Verisure Plc (VSURE) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · SE · Market cap €10.7B · ISIN GB00BVMN1558
What is Verisure Plc really worth?
Below-average quality, trading 26% below our fair value of €12.40.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −7.7% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (€8.07 to €16.73) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (11 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
11‑month range €8.41 – €16.52 · fair‑value band €8.07 – €16.73 · the €9.15 price screens below the €12.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Verisure Plc (VSURE) currently trades at €9.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €12.40, implying the stock looks roughly 26.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of €5.68 per share, and 3 of the 10 models we run sit above the €9.15 price. Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at €2.17, and 7 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Verisure Plc generated revenue of €3.8B at a net margin of −3.9%. Revenue grew 10.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −2.0%. Net debt stands at €5.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €8.07 (bear case) to €16.73 (bull case); at €9.15, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −7% fair-value upside, at 36%, VSURE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (€5.68) versus Multiples (€0.2600). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Verisure plc provides security services for families and small businesses in Europe and Latin America. It provides professional installation, 24/7 monitoring, expert verification and response, customer care, maintenance, and technical support, as well as protecting against intrusion, burglary, fire, physical attack, theft, life-threatening emergencies, and …
Full company description
Verisure plc provides security services for families and small businesses in Europe and Latin America. It provides professional installation, 24/7 monitoring, expert verification and response, customer care, maintenance, and technical support, as well as protecting against intrusion, burglary, fire, physical attack, theft, life-threatening emergencies, and other hazards. The company was founded in 1988 and is based in London, the United Kingdom. Verisure plc operates as a subsidiary of Aegis Lux 2 Sàrl.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Verisure Plc reported revenue of €3.7B in FY2025 versus €2.8B in FY2022, a compound +9.8%/yr. Reported net income was −€256M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Security & Protection Services · 108 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASSA ABLOY AB ASSAB | kr 360.50 | kr 269.97 | −25% |
| Allegion plc ALLE | $166.11 | $127.80 | −23% |
| Securitas AB SECUB | kr 147.90 | kr 186.34 | +26% |
| Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 | ¥16.46 | ¥31.47 | +91% |
| MSA Safety Incorporated MSA | $190.34 | $116.42 | −39% |
| ADT Inc ADT | $7.44 | $16.68 | +124% |
| The Brink's Company BCO | $113.12 | $121.18 | +7% |
| Brady Corporation BRC | $93.25 | $72.32 | −22% |
| The GEO Group GEO | $31.81 | $25.50 | −20% |
| Loomis AB LOOMIS | kr 533.00 | kr 496.43 | −7% |
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