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Tze Shin International Co Ltd (2611) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TW · Market cap 2.7B TWD (≈ $84.5M) · ISIN TW0002611001

What is Tze Shin International Co Ltd really worth?

TS Tze Shin International Co Ltd 2611 · TW
Price14.45 TWD
Fair Value6.20 TWD
Upside−57.1%
Quality36/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 133% above our fair value of 6.20 TWD.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 28.9% net margin

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +2.1 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
!Moderate moat 45/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

For context

·3.60% dividend yield
Evidence: Low Range 4.64 TWD – 7.74 TWD

Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +7.8% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (7.74 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

41.44 TWD 12.00 TWD Fair Value 6.20 TWD Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 12.00 TWD – 41.44 TWD · fair‑value band 4.64 TWD – 7.74 TWD · the 14.45 TWD price screens above the 6.20 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

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Analysis

Tze Shin International Co Ltd (2611) currently trades at 14.45 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 6.20 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 133.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of 15.70 TWD per share, and 2 of the 15 models we run sit above the 14.45 TWD price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 2.00 TWD, and 13 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Tze Shin International Co Ltd generated revenue of 858M TWD at a net margin of 28.9%. Revenue grew 110.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.6%. Net debt stands at 364M TWD. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 4.64 TWD (bear case) to 7.74 TWD (bull case); at 14.45 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at −57%, 2611 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings 8.95 TWD 11.59 TWD 16.48 TWD 77
Residual Income 10.54 TWD 10.47 TWD 9.22 TWD 76
EPV 1.93 TWD 2.00 TWD 2.07 TWD 74
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 8.95 TWD 11.59 TWD 16.48 TWD 77
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 3.55 TWD 4.81 TWD 5.57 TWD 67
EPV 1.93 TWD 2.00 TWD 2.07 TWD 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 14.40 TWD 15.70 TWD 17.65 TWD 69
DDM Multi-Stage 14.40 TWD 18.15 TWD 23.03 TWD 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 8.22 TWD 10.96 TWD 13.70 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 5.33 TWD 7.11 TWD 8.89 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 6.65 TWD 8.87 TWD 11.09 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 2.20 TWD 2.46 TWD 2.72 TWD 66
EV/EBITDA 5.69 TWD 7.11 TWD 8.53 TWD 67
EV/Revenue 1.98 TWD 2.22 TWD 2.45 TWD 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 7.18 TWD 9.62 TWD 14.36 TWD 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 10.54 TWD 10.47 TWD 9.22 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 1.93 TWD 2.00 TWD 2.07 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 5.80 TWD 8.29 TWD 10.78 TWD 67

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (15.70 TWD) versus Earnings-Based (2.00 TWD). Highest evidence: Owner Earnings (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 27.8
P/S ratio 4.08 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) 0.5200 TWD price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.8
Dividend yield 3.6% payout 100%
Net margin 14.7% FY2025
Return on equity 9.6% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) −0.8% avg 5y
Operating margin 10.0% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 858M TWD TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +110% 3y avg −2.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +128%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −144M TWD FY2025
Net debt 364M TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 87
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 32
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 12
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Tze Shin International Co., Ltd. operates as a transportation company in Taiwan. The company offers transport services, such as container and truck transportation, terminal, petrochemical, damage goods transportation, and bulk logistics.

Full company description

Tze Shin International Co., Ltd. operates as a transportation company in Taiwan. The company offers transport services, such as container and truck transportation, terminal, petrochemical, damage goods transportation, and bulk logistics. It is also involved in the development and planning for construction of factories, shopping malls, and residential buildings. The company was formerly known as Tze Shin Transportation & Terminal Co.Ltd and changed its name to Tze Shin International Co., Ltd. in July 2002. Tze Shin International Co., Ltd. was founded in 1962 and is based in Taipei, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tze Shin International Co Ltd reported revenue of 672M TWD in FY2025 versus 792M TWD in FY2021, a compound −4.0%/yr. Reported net income was 98.6M TWD in FY2025, compounding −23.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 21/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
672M TWD
Latest YoY
−2.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in TWD) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, EBIT basis) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−37.6% (−41.2 + 3.6)
Revenue −4.0%/yr
FY21 792M TWD
FY22 730M TWD
FY23 617M TWD
FY24 687M TWD
FY25 672M TWD
Net income −23.7%/yr
FY21 291M TWD
FY22 −245M TWD
FY23 468M TWD
FY24 310M TWD
FY25 98.6M TWD

2611 screens 133% overvalued. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tze Shin International Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2611

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 233 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −57% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 29% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Below median
Revenue growth 110% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.08× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 27.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.99× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 3.13× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 29.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 2.57× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 29
FUTURE100 · sector 24
PAST38 · sector 27
HEALTH96 · sector 89
DIVIDEND72 · sector 53

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,714 ₹1,041 −39%
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA kr 20,820 kr 20,145 −3%
532921 532921 ₹1,697 ₹1,305 −23%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥16.06 ¥49.90 +211%
Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, HLAG €132.80 €88.00 −34%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.17 ¥6.15 +19%
HMM Co 011200 21,450 KRW 33,795 KRW +58%
Orient Overseas (International) Limited 0316 HK$166.90 HK$237.61 +42%
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 ¥3.39 ¥5.58 +65%
Qingdao Port International Co 601298 ¥8.69 ¥15.97 +84%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tze Shin International Co Ltd (2611) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 6.20 TWD versus a price of 14.45 TWD, about −57% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2611?
Our model-based fair value for Tze Shin International Co Ltd is 6.20 TWD (as of Sep 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 14.45 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2611?
Tze Shin International Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tze Shin International Co Ltd (2611)?
Tze Shin International Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 858M TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2611?
The net profit margin of Tze Shin International Co Ltd is about 28.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 28.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Tze Shin International Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Tze Shin International Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.60% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 3, 2026).
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