Arab National Bank (1080) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · SA · Market cap 43.0B SAR
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 33.51 SAR to 34.21 SAR (+2.1%) since Jul 31, 2026. Share price +7.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 58% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (25.65 SAR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 8.66 SAR – 24.45 SAR · fair‑value band 25.65 SAR – 42.75 SAR · the 21.70 SAR price screens below the 34.21 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Arab National Bank (1080) currently trades at 21.70 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 34.21 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 57.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Arab National Bank generated revenue of 9.5B SAR at a net margin of 55.1%. Revenue grew 8.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 13.2B SAR. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 25.65 SAR (bear case) to 42.75 SAR (bull case); at 21.70 SAR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at 58%, 1080 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (33.51 SAR) versus Asset-Based (16.70 SAR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Arab National Bank provides various banking products and services in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Other GCC and the Middle East, Europe, North America, Latin America, Southeast Asia, and internationally. It operates through Retail Banking, Corporate Banking, Treasury, and Investment and Brokerage Services segments.
Full company description
Arab National Bank provides various banking products and services in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Other GCC and the Middle East, Europe, North America, Latin America, Southeast Asia, and internationally. It operates through Retail Banking, Corporate Banking, Treasury, and Investment and Brokerage Services segments. The company offers savings, Murabaha, and SME accounts; time deposits; personal, auto lease, and real estate loans; credit and debit cards; digital wallets; and investment products for individuals. It also provides loans and advances, deposits, and other credit products for corporate and institutional customers, and small and medium sized businesses; and investment management services, as well as asset management services related to dealing, managing, arranging, advising, and custody of securities. In addition, the company offers corporate and commercial banking, project and structured finance, and vision realization solutions; treasury services, such as market related products and services, international instruments, investments, government bonds and sukuk, and e-trader solutions; and transaction banking solutions comprising corporate online access, merchant solutions, collections solutions, liquidity management solutions, specialized market solutions, fintech and open banking solutions, financial solutions, guaranteed bonds, and collection documentary bills. Further, it engages in leasing of heavy equipment; and investment, purchasing, sale, and leasing of land and real estate properties, as well as provides trading and supply chain finance. Arab National Bank was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Arab National Bank reported revenue of 9.9B SAR in FY2025 versus 5.8B SAR in FY2021, a compound +14.4%/yr. Reported net income was 5.1B SAR in FY2025, compounding +23.8%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +5.7 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.3 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Banks - Regional · 1086 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA | 6,350 IDR | 4,637 IDR | -27% |
| KB Financial Group 105560 | 168,100 KRW | 220,258 KRW | +31% |
| PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI | 3,110 IDR | 3,792 IDR | +22% |
| PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI | 4,130 IDR | 6,067 IDR | +47% |
| Banco Bradesco S.A BBD | 5,120 ARS | 8,400 ARS | +64% |
| Shinhan Financial Group 055550 | 103,800 KRW | 146,032 KRW | +41% |
| Hana Financial Group 086790 | 127,900 KRW | 210,506 KRW | +65% |
| Lloyds Banking Group LYG | 4,138 ARS | 8,275 ARS | +100% |
| Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB | 59,500 VND | 45,959 VND | -23% |
| Woori Financial Group 316140 | 33,000 KRW | 60,758 KRW | +84% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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