Parq Arauco (PARAUCO) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · CL · Market cap 3.4T CLP (≈ $3.7B) · ISIN CLP763281068
What is Parq Arauco really worth?
A solid business, but trading 44% above our fair value of 2,740 CLP.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 15, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 15, 2026, revised from 2,777 CLP to 2,740 CLP (−1.3%) since Jul 27, 2026. Share price +0.6% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3,425 CLP). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 594.90 CLP – 4,415 CLP · fair‑value band 2,055 CLP – 3,425 CLP · the 3,945 CLP price screens above the 2,740 CLP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.
Analysis
Parq Arauco (PARAUCO) currently trades at 3,945 CLP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2,740 CLP, implying the stock looks roughly 44.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 7,691 CLP per share, and 6 of the 15 models we run sit above the 3,945 CLP price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 1,163 CLP, and 9 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Parq Arauco generated revenue of 437B CLP at a net margin of 37.2%. Revenue grew 20.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.0%. Net debt stands at 1.5T CLP. Fundamentals as of Aug 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 2,055 CLP (bear case) to 3,425 CLP (bull case); at 3,945 CLP, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 112% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at −31%, PARAUCO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 82.93 CLP per share, which is 3.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (7,691 CLP) versus Asset-Based (1,163 CLP). Highest evidence: Residual Income (75).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Parque Arauco S.A., together with its subsidiaries, develops, owns, operates, and manages multi-format real estate assets in Chile, Peru, and Colombia. The company owns and operates shopping center formats, including regional, neighborhood, outlet malls, and strip malls.
Full company description
Parque Arauco S.A., together with its subsidiaries, develops, owns, operates, and manages multi-format real estate assets in Chile, Peru, and Colombia. The company owns and operates shopping center formats, including regional, neighborhood, outlet malls, and strip malls. Its tenants include department stores, home improvement stores, supermarkets, restaurants, movie theaters, health centers, and smaller stores. It also owns rental apartments, offices, and hotels. The company was formerly known as Cocentral Compañía de Centros Comerciales S.A. and changed its name to Parque Arauco S.A. in 1992. Parque Arauco S.A. was incorporated in 1979 and is based in Santiago, Chile.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Parq Arauco reported revenue of 384B CLP in FY2025 versus 170B CLP in FY2021, a compound +22.6%/yr. Reported net income was 150B CLP in FY2025, compounding +59.0%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
PARAUCO screens 44% overvalued. Compare with Corem Property Group →
Peer Group
Real Estate - Diversified · 131 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corem Property Group CORED | kr 229.00 | kr 121.82 | −47% |
| Swiss Prime Site AG SPSN | CHF 124.60 | CHF 44.83 | −64% |
| Central Pattana Public Company CPN | 66.00 THB | 71.37 THB | +8% |
| Prestige Estates Projects Limited PRESTIGE | ₹1,586 | ₹645.21 | −59% |
| The Phoenix Mills Limited PHOENIXLTD | ₹1,905 | ₹701.74 | −63% |
| Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Company 4325 | 17.19 SAR | 11.60 SAR | −33% |
| Fastighets AB BALDB | kr 54.08 | kr 70.70 | +31% |
| Hainan Airport Infrastructure Co 600515 | ¥2.79 | ¥0.3300 | −88% |
| Singapore Land Group U06 | 3.41 SGD | 3.23 SGD | −5% |
| The St. Joe Company JOE | $67.90 | $34.24 | −50% |
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