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Swiss Prime Site AG (SPSN) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · CH · Market cap CHF 10.4B

SP Swiss Prime Site AG SPSN · SW
PriceCHF 128.80
Fair ValueCHF 44.83
Upside-65.2%
Quality63/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 68.3% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
2.66% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/15)
Moderate moat 64/100
Evidence: High Range CHF 33.62 – CHF 56.04 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated today

Share price −2.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 65% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 56.04). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

CHF 144.79 CHF 68.64 Fair Value CHF 44.83 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range CHF 68.64 – CHF 144.79 · fair‑value band CHF 33.62 – CHF 56.04 · the CHF 128.80 price screens above the CHF 44.83 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Swiss Prime Site AG (SPSN) currently trades at CHF 128.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 44.83, implying the stock looks roughly 65.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Swiss Prime Site AG generated revenue of CHF 560M at a net margin of 68.3%. Revenue declined 19.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.6%. Net debt stands at CHF 5.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from CHF 33.62 (bear case) to CHF 56.04 (bull case); at CHF 128.80, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at -65%, SPSN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF CHF 18.05 80
Residual Income CHF 68.96 CHF 70.99 CHF 70.29 76
Rev-Margin DCF CHF 9.12 74
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF CHF 19.51 38
5Y Revenue Exit CHF 11.94 39
5Y EBITDA Exit CHF 19.18 CHF 51.28 41
10Y Revenue Exit CHF 6.85 36
10Y EBITDA Exit CHF 8.93 CHF 34.06 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM CHF 31.68 CHF 43.91 CHF 56.37 70
DDM Multi-Stage CHF 31.68 CHF 44.11 CHF 58.71 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple CHF 33.62 CHF 44.83 CHF 56.04 58
P/B Multiple CHF 60.78 CHF 81.04 CHF 101.30 55
EV/EBIT CHF 25.64 CHF 53.42 CHF 81.19 53
EV/EBITDA CHF 7.57 CHF 29.33 CHF 51.08 54
EV/Revenue CHF 5.08 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) CHF 44.04 CHF 59.01 CHF 88.08 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF CHF 18.05 80
Rev-Margin DCF CHF 9.12 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income CHF 68.96 CHF 70.99 CHF 70.29 76

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (CHF 70.99) versus DCF Models (CHF 8.93). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) CHF 560M
Revenue growth (YoY) -19.6%
Net margin 68.3%
Return on equity 5.6%
Free cash flow CHF 301M FY2025
P/E ratio 26.9
More key figures
Operating margin 75.5%
EPS (TTM) CHF 4.79
Dividend yield 2.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +7.4%
Net debt CHF 5.8B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 80
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 43
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 92
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 53
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 88
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Swiss Prime Site AG, through its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate company in Switzerland. It operates through Real Estate, Asset management, and Corporate & Shared Services segments. The company purchases, develops, sells, and leases properties, as well as financing activities.

Full company description

Swiss Prime Site AG, through its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate company in Switzerland. It operates through Real Estate, Asset management, and Corporate & Shared Services segments. The company purchases, develops, sells, and leases properties, as well as financing activities. It is also involved in the funds, asset management, and investment advisory businesses. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Zug, Switzerland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Swiss Prime Site AG reported revenue of CHF 553M in FY2025 versus CHF 750M in FY2021, a compound −7.3%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 382M in FY2025, compounding −6.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
CHF 553M
Latest YoY
−16.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.9%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.8%
Revenue −7.3%/yr
FY21 CHF 750M
FY22 CHF 647M
FY23 CHF 654M
FY24 CHF 660M
FY25 CHF 553M
Net income −6.4%/yr
FY21 CHF 499M
FY22 CHF 404M
FY23 CHF 236M
FY24 CHF 360M
FY25 CHF 382M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −1.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share −6.4 pp

of which total revenue −5.0 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.4 pp

EBIT margin +4.5 pp
Tax rate +0.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.1 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

SPSN screens 65% overvalued. Compare with Central Pattana Public Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Swiss Prime Site AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SPSN

Peer Group

Real Estate - Diversified · 138 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −65% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 68% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 75% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -20% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.7% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.66× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 26.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.82× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 22.97× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 42.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 41.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 6.45× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 43
FUTURE 0 · sector 31
PAST 22 · sector 18
HEALTH 67 · sector 74
DIVIDEND 53 · sector 45

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is Swiss Prime Site AG (SPSN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 44.83 versus a price of CHF 128.80, about −65% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SPSN?
Our model-based fair value for Swiss Prime Site AG is CHF 44.83 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is CHF 128.80.
What is the quality score of SPSN?
Swiss Prime Site AG has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Swiss Prime Site AG (SPSN)?
Swiss Prime Site AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 560M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SPSN?
The net profit margin of Swiss Prime Site AG is about 68.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 68.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Swiss Prime Site AG pay a dividend?
Swiss Prime Site AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.68% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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