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Ningbo Zhoushan Port Co Ltd (601018) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 65.2B CNY (≈ $9.7B) · ISIN CNE100000V12

What is Ningbo Zhoushan Port Co Ltd really worth?

NZ Ningbo Zhoushan Port Co Ltd 601018 · SHG
Price¥3.47
Fair Value¥4.35
Upside+25.5%
Quality56/100

A solid business, trading 20% below our fair value of ¥4.35.

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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 16.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/14)

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +7.6 %/yr)
!Moderate moat 49/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 26 out of 100

For context

·3.46% dividend yield
Evidence: Low Range ¥3.01 – ¥5.44

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 20, 2026, revised from ¥5.58 to ¥4.35 (−22.0%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +2.4% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥3.01 to ¥5.44) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥4.33 ¥3.15 Fair Value ¥4.35 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.15 – ¥4.33 · fair‑value band ¥3.01 – ¥5.44 · the ¥3.47 price screens below the ¥4.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

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Analysis

Ningbo Zhoushan Port Co Ltd (601018) currently trades at ¥3.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.35, implying the stock looks roughly 20.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥6.22 per share, and 16 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥3.47 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥2.43, and 10 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Ningbo Zhoushan Port Co Ltd generated revenue of 32.1B CNY at a net margin of 16.1%. Revenue grew 15.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.4%. Net debt stands at 2.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.01 (bear case) to ¥5.44 (bull case); at ¥3.47, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 19% fair-value upside, at 25%, 601018 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.1019 per share, which is 2.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence ¥3.74 ¥6.45 ¥10.96 78
Growth DCF ¥3.74 ¥6.30 ¥10.50 76
Residual Income ¥3.55 ¥3.68 ¥3.73 76
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence ¥3.74 ¥6.45 ¥10.96 78
Owner Earnings ¥1.27 ¥2.17 ¥3.68 74
5Y Revenue Exit ¥2.57 ¥4.10 ¥6.08 72
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.81 ¥8.58 ¥13.22 74
5Y P/E Exit ¥3.81 ¥6.58 ¥9.66 70
10Y Revenue Exit ¥2.88 ¥4.43 ¥6.65 66
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.41 ¥7.66 ¥12.46 67
10Y P/E Exit ¥3.76 ¥6.22 ¥9.56 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.81 ¥7.53 ¥10.26 64
Lynch FV ¥1.90 ¥2.72 ¥3.54 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.90 ¥2.72 ¥3.54 57
EPV ¥2.57 ¥2.99 ¥3.36 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.38 ¥2.88 ¥4.56 66
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.38 ¥2.43 ¥3.02 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥4.18 ¥5.58 ¥6.97 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.39 ¥3.19 ¥3.99 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.39 ¥4.52 ¥5.64 55
EV/EBIT ¥4.76 ¥6.33 ¥7.91 66
EV/EBITDA ¥5.85 ¥7.79 ¥9.72 67
EV/Revenue ¥2.04 ¥2.91 ¥3.77 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.24 ¥3.01 ¥4.49 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥3.74 ¥6.30 ¥10.50 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.57 ¥4.10 ¥6.01 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.55 ¥3.68 ¥3.73 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.57 ¥2.99 ¥3.36 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.25 ¥4.65 ¥6.04 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥6.22) versus Dividend Discount (¥2.43). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 12.9
P/S ratio 2.14 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2700 price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.9
Dividend yield 3.5% payout 44.4%
Net margin 16.6% FY2025
Return on equity 6.4% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 5.6% avg 5y
Operating margin 18.9% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 32.1B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.6% 3y avg +6.3%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 5.8B CNY FY2025
Net debt 2.3B CNY FY2025 · ≈ 0.4 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 73
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 49
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 96
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 29
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 58
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company Limited operates as a container ocean trunk port in China. The company's terminal functions include container terminal facilities; iron ore professional terminal; crude oil terminal; liquid chemical raw material; coal transshipment, storage, and transportation base; and cruise terminal services.

Full company description

Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company Limited operates as a container ocean trunk port in China. The company's terminal functions include container terminal facilities; iron ore professional terminal; crude oil terminal; liquid chemical raw material; coal transshipment, storage, and transportation base; and cruise terminal services. It also offers port services, such as pilotage, ship tally, container loading and unpacking, cargo measurement, easy-to-fluidize solid bulk cargo sampling, and cargo damage and container inspection services. In addition, the company provides sea-rail transport logistics, domestic trade, shipping agency, port area freight forwarding, container logistics yard, railway liquefied product transportation and agency, cargo warehousing and full transportation, handling ship entry and exit procedures, contact arrangements for pilotage; signing bills of lading, and transportation contracts business. Further, the company handles customs declaration procedures for ships, containers, and goods; handles consignment and transit of goods and containers, and settlement and other projects; undertakes non-vessel operations; and collects freight. Additionally, it offers land bridge railway transportation, multimodal transportation, railway transit, export transportation, container rental, and other services. Furthermore, the company engages in software research and development, system integration, security engineering, and communication services. The company was formerly known as Ningbo Port Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company Limited in August 2016. The company was founded in 2008 and is based in Ningbo, China. Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of Ningbo Zhoushan Port Group Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ningbo Zhoushan Port Co Ltd reported revenue of 31.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 23.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was 5.2B CNY in FY2025, compounding +4.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
31.1B CNY
Latest YoY
+8.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (19Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.8%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+4.4% (0.9 + 3.5)
Revenue +7.7%/yr
FY21 23.1B CNY
FY22 25.9B CNY
FY23 26.0B CNY
FY24 28.7B CNY
FY25 31.1B CNY
Net income +4.9%/yr
FY21 4.3B CNY
FY22 4.3B CNY
FY23 4.7B CNY
FY24 4.9B CNY
FY25 5.2B CNY
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +2.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share +2.5 %

of which total revenue +7.1 % · buybacks/dilution −4.3 %

EBIT margin +1.1 %
Tax rate −0.5 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.3 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ningbo Zhoushan Port Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601018

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 233 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside +26% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 16% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Above median
Revenue growth 16% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.08× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.75× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.03× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.7× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.7× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE67 · sector 29
FUTURE78 · sector 24
PAST26 · sector 27
HEALTH96 · sector 89
DIVIDEND69 · sector 53

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,714 ₹1,041 −39%
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA kr 20,820 kr 20,145 −3%
532921 532921 ₹1,697 ₹1,305 −23%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥16.06 ¥49.90 +211%
Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, HLAG €132.80 €88.00 −34%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.17 ¥6.15 +19%
HMM Co 011200 21,450 KRW 33,795 KRW +58%
Orient Overseas (International) Limited 0316 HK$166.90 HK$237.61 +42%
Qingdao Port International Co 601298 ¥8.69 ¥15.97 +84%
JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA ₹329.85 ₹122.71 −63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ningbo Zhoushan Port Co Ltd (601018) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.35 versus a price of ¥3.47, about +25% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 601018?
Our model-based fair value for Ningbo Zhoushan Port Co Ltd is ¥4.35 (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥3.47.
What is the quality score of 601018?
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ningbo Zhoushan Port Co Ltd (601018)?
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 32.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 601018?
The net profit margin of Ningbo Zhoushan Port Co Ltd is about 16.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Ningbo Zhoushan Port Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.46% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 20, 2026).
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