COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd (601919) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 213B CNY (≈ $31.9B) · ISIN CNE100000601
What is COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd really worth?
A solid business, trading 68% below our fair value of ¥49.90.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Share price +4.3% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥38.74). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.85 – ¥17.42 · fair‑value band ¥38.74 – ¥60.92 · the ¥16.06 price screens below the ¥49.90 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
Analysis
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd (601919) currently trades at ¥16.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥49.90, implying the stock looks roughly 67.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥64.47 per share, and 25 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥16.06 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥12.40, and 1 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd generated revenue of 213B CNY at a net margin of 11.7%. Revenue declined 10.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 73.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥38.74 (bear case) to ¥60.92 (bull case); at ¥16.06, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 19% fair-value upside, at 211%, 601919 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.6659 per share, which is 1.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥64.47) versus Asset-Based (¥12.40). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the container shipping business in the United States, Europe, the Asia Pacific, Mainland China, and internationally. It operates through Container Shipping Business, Terminal Business, and Other Businesses segments.
Full company description
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the container shipping business in the United States, Europe, the Asia Pacific, Mainland China, and internationally. It operates through Container Shipping Business, Terminal Business, and Other Businesses segments. The company offers routes and maritime container transportation services, logistics and port service, and digital supply chain service for enterprises in cross-border e-commerce, home appliances, photovoltaic, automobile, and other industries. It also provides management and financing services; freight forwarding and transportation; property lease; shipping agency; vessel chartering; marine; document services; vessel management and manning; cargo and liner agency; asset management; technical services, container maintenance, container yard warehousing services; multimodal transport; terminal operations; and supply chain management services. In addition, the company engages in the operation of rail terminals. As of December 31, 2025, it operated container fleet of 590 ships with a total capacity of approximately 3.60 million TEUs. The company was formerly known as China COSCO Holdings Company Limited and changed its name to COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd. in November 2016. COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Tianjin, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co Ltd reported revenue of 218B CNY in FY2025 versus 334B CNY in FY2021, a compound −10.0%/yr. Reported net income was 30.9B CNY in FY2025, compounding −23.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Marine Shipping · 233 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 35/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS | ₹1,714 | ₹1,041 | −39% |
| A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA | kr 20,820 | kr 20,145 | −3% |
| 532921 532921 | ₹1,697 | ₹1,305 | −23% |
| Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, HLAG | €132.80 | €88.00 | −34% |
| Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 | ¥5.17 | ¥6.15 | +19% |
| HMM Co 011200 | 21,450 KRW | 33,795 KRW | +58% |
| Orient Overseas (International) Limited 0316 | HK$166.90 | HK$237.61 | +42% |
| Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 | ¥3.39 | ¥5.58 | +65% |
| Qingdao Port International Co 601298 | ¥8.69 | ¥15.97 | +84% |
| JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA | ₹329.85 | ₹122.71 | −63% |
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