Parq Arauco (PARAUCO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 23, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Parq Arauco stock CLP 3,718, price CLP 3,640, upside +2.1%, quality 62 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value above price?Yes
Good quality?Yes
Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with oneYes, for free
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 565.06 CLP – 4,392 CLP · fair‑value band 1,551 CLP – 6,560 CLP · the 3,640 CLP price screens below the 3,718 CLP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 25, 2026.
Follow Parq Arauco in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Parq Arauco is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Parque Arauco S.A., together with its subsidiaries, develops, owns, operates, and manages multi-format real estate assets in Chile, Peru, and Colombia. The company owns and operates shopping center formats, including regional, neighborhood, outlet malls, and strip malls.
Show moreShow less
Its tenants include department stores, home improvement stores, supermarkets, restaurants, movie theaters, health centers, and smaller stores. It also owns rental apartments, offices, and hotels.
The company was formerly known as Cocentral Compañía de Centros Comerciales S.A. and changed its name to Parque Arauco S.A. in 1992. Parque Arauco S.A. was incorporated in 1979 and is based in Santiago, Chile.
Stock analysis
Parq Arauco (PARAUCO) currently trades at 3,640 CLP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3,718 CLP, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 2.1%).
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 4,578 CLP per share, and 4 of the 15 models we run sit above the 3,640 CLP price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 846.08 CLP, and 11 of the 15 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 1,551 CLP (bear) to 6,560 CLP (bull), the price of 3,640 CLP sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Parq Arauco reported revenue of 384B CLP in FY2025 versus 170B CLP in FY2021, a compound +22.6%/yr. Reported net income was 150B CLP in FY2025, compounding +59.0%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap 3.6T CLP (≈ $3.6B) Mid · P/E ratio 21.6 · P/S ratio 7.34 · EPS (TTM) 168.31 CLP · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin 34.2% · Return on equity 10.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 69 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at 2%, PARAUCO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear1,551 CLPFair Value 3,718 CLPBull6,560 CLP
Price 3,640 CLP · Upside +2.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (100.68 CLP per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+21.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.5% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.5%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in CLP ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in CLP: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+46.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+44.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.2%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.47% → 70%
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+8.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+10.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Chile: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 4.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +4.8% a year for the price and +7.0% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Diversified · 129 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+2.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)10.6% · Top 25%
Return on assets5.0% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)48.7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)70.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)15.7% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)1.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.97× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Parq Arauco Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PARAUCO
Frequently asked questions
Is Parq Arauco (PARAUCO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3,718 CLP versus a price of 3,640 CLP, about +2% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of PARAUCO?
Our model-based fair value for Parq Arauco is 3,718 CLP (as of Oct 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 3,640 CLP.
What is the quality score of PARAUCO?
Parq Arauco has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Parq Arauco (PARAUCO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3,718 CLP (as of Oct 25, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1,551 CLP, optimistic scenario 6,560 CLP. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Parq Arauco stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3,718 CLP, about +2% upside versus a price of 3,640 CLP (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 1,551 CLP, optimistic scenario 6,560 CLP. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Parq Arauco (PARAUCO)?
Parq Arauco reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 452B CLP (latest available figure, as of Oct 25, 2026).
Does Parq Arauco pay a dividend?
Parq Arauco currently shows a dividend yield of 1.24% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 25, 2026).
What growth is priced into Parq Arauco (PARAUCO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Parq Arauco would have to grow free cash flow by +8.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +25.0 % per year. As of Oct 25, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PARAUCO use?
Our models discount Parq Arauco at 9.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.73, country premium for Chile. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Parq Arauco that is +8.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Parq Arauco (PARAUCO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Parq Arauco grew +25.0 % a year. The price currently implies +8.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Parq Arauco (PARAUCO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Parq Arauco (+8.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Parq Arauco (PARAUCO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.20 %: that much free cash flow Parq Arauco produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Parq Arauco (PARAUCO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Parq Arauco it is 3,718 CLP per share (as of Oct 25, 2026), against a price of 3,640 CLP. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Parq Arauco stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 25, 2026, PARAUCO trades below its calculated fair value: price 3,640 CLP, fair value 3,718 CLP, a gap of about +2% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PARAUCO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (3,640 CLP); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3,718 CLP). For Parq Arauco the two are 77.64 CLP per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Parq Arauco worth?
The market values Parq Arauco at about 3.6T CLP (market capitalisation, as of Oct 25, 2026). Per share that is 3,640 CLP; our models calculate a fair value of 3,718 CLP per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PARAUCO?
Our models span a range for Parq Arauco: cautious scenario 1,551 CLP, base 3,718 CLP, optimistic 6,560 CLP per share (as of Oct 25, 2026, price 3,640 CLP). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PARAUCO?
Parq Arauco trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.6 (as of Oct 25, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 3,718 CLP is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.8, P/B 2.2, P/S 11.3, EV/EBITDA 21.9.
What is the PEG ratio of PARAUCO?
The PEG ratio of Parq Arauco is 0.76 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 25, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Parq Arauco (PARAUCO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Parq Arauco (as of Oct 25, 2026): return on equity 10.6%, debt of 0.97 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PARAUCO from its 52-week high?
Parq Arauco trades at 3,640 CLP, about 17% below its 52-week high of 4,392 CLP and 47% above the low of 2,480 CLP (as of Oct 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3,718 CLP is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Parq Arauco?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Henderson Land Development Company, Swiss Prime Site AG, Central Pattana Public Company, The Phoenix Mills Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Parq Arauco stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 25, 2026: price 3,640 CLP, calculated fair value 3,718 CLP (+2%), Quality Score 62/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PARAUCO calculated?
We run Parq Arauco through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 3,718 CLP, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.3 % above its aggregate fair value. Parq Arauco currently trades 2 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Parq Arauco (PARAUCO)?
The closing price on Oct 23, 2026 was 3,640 CLP. Our model-based fair value is 3,718 CLP, about +2% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Parq Arauco right now?
The model range is unusually wide (1,551 CLP to 6,560 CLP). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Parq Arauco
How large is the market capitalisation of Parq Arauco (PARAUCO)?
The market capitalisation of Parq Arauco is 3.6T CLP (≈ $3.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Parq Arauco (PARAUCO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Parq Arauco is 7.34 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Parq Arauco (PARAUCO)?
Earnings per share at Parq Arauco are 168.31 CLP (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Parq Arauco (PARAUCO)?
The dividend yield of Parq Arauco is 1.2% (payout 26.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Parq Arauco (PARAUCO)?
The net margin of Parq Arauco is 34.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Parq Arauco (PARAUCO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Parq Arauco is 10.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Parq Arauco (PARAUCO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Parq Arauco is 5.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Parq Arauco (PARAUCO)?
The operating margin of Parq Arauco is 70.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Parq Arauco (PARAUCO)?
Revenue at Parq Arauco is growing +15.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Parq Arauco (PARAUCO)?
Earnings per share at Parq Arauco are growing −31.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Parq Arauco (PARAUCO) carry?
The net debt of Parq Arauco is 1.5T CLP (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Parq Arauco in the live analysis
One click puts Parq Arauco on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 28,000+ stock screener.
Broad data
Oct 25, 2026