China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 20.9B CNY (≈ $3.1B) · ISIN CNE000000222
What is China Baoan Group Co Ltd really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 328% above our fair value of ¥1.65.
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Share price −7.5% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.07). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.00 – ¥28.57 · fair‑value band ¥1.24 – ¥2.07 · the ¥7.07 price screens above the ¥1.65 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
Analysis
China Baoan Group Co Ltd (000009) currently trades at ¥7.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.65, implying the stock looks roughly 328.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥2.60 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the ¥7.07 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.15, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, China Baoan Group Co Ltd generated revenue of 24.0B CNY at a net margin of 0.2%. Revenue grew 19.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.3%. Net debt stands at 8.4B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.24 (bear case) to ¥2.07 (bull case); at ¥7.07, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at −77%, 000009 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥2.60) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.15). Highest evidence: Residual Income (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
China Baoan Group Co., Ltd. produces and sells lithium-ion battery negative electrode materials. It offers electric vehicle AC and DC charging connectors, precision metal parts, automotive core components, precision hydraulic components, consumer electronics parts, CNC machine tools, and industrial robots.
Full company description
China Baoan Group Co., Ltd. produces and sells lithium-ion battery negative electrode materials. It offers electric vehicle AC and DC charging connectors, precision metal parts, automotive core components, precision hydraulic components, consumer electronics parts, CNC machine tools, and industrial robots. The company is also involved in pharmaceutical production and sales; hospital medical services, and organic agriculture; production and sale of technical pesticides, biological pesticides, biological fertilizers, microbial agents, biological feeds, Chinese and western medicines, and other products; organic agriculture and other fields; and providing hospital diagnosis and treatment services. In addition, it engages in real estate development business, investment and financing, mining and mineral resource mining, and other fields, as well as development of tourism resource and resort, and operating project investments, property management, warehousing and logistics, and other industries. The company was founded in 1983 and is based in Shenzhen, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Baoan Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 23.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 17.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was 203M CNY in FY2025, compounding −33.5%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +22.5 % · buybacks/dilution −0.4 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
000009 screens 328% overvalued. Compare with ITOCHU Corporation →
Peer Group
Conglomerates · 375 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ITOCHU Corporation ITOCHU19 | 7.20 THB | 14.40 THB | +100% |
| 3M Company MMM | $178.83 | $76.87 | −57% |
| Honeywell International Inc HON | $217.43 | $218.95 | +1% |
| CITIC Limited 0267 | HK$13.02 | HK$26.04 | +100% |
| Poste Italiane S.p.A PST | €26.90 | €7.65 | −72% |
| Swire Pacific Limited 0019 | HK$106.30 | HK$36.88 | −65% |
| SK Inc 034730 | 553,000 KRW | 615,077 KRW | +11% |
| PT Astra International Tbk, ASII | 4,800 IDR | 9,600 IDR | +100% |
| Jardine Matheson Holdings J36 | $59.10 | $79.11 | +34% |
| Kingboard Holdings 0148 | HK$45.52 | HK$32.91 | −28% |
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