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Orient Overseas International Ltd (0316) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$80.6B (≈ $10.3B) · ISIN BMG677491539

What is Orient Overseas International Ltd really worth?

OO Orient Overseas International Ltd 0316 · HK
PriceHK$149.60
Fair ValueHK$135.35
Upside−9.5%
Quality56/100

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of HK$135.35.

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Strengths

✓Solidly profitable · 15.6% net margin
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (10/15)

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +3.5 %/yr)
!Moderate moat 48/100
!Weak on valuation: 21 out of 100

For context

·10.64% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range HK$80.91 – HK$168.80

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 20, 2026, revised from HK$30.95 to HK$135.35 (+337.3%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +3.2% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$80.91 to HK$168.80) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$176.90 HK$31.87 Fair Value HK$135.35 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$31.87 – HK$176.90 · fair‑value band HK$80.91 – HK$168.80 · the HK$149.60 price screens above the HK$135.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Orient Overseas International Ltd (0316) currently trades at HK$149.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$135.35, implying the stock looks roughly 10.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$43.35 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$149.60 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$13.60, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Orient Overseas International Ltd generated revenue of HK$9.7B at a net margin of 15.6%. Revenue declined 20.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$1.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$80.91 (bear case) to HK$168.80 (bull case); at HK$149.60, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 19% fair-value upside, at −10%, 0316 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence HK$10.17 HK$13.33 HK$18.23 79
Growth DCF HK$10.25 HK$13.03 HK$17.05 77
Owner Earnings HK$13.30 HK$18.28 HK$25.97 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence HK$10.17 HK$13.33 HK$18.23 79
Owner Earnings HK$13.30 HK$18.28 HK$25.97 74
5Y Revenue Exit HK$16.62 HK$25.76 HK$37.69 70
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$25.20 HK$41.97 HK$61.91 72
5Y P/E Exit HK$27.70 HK$46.68 HK$66.97 68
10Y Revenue Exit HK$13.75 HK$21.57 HK$32.51 64
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$19.74 HK$32.88 HK$51.15 65
10Y P/E Exit HK$21.33 HK$36.17 HK$55.05 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$15.61 HK$50.72 HK$67.74 62
Lynch FV HK$11.33 HK$16.18 HK$21.04 59
PEG = 1.0 HK$11.33 HK$16.18 HK$21.04 55
EPV HK$19.79 HK$22.31 HK$24.51 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$18.76 HK$39.00 HK$61.87 64
DDM Multi-Stage HK$18.76 HK$31.63 HK$40.93 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$36.15 HK$48.20 HK$60.25 63
P/S Multiple HK$22.12 HK$29.49 HK$36.86 58
P/B Multiple HK$29.26 HK$39.02 HK$48.77 55
EV/EBIT HK$27.15 HK$34.64 HK$42.13 66
EV/EBITDA HK$36.57 HK$47.19 HK$57.82 67
EV/Revenue HK$20.72 HK$27.59 HK$34.46 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$10.15 HK$13.60 HK$20.30 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$10.25 HK$13.03 HK$17.05 77
Rev-Margin DCF HK$16.62 HK$25.55 HK$35.84 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$18.59 HK$21.12 HK$32.27 73
ROIC Compounder HK$19.79 HK$23.56 HK$28.76 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$30.35 HK$43.35 HK$56.36 65

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$43.35) versus Growth DCF (HK$13.03). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 6.8 as of Jul 1, 2026
P/S ratio 1.06 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) HK$1.44 price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.8
Dividend yield 10.6%
Net margin 15.6% FY2025
Return on equity 11.4% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 25.4% avg 5y
Operating margin 3.8% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$9.7B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −20.0% 3y avg −21.1%
EPS growth (YoY) −67.9%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow HK$315M FY2025
Net cash HK$1.8B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 5
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 45
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 92
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 52
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 65
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Orient Overseas (International) Limited, an investment holding company, provides container transport and logistics services in Asia, Europe, North and South America, Australia, and Africa.

Full company description

Orient Overseas (International) Limited, an investment holding company, provides container transport and logistics services in Asia, Europe, North and South America, Australia, and Africa. It offers supply chain management services; containerized shipping services in various trade lanes comprising Trans-Pacific, Trans-Atlantic, Asia/Europe, Asia/ Australia, and Intra-Asia trades; and integrated services. The company is involved in shipping and logistics software application development; container transport, equipment owning and leasing, container depot and warehousing, portfolio investment, trucking, ship owning and chartering, terminal operating, cargo consolidation and forwarding, transportation and freight agency, liner agency, property owning, and ship management and vessels operation businesses; and provision of corporate services. In addition, it offers AI and blockchain digital data on network applications, and platform design services. The company was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong. Orient Overseas (International) Limited operates as a subsidiary of Faulkner Global Holdings Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Orient Overseas International Ltd reported revenue of $9.7B in FY2025 versus $16.8B in FY2021, a compound −12.8%/yr. Reported net income was $1.5B in FY2025, compounding −32.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 38/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$9.7B
Latest YoY
−9.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−21.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (27Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.4%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+20.3% (9.7 + 10.6)
Revenue −12.8%/yr
FY21 $16.8B
FY22 $19.8B
FY23 $8.3B
FY24 $10.7B
FY25 $9.7B
Net income −32.1%/yr
FY21 $7.1B
FY22 $10.0B
FY23 $1.4B
FY24 $2.6B
FY25 $1.5B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +21.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.0 %

of which total revenue +4.6 % · buybacks/dilution −0.6 %

EBIT margin +13.4 %
Tax rate +0.7 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +2.0 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Orient Overseas International Ltd · Fair Value
HK$135.35 −11%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Orient Overseas International Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0316

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 233 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −10% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 16% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth −20% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 10.6% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.77× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.06× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 32.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.3× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.53× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE21 · sector 29
FUTURE0 · sector 24
PAST45 · sector 27
HEALTH100 · sector 89
DIVIDEND100 · sector 53

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).

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COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥16.06 ¥49.90 +211%
Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, HLAG €132.80 €88.00 −34%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.17 ¥6.15 +19%
HMM Co 011200 21,450 KRW 33,795 KRW +58%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Orient Overseas International Ltd (0316) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$135.35 versus a price of HK$149.60, about −10% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 0316?
Our model-based fair value for Orient Overseas International Ltd is HK$135.35 (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$149.60.
What is the quality score of 0316?
Orient Overseas International Ltd has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Orient Overseas International Ltd (0316)?
Orient Overseas International Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$9.7B (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0316?
The net profit margin of Orient Overseas International Ltd is about 15.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Orient Overseas International Ltd pay a dividend?
Orient Overseas International Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 10.64% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 20, 2026).
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