Yunnan Yuntianhua Co Ltd (600096) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 54.9B CNY (≈ $8.2B) · ISIN CNE000000S01
What is Yunnan Yuntianhua Co Ltd really worth?
A solid business, trading 27% below our fair value of ¥42.12.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Share price +2.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (¥30.60 to ¥65.64) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.72 – ¥44.55 · fair‑value band ¥30.60 – ¥65.64 · the ¥30.80 price screens below the ¥42.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
Analysis
Yunnan Yuntianhua Co Ltd (600096) currently trades at ¥30.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥42.12, implying the stock looks roughly 26.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥68.24 per share, and 22 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥30.80 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥9.03, and 4 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Yunnan Yuntianhua Co Ltd generated revenue of 47.4B CNY at a net margin of 11.2%. Revenue declined 8.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.7%. Net debt stands at 7.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥30.60 (bear case) to ¥65.64 (bull case); at ¥30.80, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 4% fair-value upside, at 37%, 600096 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥1.01 per share, which is 2.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥68.24) versus Asset-Based (¥9.03). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Yunnan Yuntianhua Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells fertilizers in China and internationally.
Full company description
Yunnan Yuntianhua Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells fertilizers in China and internationally. It offers phosphate, commercial, and compound fertilizers; commercial grain; urea; polyoxymethylene; coal; feed grade calcium phosphate; phosphate rock; phosphoric acid; liquid ammonia; pentaerythritol; and other chemical raw materials and products. The company is also involved in phosphate mining and beneficiation; and commerce and logistics. It exports its products. The company was founded in 1997 and is based in Kunming, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Yunnan Yuntianhua Co Ltd reported revenue of 48.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 64.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound −6.8%/yr. Reported net income was 5.2B CNY in FY2025, compounding +9.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Agricultural Inputs · 175 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 35/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corteva, Inc CTVA | $78.57 | $27.81 | −65% |
| Nutrien Ltd NTR | C$103.71 | C$113.16 | +9% |
| Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 | ¥27.65 | ¥21.26 | −23% |
| CF Industries Holdings CF | $125.79 | $161.00 | +28% |
| SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 | 122.90 SAR | 127.31 SAR | +4% |
| Yara International ASA YAR | kr 437.20 | kr 630.39 | +44% |
| The Mosaic Company MOS | $23.60 | $28.68 | +22% |
| Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 | ¥45.86 | ¥38.01 | −17% |
| ICL Group ICL | $5.47 | $2.98 | −46% |
| Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL | ₹2,039 | ₹817.06 | −60% |
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