HMM Co (011200) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · KR · Market cap 19.0T KRW
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 33,855 KRW to 11,828 KRW (−65.1%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +6.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 44% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (14,785 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 12,653 KRW – 42,356 KRW · fair‑value band 8,293 KRW – 14,785 KRW · the 21,050 KRW price screens above the 11,828 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
HMM Co (011200) currently trades at 21,050 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 11,828 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 43.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, HMM Co generated revenue of 10.8T KRW at a net margin of 13.9%. Revenue declined 4.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.4%. Net debt stands at 504B KRW. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 8,293 KRW (bear case) to 14,785 KRW (bull case); at 21,050 KRW, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 7% fair-value upside, at -44%, 011200 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (36,609 KRW) versus Dividend Discount (9,131 KRW). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
HMM Co.,Ltd, an integrated logistics company, provides shipping and logistics services in Japan and internationally. The company offers container services for general, reefer, oversized, and dangerous cargo; bulk liners; trampers that include Cape, Panamax, Supramax, and Handy; tankers, such as crude and product tankers, and LNG carriers; and heavy lifts …
Full company description
HMM Co.,Ltd, an integrated logistics company, provides shipping and logistics services in Japan and internationally. The company offers container services for general, reefer, oversized, and dangerous cargo; bulk liners; trampers that include Cape, Panamax, Supramax, and Handy; tankers, such as crude and product tankers, and LNG carriers; and heavy lifts and project carriers. It also operates container terminals and provides intermodal services using rails, barges, and trucks. In addition, the company offers digital solutions, such as Hi-Quote online reservation platform; HMM eBL; vendor partners; and invoice payments, as well as interfaces, including API, HMM EDI, HMM e-Service, and HMM Chatbot. The company was formerly known as Hyundai Merchant Marine Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to HMM Co.,Ltd in March 2020. HMM Co.,Ltd was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
HMM Co reported revenue of 10.9T KRW in FY2025 versus 13.8T KRW in FY2021, a compound −5.7%/yr. Reported net income was 1.9T KRW in FY2025, compounding −23.0%/yr from FY2021.
011200 screens 44% overvalued. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →
Peer Group
Marine Shipping · 233 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS | ₹1,658 | ₹1,041 | -37% |
| A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA | kr 16,810 | kr 3,033 | -82% |
| COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 | ¥15.25 | ¥49.90 | +227% |
| JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA | ₹346.60 | ₹126.31 | -64% |
| Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 | 87.10 TWD | 212.79 TWD | +144% |
| PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk, a shipping company, TCPI | 3,640 IDR | 368.32 IDR | -90% |
| The Great Eastern Shipping Company GESHIP | ₹1,299 | ₹1,854 | +43% |
| Pan Ocean Co 028670 | 5,630 KRW | 11,840 KRW | +110% |
| Sociedad Matriz SAAM S.A SMSAAM | 136.33 CLP | 146.31 CLP | +7% |
| PT Ancara Logistics Indonesia Tbk ALII | 795.00 IDR | 350.80 IDR | -56% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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