Arab National Bank (1080) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · SA · Market cap 44.5B SAR (≈ $11.8B) · ISIN SA0007879105
What is Arab National Bank really worth?
Below-average quality, trading 33% below our fair value of 34.21 SAR.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price +3.2% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (25.65 SAR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 8.66 SAR – 24.45 SAR · fair‑value band 25.65 SAR – 42.75 SAR · the 22.90 SAR price screens below the 34.21 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
Analysis
Arab National Bank (1080) currently trades at 22.90 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 34.21 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 33.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 33.51 SAR per share, and 3 of the 6 models we run sit above the 22.90 SAR price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 16.70 SAR, and 3 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Arab National Bank generated revenue of 9.5B SAR at a net margin of 55.1%. Revenue grew 8.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 13.2B SAR. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 25.65 SAR (bear case) to 42.75 SAR (bull case); at 22.90 SAR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at 49%, 1080 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 0.9136 SAR per share, which is 2.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (33.51 SAR) versus Asset-Based (16.70 SAR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (75).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Arab National Bank provides various banking products and services in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Other GCC and the Middle East, Europe, North America, Latin America, Southeast Asia, and internationally. It operates through Retail Banking, Corporate Banking, Treasury, and Investment and Brokerage Services segments.
Full company description
Arab National Bank provides various banking products and services in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Other GCC and the Middle East, Europe, North America, Latin America, Southeast Asia, and internationally. It operates through Retail Banking, Corporate Banking, Treasury, and Investment and Brokerage Services segments. The company offers savings, Murabaha, and SME accounts; time deposits; personal, auto lease, and real estate loans; credit and debit cards; digital wallets; and investment products for individuals. It also provides loans and advances, deposits, and other credit products for corporate and institutional customers, and small and medium sized businesses; and investment management services, as well as asset management services related to dealing, managing, arranging, advising, and custody of securities. In addition, the company offers corporate and commercial banking, project and structured finance, and vision realization solutions; treasury services, such as market related products and services, international instruments, investments, government bonds and sukuk, and e-trader solutions; and transaction banking solutions comprising corporate online access, merchant solutions, collections solutions, liquidity management solutions, specialized market solutions, fintech and open banking solutions, financial solutions, guaranteed bonds, and collection documentary bills. Further, it engages in leasing of heavy equipment; and investment, purchasing, sale, and leasing of land and real estate properties, as well as provides trading and supply chain finance. Arab National Bank was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Arab National Bank reported revenue of 9.9B SAR in FY2025 versus 5.8B SAR in FY2021, a compound +14.4%/yr. Reported net income was 5.1B SAR in FY2025, compounding +23.8%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +5.7 % · buybacks/dilution −3.1 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Banks - Regional · 1071 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DBS Group D05 | 75.65 SGD | 40.48 SGD | −46% |
| China Merchants Bank Co 3968 | HK$47.96 | HK$76.51 | +60% |
| Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP | €6.78 | €5.66 | −17% |
| HDFC Bank Limited HDB | $23.17 | $24.12 | +4% |
| BNP Paribas SA BNP | €102.56 | €144.64 | +41% |
| UniCredit S.p.A UCG | €84.71 | €77.62 | −8% |
| Mizuho Financial Group MFG | $10.74 | $9.69 | −10% |
| ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK | ₹1,443 | ₹835.21 | −42% |
| Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation O39 | 31.07 SGD | 19.80 SGD | −36% |
| CaixaBank, S.A CABK | €13.52 | €8.85 | −35% |
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