Riyad Bank (1010) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · SA · Market cap 80.8B SAR
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 33.98 SAR to 30.26 SAR (−10.9%) since Aug 4, 2026. Share price +4.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 49% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (22.69 SAR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 13.89 SAR – 950,926 SAR · fair‑value band 22.69 SAR – 37.82 SAR · the 20.29 SAR price screens below the 30.26 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Riyad Bank (1010) currently trades at 20.29 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 30.26 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 49.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Riyad Bank generated revenue of 17.3B SAR at a net margin of 61.1%. Revenue grew 3.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.9%. Net debt stands at 1.1B SAR. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 22.69 SAR (bear case) to 37.82 SAR (bull case); at 20.29 SAR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at 49%, 1010 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (26.53 SAR) versus Asset-Based (12.70 SAR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Riyad Bank provides banking and investment services in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It operates through the Retail Banking, Investment Banking and Brokerage, Corporate Banking, and Treasury and Investments segments. The Retail Banking segment offers deposits, credit, and investment products for individuals.
Full company description
Riyad Bank provides banking and investment services in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It operates through the Retail Banking, Investment Banking and Brokerage, Corporate Banking, and Treasury and Investments segments. The Retail Banking segment offers deposits, credit, and investment products for individuals. Its Investment Banking and Brokerage segment provides investment management services, as well as asset management services related to dealing, managing, arranging, advising, and custody of securities. The Corporate Banking segment offers current accounts, deposits, loans, overdrafts, and other credit facilities for small to medium sized businesses. Its Treasury and Investments segment provides money market, trading, and treasury and derivative products and services, as well as manages investment portfolios. The company also offers credit cards; trade finance, payroll solution, point of sale; and cash deposit card; student account; time deposit; sweeping; personal, auto-lease, readymade and incomplete property, home equity, self-employed, and mortgage loans; working capital, contract, capital expenditure, and project financing; syndicated loan; Islamic banking products and services; foreign exchange products; and digital banking services. In addition, it owns, buys, and sells real estate; and acts as an agent for insurance products, as well as engages in systems analysis, application, operating systems development, hosting websites, financial technology solutions, and related activities. The company operates through a network of branches in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, the United Kingdom, the United States; and a representative office in Singapore and ATMs. Riyad Bank was incorporated in 1957 and is based in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Riyad Bank reported revenue of 18.4B SAR in FY2025 versus 11.6B SAR in FY2021, a compound +12.2%/yr. Reported net income was 10.4B SAR in FY2025, compounding +14.7%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +9.0 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch 1010: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Banks - Regional · 1086 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA | 6,350 IDR | 4,637 IDR | -27% |
| KB Financial Group 105560 | 168,100 KRW | 220,258 KRW | +31% |
| PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI | 3,110 IDR | 3,792 IDR | +22% |
| PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI | 4,130 IDR | 6,067 IDR | +47% |
| Banco Bradesco S.A BBD | 5,120 ARS | 8,400 ARS | +64% |
| Shinhan Financial Group 055550 | 103,800 KRW | 146,032 KRW | +41% |
| Hana Financial Group 086790 | 127,900 KRW | 210,506 KRW | +65% |
| Lloyds Banking Group LYG | 4,138 ARS | 8,275 ARS | +100% |
| Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB | 59,500 VND | 45,959 VND | -23% |
| Woori Financial Group 316140 | 33,000 KRW | 60,758 KRW | +84% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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