Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd (600515) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 23, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd stock ¥0.79, price ¥2.62, upside -69.8%, quality 39 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value above price?No
Good quality?No
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.58 – ¥12.91 · fair‑value band ¥0.3800 – ¥1.24 · the ¥2.62 price screens above the ¥0.7900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 24, 2026.
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Hainan Airport Infrastructure Co., Ltd engages in the airport management business in China.
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The company is involved in aeronautical airport management, including take-off and landing, parking, passenger bridge, and passenger and security checks, as well as non-aeronautical airport management comprising ground services, duty-free commerce, taxable commerce, advertising, cargo, office leasing, and check-in counter rentals.
It also engages in the management and operation of commercial real estate properties; ownership and management of hotels; catering services; asset management; and property management.
The company was formerly known as HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co., LTD and changed its name to Hainan Airport Infrastructure Co., Ltd in January 2022. Hainan Airport Infrastructure Co., Ltd was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Haikou, China.
Stock analysis
Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd (600515) currently trades at ¥2.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.7900, 69.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of ¥1.33 per share, and 1 of the 7 models we run sit above the ¥2.62 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at ¥0.3600, and 6 of the 7 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥0.3800 (bear) to ¥1.24 (bull), the price of ¥2.62 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2007: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2007.
Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 4.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 4.5B CNY in FY2021, a compound −0.6%/yr. Reported net income was 219M CNY in FY2025, compounding −17.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 29.9B CNY (≈ $4.5B) Mid · P/E ratio 131.0 · P/S ratio 5.85 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0200 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 4.1% · Return on equity 0.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 20 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −70%, 600515 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥0.3800Fair Value ¥0.7900Bull¥1.24
Price ¥2.62 · Upside -69.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0122 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2007: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2007.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −6.5% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−31.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−31.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Per share before 2003divided by the spin-off factor 1.58
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−31.2% vs −33.7%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−145% → 11%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 17.5%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Compare Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Diversified · 129 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−69.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)0.7% · Below median
Return on assets0.4% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)4.1% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)−8.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)4.0% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.76× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)131.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.27× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)5.85× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA59.9× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 36
FUTURE (revenue growth)20· sector 5
PAST (return on equity)3· sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)62· sector 75
DIVIDEND (yield)4· sector 70
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600515
Frequently asked questions
Is Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd (600515) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.7900 versus a price of ¥2.62, about −70% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600515?
Our model-based fair value for Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd is ¥0.7900 (as of Oct 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥2.62.
What is the quality score of 600515?
Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd (600515)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.7900 (as of Oct 24, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.3800, optimistic scenario ¥1.24. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.7900, about −70% upside versus a price of ¥2.62 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.3800, optimistic scenario ¥1.24. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd (600515)?
Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 24, 2026).
Does Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.19% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd (600515)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd it is ¥0.7900 per share (as of Oct 24, 2026), against a price of ¥2.62. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 24, 2026, 600515 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥2.62, fair value ¥0.7900, a gap of about −70% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600515?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥2.62); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.7900). For Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd the two are ¥1.83 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd worth?
The market values Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd at about 29.9B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥2.62; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.7900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600515?
Our models span a range for Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.3800, base ¥0.7900, optimistic ¥1.24 per share (as of Oct 24, 2026, price ¥2.62). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 600515?
Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 131.0 (as of Oct 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥0.7900 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 8 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 33.8. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 5.8, EV/EBITDA 59.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd (600515)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd (as of Oct 24, 2026): return on equity 0.7%, debt of 0.76 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600515 from its 52-week high?
Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd trades at ¥2.62, about 53% below its 52-week high of ¥5.61 and 2% above the low of ¥2.58 (as of Oct 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.7900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Henderson Land Development Company, Swiss Prime Site AG, Central Pattana Public Company, The Phoenix Mills Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 24, 2026: price ¥2.62, calculated fair value ¥0.7900 (−70%), Quality Score 39/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600515 calculated?
We run Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥0.7900, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.3 % above its aggregate fair value. Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd (600515)?
The closing price on Oct 23, 2026 was ¥2.62. Our model-based fair value is ¥0.7900, about −70% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.24). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (¥0.3800 to ¥1.24). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd (600515) come from?
Earnings per share at Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd grew −18.7 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −26.0 %, EBIT margin +20.9 %, tax rate +1.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −10.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd (600515)?
The market capitalisation of Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd is 29.9B CNY (≈ $4.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd (600515)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd is 5.85 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd (600515)?
Earnings per share at Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd are ¥0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 131.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd (600515)?
The dividend yield of Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd is 0.2% (payout 25.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd (600515)?
The net margin of Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd is 4.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd (600515)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd is 0.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd (600515)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd is 1.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd (600515)?
The operating margin of Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd is −8.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd (600515)?
Revenue at Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd is growing +4.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd (600515)?
Earnings per share at Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd are growing −76.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd (600515) generate?
The free cash flow of Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd is −411M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd (600515) carry?
The net debt of Hainan HNA Infrastructure Investment Group Co Ltd is 15.5B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 24, 2026