Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A (600612) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 18.2B CNY (≈ $2.7B) · ISIN CNE000000537
What is Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A really worth?
A solid business, trading 54% below our fair value of ¥73.81.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 26, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 10 days ago
Share price −3.3% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥55.35). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (68/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 26, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥32.15 – ¥86.19 · fair‑value band ¥55.35 – ¥92.26 · the ¥33.80 price screens below the ¥73.81 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 26, 2026.
Analysis
Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A (600612) currently trades at ¥33.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥73.81, implying the stock looks roughly 54.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥158.62 per share, and 24 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥33.80 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥19.37, and 2 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A generated revenue of 49.0B CNY at a net margin of 3.4%. Revenue declined 21.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 3.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 26, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥55.35 (bear case) to ¥92.26 (bull case); at ¥33.80, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at 118%, 600612 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥1.07 per share, which is 1.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥158.62) versus Asset-Based (¥19.37). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (75).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Lao Feng Xiang Co., Ltd. operates in the jewelry industry in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company researches, designs, produces, and sells gold, silver, platinum, diamonds, white jade, jadeite, pearls, gold inlays, colored gemstones, enamel, K gold jewelry glass, corals, watches, amber, brooches, arts and crafts souvenirs.
Full company description
Lao Feng Xiang Co., Ltd. operates in the jewelry industry in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company researches, designs, produces, and sells gold, silver, platinum, diamonds, white jade, jadeite, pearls, gold inlays, colored gemstones, enamel, K gold jewelry glass, corals, watches, amber, brooches, arts and crafts souvenirs. The company was formerly known as China First Pencil Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Lao Feng Xiang Co., Ltd. in July 2009. Lao Feng Xiang Co., Ltd. was founded in 1848 and is based in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Lao Feng Xiang Co Ltd A reported revenue of 52.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 58.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound −2.6%/yr. Reported net income was 1.8B CNY in FY2025, compounding −1.7%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +6.4 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Luxury Goods · 135 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hermès International Société en commandite par actions RMS | €1,598 | €950.24 | −41% |
| Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR | CHF 192.15 | CHF 119.49 | −38% |
| Christian Dior SE DIO | €423.60 | €1,095 | +159% |
| Titan Company TITAN | ₹5,106 | ₹972.23 | −81% |
| Tapestry, Inc TPR | $153.74 | $19.95 | −87% |
| Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 | HK$12.31 | HK$11.51 | −6% |
| The Swatch Group UHRN | CHF 36.35 | CHF 8.46 | −77% |
| Prada S.p.A 1913 | HK$40.86 | HK$64.71 | +58% |
| Pandora A/S PNDORA | kr 783.00 | kr 1,424 | +82% |
| Laopu Gold Co 6181 | HK$385.00 | HK$654.83 | +70% |
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