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Avenira Limited (AEV) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$35.3M

AL Avenira Limited AEV · AU
PriceA$0.0080
Fair ValueA$0.0076
Upside-5.0%
Quality7/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/8)
Narrow moat 8/100
Evidence: Low Range A$0.0069 – A$0.0076 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated today

Share price +14.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0076). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • The models converge in a tight band (A$0.0069 to A$0.0076), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$0.0380 A$0.0040 Fair Value A$0.0076 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0040 – A$0.0380 · fair‑value band A$0.0069 – A$0.0076 · the A$0.0080 price screens above the A$0.0076 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Avenira Limited (AEV) currently trades at A$0.0080, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0076, implying the stock looks roughly 5.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 7/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Revenue declined 61.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.0%. Net debt stands at A$1.5M. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$0.0069 (bear case) to A$0.0076 (bull case); at A$0.0080, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -42% fair-value upside, at -5%, AEV screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM A$0.0100 A$0.0200 A$0.0200 70
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0200 61
All 2 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM A$0.0100 A$0.0200 A$0.0200 70
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0200 61

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) −A$9.7K
Revenue growth (YoY) -61.6%
Return on equity -10.0%
Free cash flow −A$6.4M FY2025
Operating margin -6,534%
Net debt A$1.5M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 7/100

Of which business quality 13 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 18
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 1
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 3
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 50
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Avenira Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development of mineral deposits in Australia. It primarily explores for gold and phosphate deposits. The company holds 100% interests in the Wonarah phosphate project located in the Northern Territory; and Jundee South Gold project located in Western Australia.

Full company description

Avenira Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development of mineral deposits in Australia. It primarily explores for gold and phosphate deposits. The company holds 100% interests in the Wonarah phosphate project located in the Northern Territory; and Jundee South Gold project located in Western Australia. The company was formerly known as Minemakers Limited and changed its name to Avenira Limited in November 2015. Avenira Limited was incorporated in 2005 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Avenira Limited reported revenue of A$80.8K in FY2025 versus A$10.9K in FY2021, a compound +64.9%/yr. Reported net income was −A$5.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 24/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$80.8K
Latest YoY
−9.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+194.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.8%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.7%
Revenue +64.9%/yr
FY21 A$10.9K
FY22 A$3.2K
FY23 A$5.8K
FY24 A$89.6K
FY25 A$80.8K
Net income
FY21 −A$2.1M
FY22 −A$2.9M
FY23 −A$3.2M
FY24 −A$3.1M
FY25 −A$5.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Avenira Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AEV

Peer Group

Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 479 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 7 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −5% · Above median
Return on assets -5% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth -62% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.67× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 27 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 24
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 21

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BHP Group BHPN 1,425 MXN 745.46 MXN -48%
Rio Tinto Group RIO A$179.43 A$81.76 -54%
Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB 222.38 MXN 172.99 MXN -22%
Vale S.A VALEN 250.00 MXN 139.41 MXN -44%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 58.05 SAR 33.87 SAR -42%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥19.00 ¥19.80 +4%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥70.43 ¥9.55 -86%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹584.60 ₹501.98 -14%
China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 ¥41.02 ¥10.59 -74%
Boliden AB BOL kr 527.80 kr 461.48 -13%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Avenira Limited (AEV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0076 versus a price of A$0.0080, about −5% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of AEV?
Our model-based fair value for Avenira Limited is A$0.0076 (as of Aug 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.0080.
What is the quality score of AEV?
Avenira Limited has a Quality Score of 7/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of AEV?
The net profit margin of Avenira Limited is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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