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SITC International Holdings Co Ltd (1308) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$85.7B (≈ $10.9B) · ISIN KYG8187G1055

What is SITC International Holdings Co Ltd really worth?

SI SITC International Holdings Co Ltd 1308 · HK
PriceHK$45.22
Fair ValueHK$50.69
Upside+12.1%
Quality85/100

A strong business, trading 11% below our fair value of HK$50.69.

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Strengths

✓Highly profitable · 35.8% net margin
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (9/14)
✓Wide moat 100/100

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +15.2 %/yr)

For context

·7.08% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range HK$38.01 – HK$85.47

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 20, 2026, revised from HK$6.44 to HK$50.69 (+687.1%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +15.9% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range (HK$38.01 to HK$85.47) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
  • The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$49.06 HK$8.39 Fair Value HK$50.69 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$8.39 – HK$49.06 · fair‑value band HK$38.01 – HK$85.47 · the HK$45.22 price screens below the HK$50.69 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

SITC International Holdings Co Ltd (1308) currently trades at HK$45.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$50.69, implying the stock looks roughly 10.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 85/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$8.69 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$45.22 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$5.13, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, SITC International Holdings Co Ltd generated revenue of HK$3.4B at a net margin of 35.8%. Revenue declined 0.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 50.0%. Net debt stands at HK$80.7M. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$38.01 (bear case) to HK$85.47 (bull case); at HK$45.22, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 114% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 12%, 1308 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (HK$0.6200 to HK$13.82). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$6.21 HK$10.98 HK$19.16 77
Growth DCF HK$6.18 HK$10.61 HK$18.03 76
Owner Earnings HK$6.09 HK$10.77 HK$18.79 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$6.21 HK$10.98 HK$19.16 77
Owner Earnings HK$6.09 HK$10.77 HK$18.79 74
5Y Revenue Exit HK$3.14 HK$4.60 HK$6.44 73
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$5.08 HK$8.57 HK$12.87 74
5Y P/E Exit HK$6.52 HK$11.51 HK$17.16 70
10Y Revenue Exit HK$4.07 HK$5.79 HK$8.17 67
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$5.41 HK$8.69 HK$13.49 67
10Y P/E Exit HK$6.37 HK$10.83 HK$17.05 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$3.10 HK$13.82 HK$18.94 64
Lynch FV HK$3.59 HK$5.13 HK$6.67 61
PEG = 1.0 HK$3.59 HK$5.13 HK$6.67 57
EPV HK$3.78 HK$4.39 HK$4.93 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$7.17 HK$9.56 HK$11.95 63
P/S Multiple HK$1.90 HK$2.54 HK$3.17 58
P/B Multiple HK$3.11 HK$4.14 HK$5.18 55
EV/EBIT HK$5.58 HK$7.41 HK$9.24 66
EV/EBITDA HK$4.94 HK$6.56 HK$8.17 67
EV/Revenue HK$1.69 HK$2.38 HK$3.06 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.4600 HK$0.6200 HK$0.9200 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$6.18 HK$10.61 HK$18.03 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$3.14 HK$4.64 HK$6.58 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$3.91 HK$6.26 HK$109.82 64
ROIC Compounder HK$4.12 HK$5.21 HK$6.48 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$5.87 HK$8.38 HK$10.90 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$8.69) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.6200). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 9.0 as of Jul 2, 2026
P/S ratio 3.23 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) HK$0.2300 price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.0
Dividend yield 7.1%
Net margin 35.8% FY2025
Return on equity 50.0% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 37.0% avg 5y
Operating margin 31.6% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$3.4B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −0.6% 3y avg −6.0%
EPS growth (YoY) −12.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow HK$1.3B FY2025
Net debt HK$80.7M FY2025 · ≈ 0.1 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 85/100

Of which business quality 81 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81

Profitability 88
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 84
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 85
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

SITC International Holdings Company Limited, a shipping logistics company, engages in the provision of integrated transportation and logistics solutions in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Japan, Southeast Asia, and internationally.

Full company description

SITC International Holdings Company Limited, a shipping logistics company, engages in the provision of integrated transportation and logistics solutions in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Japan, Southeast Asia, and internationally. The company offers container transportation, freight forwarding, shipping agency, depot, warehousing services, container vessel leasing, land leasing, and other services. As of December 31, 2024, the company operated a fleet of 114 vessels with a total capacity of 180,255 TEU, including 100 self-owned vessels with a capacity of 164,845 TEU and 14 chartered vessels with a capacity of 15,410 TEU. It also provides vessel holding and chartering, technology support, container marine transportation, container maintenance, customs declaration, marine, shipping management, and multimodal transportation services, as well as engages in the land and building holding activities. SITC International Holdings Company Limited was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

SITC International Holdings Co Ltd reported revenue of $3.4B in FY2025 versus $3.0B in FY2021, a compound +3.2%/yr. Reported net income was $1.2B in FY2025, compounding +1.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$3.4B
Latest YoY
+11.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (18Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.4%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+35.3% (28.2 + 7.1)
Revenue +3.2%/yr
FY21 $3.0B
FY22 $4.1B
FY23 $2.4B
FY24 $3.1B
FY25 $3.4B
Net income +1.3%/yr
FY21 $1.2B
FY22 $1.9B
FY23 $531M
FY24 $1.0B
FY25 $1.2B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +24.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +9.3 %

of which total revenue +9.7 % · buybacks/dilution −0.3 %

EBIT margin +12.0 %
Tax rate +0.2 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.2 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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SITC International Holdings Co Ltd · Fair Value
HK$50.69 +11%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SITC International Holdings Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1308

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 233 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 85 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +12% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 50% · Top 25%
Return on assets 22% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 36% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 32% · Top 25%
Revenue growth −1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.1% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 4.41× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.20× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 8.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.4× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE49 · sector 29
FUTURE0 · sector 24
PAST100 · sector 27
HEALTH100 · sector 89
DIVIDEND100 · sector 53

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,714 ₹1,041 −39%
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA kr 20,820 kr 20,145 −3%
532921 532921 ₹1,697 ₹1,305 −23%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥16.06 ¥49.90 +211%
Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, HLAG €132.80 €88.00 −34%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.17 ¥6.15 +19%
HMM Co 011200 21,450 KRW 33,795 KRW +58%
Orient Overseas (International) Limited 0316 HK$166.90 HK$237.61 +42%
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 ¥3.39 ¥5.58 +65%
Qingdao Port International Co 601298 ¥8.69 ¥15.97 +84%

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Frequently asked questions

Is SITC International Holdings Co Ltd (1308) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$50.69 versus a price of HK$45.22, about +12% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1308?
Our model-based fair value for SITC International Holdings Co Ltd is HK$50.69 (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$45.22.
What is the quality score of 1308?
SITC International Holdings Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 85/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of SITC International Holdings Co Ltd (1308)?
SITC International Holdings Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$3.4B (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1308?
The net profit margin of SITC International Holdings Co Ltd is about 35.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 35.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does SITC International Holdings Co Ltd pay a dividend?
SITC International Holdings Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.08% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 20, 2026).
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