Asmodee Group (ASMDEE-B) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · SE · Market cap 34.2B SEK
Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Share price +11.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 48% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 107.08). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (kr 57.21 to kr 107.08) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (18 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
18‑month range kr 85.09 – kr 165.30 · fair‑value band kr 57.21 – kr 107.08 · the kr 158.70 price screens above the kr 82.15 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
Analysis
Asmodee Group (ASMDEE-B) currently trades at kr 158.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 82.15, implying the stock looks roughly 48.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Asmodee Group generated revenue of 1.7B SEK at a net margin of 1.7%. Revenue grew 19.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.5%. Net debt stands at 259M SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 57.21 (bear case) to kr 107.08 (bull case); at kr 158.70, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades near its 52-week high and 74% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -48%, ASMDEE-B screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 301.62) versus Earnings-Based (kr 36.28). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Asmodee Group AB (publ) engages in publishing and distribution of tabletop games. The company offers board games, trading card games, and various other type of games played on or around table. Its portfolio includes CATAN, Ticket to ride, Dobble/Spot-it!, 7 Wonders, and Exploding Kittens.
Full company description
Asmodee Group AB (publ) engages in publishing and distribution of tabletop games. The company offers board games, trading card games, and various other type of games played on or around table. Its portfolio includes CATAN, Ticket to ride, Dobble/Spot-it!, 7 Wonders, and Exploding Kittens. The company also establishes third-party licensing and/or distribution collaborations with entertainment franchises and third-party IP owners. Asmodee Group AB (publ) has strategic alliance with Chuck E. Cheese to bring the award-winning Spot It! game, known as Dobble, to life through an mmersive summer experience. It operates in Sweden, France, Germany, the United States, the United Kingdom, rest of the Americas, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Boulogne-Billancourt, France.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Asmodee Group reported revenue of kr 1.7B in FY2025 versus kr 1.2B in FY2022, a compound +11.5%/yr. Reported net income was kr 27.7M in FY2025, compounding −36.5%/yr from FY2022.
ASMDEE-B screens 48% overvalued. Compare with ANTA Sports Products Limited →
Peer Group
Leisure · 189 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Leisure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ANTA Sports Products Limited 2020 | HK$72.80 | HK$119.82 | +65% |
| Pop Mart International Group 9992 | HK$151.00 | HK$227.30 | +51% |
| Amer Sports, Inc AS | $33.03 | $16.16 | -51% |
| Hasbro, Inc HAS | $94.89 | $81.97 | -14% |
| Life Time Group LTH | $43.81 | $15.61 | -64% |
| Ninebot Limited 689009 | ¥44.94 | ¥39.73 | -12% |
| Li Ning Company 2331 | HK$14.59 | HK$29.45 | +102% |
| Smartfit Escola de Ginástica e Dança S.A SMFT3 | R$17.25 | R$22.90 | +33% |
| Songcheng Performance Development Co 300144 | ¥6.17 | ¥6.85 | +11% |
| Thule Group THULE | kr 213.40 | kr 142.22 | -33% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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