Yara International ASA (YAR) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · NO · Market cap 115B NOK (≈ $12.4B) · ISIN NO0010208051
What is Yara International ASA really worth?
A solid business, trading 27% below our fair value of kr 630.39.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 20, 2026, revised from kr 67.25 to kr 630.39 (+837.4%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +8.0% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (kr 397.68 to kr 964.67) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 272.18 – kr 572.42 · fair‑value band kr 397.68 – kr 964.67 · the kr 457.40 price screens below the kr 630.39 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
Analysis
Yara International ASA (YAR) currently trades at kr 457.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 630.39, implying the stock looks roughly 27.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of kr 91.36 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the kr 457.40 price. Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at kr 63.82, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Yara International ASA generated revenue of 16.2B NOK at a net margin of 8.6%. Revenue grew 16.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.9%. Net debt stands at 2.7B NOK. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 397.68 (bear case) to kr 964.67 (bull case); at kr 457.40, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 4% fair-value upside, at 38%, YAR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly kr 19.76 per share, which is 3.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (kr 91.36) versus Dividend Discount (kr 5.98). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Yara International ASA provides crop nutrition, ammonia, and industrial solutions in Norway, European Union, Europe, Africa, Asia, North America, Latin America, Australia, and New Zealand.
Full company description
Yara International ASA provides crop nutrition, ammonia, and industrial solutions in Norway, European Union, Europe, Africa, Asia, North America, Latin America, Australia, and New Zealand. The company offers ammonium- and urea-based fertilizers; compound fertilizers that contain nutrients, such as nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium; coatings; biostimulants; organic-based fertilizers; climate choice fertilizers; and nitrate-based fertilizers, as well as foliar and fertigation solutions; and nitrate, calcium nitrate, micronutrient, and urea fertilizers. It also provides digital solutions, such as YaraFX Insight, an agricultural API that connects unparalleled crop nutrition expertise with digital platforms; N-sensors, a tractor-mounted sensor; N-Tester, a handheld tool that measures chlorophyll content; YaraPlus, a digital platform to support crop nutrition decisions; Atfarm, a digital toolbox for farmer; Tankmix, an app and web solutions that provides guidelines; Yara E-commerce, a platform that enables customer access to nutritional solutions; Yara FarmCare, a mobile app for farmers; Yara AllFarm, a farm management platform; YaraConnect, a mobile app for retailers; and Yara Crop Nutrition Recommendation System, a service that helps farmers to make decisions for crop management. The company sells its products under YaraBela, YaraMila, YaraLiva, YaraVita, YaraAmplix, YaraRega, YaraTera, YaraSuna, and YaraVera brand names. Yara International ASA was founded in 1905 and is based in Oslo, Norway.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Yara International ASA reported revenue of $15.6B in FY2025 versus $16.6B in FY2021, a compound −1.5%/yr. Reported net income was $1.4B in FY2025, compounding +32.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +2.4 % · buybacks/dilution +1.0 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Ammonia Market Report 2026-2036 Now Available; Surpasses $89.95B in Global Revenue for 2026, Profiling BASF, Yara International, CF Industri
- Are Investors Undervaluing Yara International ASA (YARIY) Right Now?
- Following Yara International and Nutrien's Expansion in Fertigation and Water-Soluble Formulations, New Study Projects 7.8% CAGR for Special
- Is Yara International ASA (YARIY) Stock Undervalued Right Now?
Peer Group
Agricultural Inputs · 175 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corteva, Inc CTVA | $78.57 | $27.81 | −65% |
| Nutrien Ltd NTR | C$103.71 | C$113.16 | +9% |
| Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 | ¥27.65 | ¥21.26 | −23% |
| CF Industries Holdings CF | $125.79 | $161.00 | +28% |
| SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 | 122.90 SAR | 127.31 SAR | +4% |
| Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 | ¥31.58 | ¥42.12 | +33% |
| The Mosaic Company MOS | $23.60 | $28.68 | +22% |
| Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 | ¥45.86 | ¥38.01 | −17% |
| ICL Group ICL | $5.47 | $2.98 | −46% |
| Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL | ₹2,039 | ₹817.06 | −60% |
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