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Avenira Ltd (AEV) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$35.3M (≈ $25.5M) · ISIN AU000000AEV1

What is Avenira Ltd really worth?

AL Avenira Ltd AEV · AU
PriceA$0.0060
Fair ValueA$0.0076
Upside+26.7%
Quality7/100

Below-average quality, trading 21% below our fair value of A$0.0076.

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Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +17.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/9)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range A$0.0069 – A$0.0076

Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −14.3% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0069). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The models converge in a tight band (A$0.0069 to A$0.0076), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$0.0380 A$0.0040 Fair Value A$0.0076 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0040 – A$0.0380 · fair‑value band A$0.0069 – A$0.0076 · the A$0.0060 price screens below the A$0.0076 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Avenira Ltd (AEV) currently trades at A$0.0060, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0076, implying the stock looks roughly 21.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 7/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Revenue declined 61.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −10.0%. Net debt stands at A$1.5M. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$0.0069 (bear case) to A$0.0076 (bull case); at A$0.0060, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at 27%, AEV screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM best evidence A$0.0100 A$0.0200 A$0.0200 67
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0200 63
All 2 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM best evidence A$0.0100 A$0.0200 A$0.0200 67
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0200 63

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Key figures & financial health

Return on equity −10.0% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −16.4% avg 5y
Operating margin −6,534% TTM
Revenue (TTM) −A$9.7K TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −61.6% 3y avg +195%
Free cash flow −A$6.4M FY2025
More key figures
Balance sheet & cash flow
Net debt A$1.5M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 7/100

Of which business quality 13 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 12

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 18
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 1
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 3
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Avenira Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development of mineral deposits in Australia. It primarily explores for gold and phosphate deposits. The company holds 100% interests in the Wonarah phosphate project located in the Northern Territory; and Jundee South Gold project located in Western Australia.

Full company description

Avenira Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development of mineral deposits in Australia. It primarily explores for gold and phosphate deposits. The company holds 100% interests in the Wonarah phosphate project located in the Northern Territory; and Jundee South Gold project located in Western Australia. The company was formerly known as Minemakers Limited and changed its name to Avenira Limited in November 2015. Avenira Limited was incorporated in 2005 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Avenira Ltd reported revenue of A$80.8K in FY2025 versus A$10.9K in FY2021, a compound +64.9%/yr. Reported net income was −A$5.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 24/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$80.8K
Latest YoY
−9.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+194.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (18Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.7%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +64.9%/yr
FY21 A$10.9K
FY22 A$3.2K
FY23 A$5.8K
FY24 A$89.6K
FY25 A$80.8K
Net income
FY21 −A$2.1M
FY22 −A$2.9M
FY23 −A$3.2M
FY24 −A$3.1M
FY25 −A$5.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Avenira Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AEV

Peer Group

Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 469 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 7 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +27% · Top 25%
Return on assets −5% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth −62% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 23.4% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.71× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE69 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 38
PAST0 · sector 0
HEALTH100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND100 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BHP Group BHP A$66.84 A$42.16 −37%
Vale S.A VALE $15.31 $8.95 −42%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 65.50 SAR 33.87 SAR −48%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥18.42 ¥16.15 −12%
Teck Resources Limited TECK $69.34 $32.02 −54%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹573.00 ₹508.34 −11%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥66.76 ¥9.55 −86%
China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 ¥41.02 ¥10.59 −74%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥37.85 ¥25.99 −31%
Boliden AB BOL kr 527.80 kr 461.48 −13%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Avenira Ltd (AEV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0076 versus a price of A$0.0060, about +27% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AEV?
Our model-based fair value for Avenira Ltd is A$0.0076 (as of Aug 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0060.
What is the quality score of AEV?
Avenira Ltd has a Quality Score of 7/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of AEV?
The net profit margin of Avenira Ltd is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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