HMM Co Ltd (011200) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · KR · Market cap 19.0T KRW (≈ $13.3B) · ISIN KR7011200003
What is HMM Co Ltd really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 78% above our fair value of 11,828 KRW.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 1, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Fair value updated Sep 1, 2026, revised from 33,795 KRW to 11,828 KRW (−65.0%) since Aug 27, 2026. Share price +1.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (14,785 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 12,653 KRW – 42,356 KRW · fair‑value band 8,293 KRW – 14,785 KRW · the 21,050 KRW price screens above the 11,828 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
Analysis
HMM Co Ltd (011200) currently trades at 21,050 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 11,828 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 78.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 36,609 KRW per share, and 19 of the 26 models we run sit above the 21,050 KRW price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 9,131 KRW, and 7 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, HMM Co Ltd generated revenue of 10.8T KRW at a net margin of 13.9%. Revenue declined 4.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.4%. Net debt stands at 504B KRW. Fundamentals as of Sep 1, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 8,293 KRW (bear case) to 14,785 KRW (bull case); at 21,050 KRW, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 19% fair-value upside, at −44%, 011200 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (36,609 KRW) versus Dividend Discount (9,131 KRW). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
HMM Co.,Ltd, an integrated logistics company, provides shipping and logistics services in Japan and internationally. The company offers container services for general, reefer, oversized, and dangerous cargo; bulk liners; trampers that include Cape, Panamax, Supramax, and Handy; tankers, such as crude and product tankers, and LNG carriers; and heavy lifts …
Full company description
HMM Co.,Ltd, an integrated logistics company, provides shipping and logistics services in Japan and internationally. The company offers container services for general, reefer, oversized, and dangerous cargo; bulk liners; trampers that include Cape, Panamax, Supramax, and Handy; tankers, such as crude and product tankers, and LNG carriers; and heavy lifts and project carriers. It also operates container terminals and provides intermodal services using rails, barges, and trucks. In addition, the company offers digital solutions, such as Hi-Quote online reservation platform; HMM eBL; vendor partners; and invoice payments, as well as interfaces, including API, HMM EDI, HMM e-Service, and HMM Chatbot. The company was formerly known as Hyundai Merchant Marine Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to HMM Co.,Ltd in March 2020. HMM Co.,Ltd was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
HMM Co Ltd reported revenue of 10.9T KRW in FY2025 versus 13.8T KRW in FY2021, a compound −5.7%/yr. Reported net income was 1.9T KRW in FY2025, compounding −23.0%/yr from FY2021.
011200 screens 78% overvalued. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →
Peer Group
Marine Shipping · 233 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 1, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS | ₹1,714 | ₹1,041 | −39% |
| A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA | kr 20,820 | kr 20,145 | −3% |
| 532921 532921 | ₹1,697 | ₹1,305 | −23% |
| COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 | ¥16.06 | ¥49.90 | +211% |
| Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, HLAG | €132.80 | €88.00 | −34% |
| Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 | ¥5.17 | ¥6.15 | +19% |
| Orient Overseas (International) Limited 0316 | HK$166.90 | HK$237.61 | +42% |
| Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 | ¥3.39 | ¥5.58 | +65% |
| Qingdao Port International Co 601298 | ¥8.69 | ¥15.97 | +84% |
| JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA | ₹329.85 | ₹122.71 | −63% |
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