Hainan Strait Shipping Co Ltd (002320) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 15.7B CNY (≈ $2.3B) · ISIN CNE100000HZ7
What is Hainan Strait Shipping Co Ltd really worth?
A solid business, but trading 335% above our fair value of ¥1.63.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 17, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Share price +3.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.50 – ¥15.33 · fair‑value band ¥1.37 – ¥2.03 · the ¥7.09 price screens above the ¥1.63 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.
Analysis
Hainan Strait Shipping Co Ltd (002320) currently trades at ¥7.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.63, implying the stock looks roughly 335.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ¥7.07 per share, and 8 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥7.09 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥1.12, and 18 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Hainan Strait Shipping Co Ltd generated revenue of 5.2B CNY at a net margin of 3.5%. Revenue grew 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.8%. Net debt stands at 690M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.37 (bear case) to ¥2.03 (bull case); at ¥7.09, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at −77%, 002320 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.0271 per share, which is 1.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥7.07) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.12). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Hainan Strait Shipping Co.,Ltd. provides shipping and ferry port services in China. The company operates passenger, vehicle, and roll-on/roll-off ferry routes. It also engages in business services; loading, unloading, and warehousing services; ship vessel leasing; machinery and equipment operation and leasing; and commercial service activities.
Full company description
Hainan Strait Shipping Co.,Ltd. provides shipping and ferry port services in China. The company operates passenger, vehicle, and roll-on/roll-off ferry routes. It also engages in business services; loading, unloading, and warehousing services; ship vessel leasing; machinery and equipment operation and leasing; and commercial service activities. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Haikou, China. Hainan Strait Shipping Co.,Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Hainan Port and Waterway Holding Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hainan Strait Shipping Co Ltd reported revenue of 5.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.4B CNY in FY2021, a compound +38.3%/yr. Reported net income was 173M CNY in FY2025, compounding −10.2%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +22.3 % · buybacks/dilution −2.1 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
002320 screens 335% overvalued. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →
Peer Group
Marine Shipping · 233 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS | ₹1,714 | ₹1,041 | −39% |
| A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA | kr 20,820 | kr 20,145 | −3% |
| 532921 532921 | ₹1,697 | ₹1,305 | −23% |
| COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 | ¥16.06 | ¥49.90 | +211% |
| Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, HLAG | €132.80 | €88.00 | −34% |
| Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 | ¥5.17 | ¥6.15 | +19% |
| HMM Co 011200 | 21,450 KRW | 33,795 KRW | +58% |
| Orient Overseas (International) Limited 0316 | HK$166.90 | HK$237.61 | +42% |
| Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 | ¥3.39 | ¥5.58 | +65% |
| Qingdao Port International Co 601298 | ¥8.69 | ¥15.97 | +84% |
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