Archer Aviation Inc (ACHR) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $3.5B · ISIN US03945R1023
What is Archer Aviation Inc really worth?
Archer Aviation Inc
ACHR · US
Below-average quality, and trading another 185% above our fair value of $2.02.
Risks
Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated today
Share price +8.5% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.52). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (24/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($1.33 to $2.52) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.63 – $13.64 · fair‑value band $1.33 – $2.52 · the $5.76 price screens above the $2.02 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
Analysis
Archer Aviation Inc (ACHR) currently trades at $5.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.02, implying the stock looks roughly 184.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
It earns a return on equity of −48.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $979M. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.33 (bear case) to $2.52 (bull case); at $5.76, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −44% fair-value upside, at −65%, ACHR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 11
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Archer Aviation Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs and develops aircraft and related technologies and services for commercial and defense sectors in the United States and internationally. The company offers electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft for urban air taxi operations. Archer Aviation Inc. is based in San Jose, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Archer Aviation Inc reported revenue of $300K in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$618M in FY2025.
ACHR screens 185% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Archer Aviation Drops 7%, EHang Sinks 6%, Joby Aviation Falls 4% as Air Taxi Stocks Ignore Good News
- Archer Aviation (ACHR) Bets Big On Becoming More Than An Air Taxi Company
- Can Halo Expand Archer Aviation's Dual-Use Aircraft Opportunity?
- Brokers Suggest Investing in Archer Aviation (ACHR): Read This Before Placing a Bet
Peer Group
Aerospace & Defense · 229 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| General Electric Company GE | $335.71 | $116.71 | −65% |
| RTX Corporation RTX | $212.08 | $88.37 | −58% |
| Airbus SE AIR | €213.00 | €117.01 | −45% |
| Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT | $565.89 | $419.01 | −26% |
| Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM | $264.85 | $50.43 | −81% |
| General Dynamics Corporation GD | $379.32 | $274.32 | −28% |
| Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC | $545.57 | $356.59 | −35% |
| TransDigm Group TDG | $1,235 | $571.03 | −54% |
| L3Harris Technologies, Inc LHX | $262.82 | $146.55 | −44% |
| Thales S.A HO | €243.70 | €171.13 | −30% |
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