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The Saudi National Bank, through its subsidiaries, (1180) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · SA · Market cap 234B SAR

TS The Saudi National Bank, through its subsidiaries, 1180 · SR
Price39.52 SAR
Fair Value46.83 SAR
Upside+18.5%
Quality54/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 65.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
5.87% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Wide moat 71/100
Evidence: High Range 35.12 SAR – 58.53 SAR Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 54.88 SAR to 46.83 SAR (−14.7%) since Aug 4, 2026. Share price +4.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 19% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
  • Our model range runs from 35.12 SAR (bear) to 58.53 SAR (bull), base 46.83 SAR. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 54/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

48.87 SAR 25.46 SAR Fair Value 46.83 SAR Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 25.46 SAR – 48.87 SAR · fair‑value band 35.12 SAR – 58.53 SAR · the 39.52 SAR price screens below the 46.83 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

The Saudi National Bank, through its subsidiaries, (1180) currently trades at 39.52 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 46.83 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 18.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, The Saudi National Bank, through its subsidiaries, generated revenue of 39.5B SAR at a net margin of 65.6%. Revenue grew 6.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.6%. Net debt stands at 66.5B SAR. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 35.12 SAR (bear case) to 58.53 SAR (bull case); at 39.52 SAR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at 19%, 1180 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 32.55 SAR 39.25 SAR 80.85 SAR 76
Gordon GGM 19.45 SAR 42.46 SAR 71.44 SAR 70
P/E Multiple 41.16 SAR 54.88 SAR 68.60 SAR 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 19.45 SAR 42.46 SAR 71.44 SAR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 19.45 SAR 34.78 SAR 44.25 SAR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 41.16 SAR 54.88 SAR 68.60 SAR 63
P/B Multiple 35.96 SAR 47.95 SAR 59.94 SAR 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 17.13 SAR 22.95 SAR 34.25 SAR 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 32.55 SAR 39.25 SAR 80.85 SAR 76

Widest divergence: Multiples (47.95 SAR) versus Asset-Based (22.95 SAR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 39.5B SAR
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.7%
Net margin 65.6%
Return on equity 12.6%
Free cash flow 5.7B SAR FY2025
P/E ratio 9.4
More key figures
Operating margin 75.0%
EPS (TTM) 4.19 SAR
Dividend yield 5.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +8.1%
Net debt 66.5B SAR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 46
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 18
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 69
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 91
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 61
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 76
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

The Saudi National Bank, through its subsidiaries, provides banking and investment management services in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and internationally.

Full company description

The Saudi National Bank, through its subsidiaries, provides banking and investment management services in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and internationally. The company offers current, Al Wessam, gold, commercial enterprise, and corporate accounts; Shariah-compliant financing solutions, financial solutions to MSMEs, point-of-sale Merchant Financing, personal and lease finance, and residential finance; and corporate finance solutions, including Ijara, Musharaka financing, Project and Structured Finance, Syndications and Placements, and Tawarruq. It also provides deposit, prepaid, and credit cards; cash management services, such as dividend distribution, payroll, escrow account management, deposit, and debit services; guarantees, fleet leasing, investment products, and digital banking; treasury services, such as foreign currency exchange, money markets, and shariah compliant products; payments and transfers; and trade finance, including documentary collection, export and import letter of credit, letter of guarantees, documentary collection, letter of credit program for Saudi industrial development fund clients. In addition, it operates as a private equity fund; keeps and manages title deeds and collateralized real estate properties; trades in derivatives and repos/reverse repos activities; sells POS equipment and devices; manages liquidity, market, and credit risks; and provides recruitment services, safety deposit boxes, private banking services, wealth management, asset management, investment banking, and shares brokerage services, as well as correspondent banking products and services, including money market and foreign exchange. The company was formerly known as The National Commercial Bank and changed its name to The Saudi National Bank in April 2021. The Saudi National Bank was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

The Saudi National Bank, through its subsidiaries, reported revenue of 46.1B SAR in FY2025 versus 29.4B SAR in FY2021, a compound +11.9%/yr. Reported net income was 25.1B SAR in FY2025, compounding +18.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
46.1B SAR
Latest YoY
+22.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.0%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.8%
Revenue +11.9%/yr
FY21 29.4B SAR
FY22 34.1B SAR
FY23 35.9B SAR
FY24 37.6B SAR
FY25 46.1B SAR
Net income +18.6%/yr
FY21 12.7B SAR
FY22 18.6B SAR
FY23 20.0B SAR
FY24 21.2B SAR
FY25 25.1B SAR
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +4.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +3.7 pp

of which total revenue +9.5 pp · buybacks/dilution −5.8 pp

EBIT margin +2.0 pp
Tax rate −1.1 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The Saudi National Bank, through its subsidiaries, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1180

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1086 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside +19% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 66% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 75% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.9% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.31× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.58× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 10.9× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 58 · sector 33
FUTURE 34 · sector 44
PAST 50 · sector 41
HEALTH 99 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,350 IDR 4,637 IDR -27%
KB Financial Group 105560 168,100 KRW 220,258 KRW +31%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 3,110 IDR 3,792 IDR +22%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,130 IDR 6,067 IDR +47%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 8,400 ARS +64%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 103,800 KRW 146,032 KRW +41%
Hana Financial Group 086790 127,900 KRW 210,506 KRW +65%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,500 VND 45,959 VND -23%
Woori Financial Group 316140 33,000 KRW 60,758 KRW +84%

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Frequently asked questions

Is The Saudi National Bank, through its subsidiaries, (1180) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 46.83 SAR versus a price of 39.52 SAR, about +19% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1180?
Our model-based fair value for The Saudi National Bank, through its subsidiaries, is 46.83 SAR (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 39.52 SAR.
What is the quality score of 1180?
The Saudi National Bank, through its subsidiaries, has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of The Saudi National Bank, through its subsidiaries, (1180)?
The Saudi National Bank, through its subsidiaries, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 39.5B SAR (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1180?
The net profit margin of The Saudi National Bank, through its subsidiaries, is about 65.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 65.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does The Saudi National Bank, through its subsidiaries, pay a dividend?
The Saudi National Bank, through its subsidiaries, currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.87% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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