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Swiss Prime Site AG (SPSN) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · CH · Market cap CHF 10.4B · ISIN CH0008038389

What is Swiss Prime Site AG really worth?

SP Swiss Prime Site AG SPSN · SW
PriceCHF 125.60
Fair ValueCHF 44.83
Upside−64.3%
Quality63/100

A solid business, but trading 180% above our fair value of CHF 44.83.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 68.3% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −6.9 %/yr)
!Trails peers (4/15)
!Moderate moat 64/100
!Weak on past: 22 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 28 out of 100

For context

·1.39% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range CHF 33.62 – CHF 56.04

Fair value as of: Sep 2, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price −2.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 56.04). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

CHF 144.79 CHF 68.64 Fair Value CHF 44.83 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range CHF 68.64 – CHF 144.79 · fair‑value band CHF 33.62 – CHF 56.04 · the CHF 125.60 price screens above the CHF 44.83 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.

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Analysis

Swiss Prime Site AG (SPSN) currently trades at CHF 125.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 44.83, implying the stock looks roughly 180.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of CHF 70.99 per share, and 0 of the 10 models we run sit above the CHF 125.60 price. Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at CHF 8.93, and 10 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Swiss Prime Site AG generated revenue of CHF 560M at a net margin of 68.3%. Revenue declined 19.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.6%. Net debt stands at CHF 5.8B. Fundamentals as of Sep 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from CHF 33.62 (bear case) to CHF 56.04 (bull case); at CHF 125.60, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −33% fair-value upside, at −64%, SPSN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly CHF 2.06 per share, which is 4.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF CHF 19.51 77
Residual Income CHF 68.96 CHF 70.99 CHF 70.29 76
Growth DCF CHF 18.05 75
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF CHF 19.51 77
5Y Revenue Exit CHF 11.94 69
5Y EBITDA Exit CHF 19.18 CHF 51.28 72
10Y Revenue Exit CHF 6.85 64
10Y EBITDA Exit CHF 8.93 CHF 34.06 65
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM CHF 31.68 CHF 43.91 CHF 56.37 69
DDM Multi-Stage CHF 31.68 CHF 44.11 CHF 58.71 67
Multiples
P/S Multiple CHF 33.62 CHF 44.83 CHF 56.04 58
P/B Multiple CHF 60.78 CHF 81.04 CHF 101.30 55
EV/EBIT CHF 25.64 CHF 53.42 CHF 81.19 62
EV/EBITDA CHF 7.57 CHF 29.33 CHF 51.08 61
EV/Revenue CHF 5.08 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) CHF 44.04 CHF 59.01 CHF 88.08 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF CHF 18.05 75
Rev-Margin DCF CHF 9.12 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income CHF 68.96 CHF 70.99 CHF 70.29 76

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (CHF 70.99) versus DCF Models (CHF 8.93). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 26.2
P/S ratio 18.1 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) CHF 4.79 price ÷ EPS = P/E 26.2
Dividend yield 1.4% payout 36.5%
Net margin 69.1% FY2025
Return on equity 5.6% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 2.6% avg 5y
Operating margin 75.5% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) CHF 560M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −19.6% 3y avg −5.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +7.4%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow CHF 301M FY2025
Net debt CHF 5.8B FY2025 · ≈ 19.3 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 80
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 43
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 92
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 50
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 88
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Swiss Prime Site AG, through its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate company in Switzerland. It operates through Real Estate, Asset management, and Corporate & Shared Services segments. The company purchases, develops, sells, and leases properties, as well as financing activities.

Full company description

Swiss Prime Site AG, through its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate company in Switzerland. It operates through Real Estate, Asset management, and Corporate & Shared Services segments. The company purchases, develops, sells, and leases properties, as well as financing activities. It is also involved in the funds, asset management, and investment advisory businesses. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Zug, Switzerland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Swiss Prime Site AG reported revenue of CHF 553M in FY2025 versus CHF 750M in FY2021, a compound −7.3%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 382M in FY2025, compounding −6.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
CHF 553M
Latest YoY
−16.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.8%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−7.1% (−8.5 + 1.4)
Revenue −7.3%/yr
FY21 CHF 750M
FY22 CHF 647M
FY23 CHF 654M
FY24 CHF 660M
FY25 CHF 553M
Net income −6.4%/yr
FY21 CHF 499M
FY22 CHF 404M
FY23 CHF 236M
FY24 CHF 360M
FY25 CHF 382M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −1.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share −6.4 %

of which total revenue −5.0 % · buybacks/dilution −1.5 %

EBIT margin +4.5 %
Tax rate +0.7 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.4 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

SPSN screens 180% overvalued. Compare with Corem Property Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Swiss Prime Site AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SPSN

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Real Estate - Diversified · 131 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −64% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 68% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 75% · Top 25%
Revenue growth −20% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.66× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 26.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.83× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 23.04× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 42.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 42.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 6.45× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 50
FUTURE0 · sector 29
PAST22 · sector 19
HEALTH67 · sector 77
DIVIDEND28 · sector 60

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Corem Property Group CORED kr 229.00 kr 121.82 −47%
Central Pattana Public Company CPN 66.00 THB 71.37 THB +8%
Prestige Estates Projects Limited PRESTIGE ₹1,586 ₹645.21 −59%
The Phoenix Mills Limited PHOENIXLTD ₹1,905 ₹701.74 −63%
Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Company 4325 17.19 SAR 11.60 SAR −33%
Fastighets AB BALDB kr 54.08 kr 70.70 +31%
Hainan Airport Infrastructure Co 600515 ¥2.79 ¥0.3300 −88%
Parque Arauco S.A PARAUCO 3,954 CLP 2,740 CLP −31%
Singapore Land Group U06 3.41 SGD 3.23 SGD −5%
The St. Joe Company JOE $67.90 $34.24 −50%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Swiss Prime Site AG (SPSN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 44.83 versus a price of CHF 125.60, about −64% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SPSN?
Our model-based fair value for Swiss Prime Site AG is CHF 44.83 (as of Sep 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: CHF 125.60.
What is the quality score of SPSN?
Swiss Prime Site AG has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Swiss Prime Site AG (SPSN)?
Swiss Prime Site AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 560M (latest available figure, as of Sep 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SPSN?
The net profit margin of Swiss Prime Site AG is about 68.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 68.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Swiss Prime Site AG pay a dividend?
Swiss Prime Site AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.39% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 2, 2026).
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