10.4B SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 372.32 (bear case) to kr 620.53 (bull case); at kr 518.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at -4%, LOOMIS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (kr 811.64) versus Asset-Based (kr 120.15). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Loomis AB (publ) provides secure payment solutions in the United States, France, Switzerland, Spain, the United Kingdom, Sweden, and internationally.
Full company description
Loomis AB (publ) provides secure payment solutions in the United States, France, Switzerland, Spain, the United Kingdom, Sweden, and internationally. The company provides transportation of cash and valuables with logistics systems to and from central banks, financial institutions, retailers, restaurants and other businesses; cash management services, and vault and cash storage outsourcing for central banks and commercial banks; and international valuables logistics services, including collection and coordination of cross-border transportation, as well as customs clearance, storage, and secure delivery. It also offers automated teller machine services; automated cash-handling solutions, such as SafePoint, cash recyclers, and front office solutions; foreign exchange services; and Loomis Pay, an end-to-end payment solution that handles all types of payment instruments comprising cards, cash, and digital options in one system. Loomis AB (publ) was founded in 1852 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Loomis AB reported revenue of kr 30.4B in FY2025 versus kr 19.7B in FY2021, a compound +11.4%/yr. Reported net income was kr 1.6B in FY2025, compounding +9.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +7.6 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.9 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Security & Protection Services · 113 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASSA ABLOY AB ASSAB | kr 360.50 | kr 269.97 | -25% |
| Verisure plc VSURE | €9.33 | €12.40 | +33% |
| Allegion plc ALLE | $166.11 | $127.80 | -23% |
| Securitas AB SECUB | kr 147.90 | kr 186.34 | +26% |
| Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 | ¥16.46 | ¥31.47 | +91% |
| MSA Safety Incorporated MSA | $192.04 | $116.42 | -39% |
| ADT Inc ADT | $7.31 | $16.68 | +128% |
| The Brink's Company BCO | $113.96 | $121.18 | +6% |
| Brady Corporation BRC | $95.12 | $72.32 | -24% |
| The GEO Group GEO | $31.45 | $25.50 | -19% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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