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Corteva Inc (CTVA) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $57.3B · ISIN US22052L1044

What is Corteva Inc really worth?

CI Corteva Inc logo Corteva Inc CTVA · US
Price$88.62
Fair Value$27.81
Upside−68.6%
Quality70/100

A solid business, but trading 219% above our fair value of $27.81.

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Strengths

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +4.1 %/yr)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Thin margins · 6.5% net margin
!Trails peers (5/15)
!Moderate moat 52/100
!Weak on past: 21 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 16 out of 100

For context

·0.81% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $20.86 – $34.76

Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +13.2% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($34.76). The favourable scenario is already priced in.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$90.51 $38.77 Fair Value $27.81 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $38.77 – $90.51 · fair‑value band $20.86 – $34.76 · the $88.62 price screens above the $27.81 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Corteva Inc (CTVA) currently trades at $88.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $27.81, implying the stock looks roughly 218.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $50.11 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the $88.62 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $9.18, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Corteva Inc generated revenue of $17.9B at a net margin of 6.5%. Revenue grew 11.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $20.86 (bear case) to $34.76 (bull case); at $88.62, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at −69%, CTVA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.7678 per share, which is 2.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $47.84 $65.10 $90.94 81
Growth DCF $49.35 $65.80 $89.29 79
Owner Earnings $30.66 $41.12 $56.78 77
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $47.84 $65.10 $90.94 81
Owner Earnings $30.66 $41.12 $56.78 77
5Y Revenue Exit $36.39 $49.37 $65.64 73
5Y EBITDA Exit $43.83 $62.31 $83.40 76
5Y P/E Exit $31.78 $41.36 $51.06 72
10Y Revenue Exit $39.59 $51.79 $65.94 68
10Y EBITDA Exit $44.97 $60.43 $78.43 69
10Y P/E Exit $37.50 $46.44 $55.67 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $11.12 $22.26 $27.97 66
EPV $34.64 $39.71 $44.14 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $6.52 $9.36 $12.30 69
DDM Multi-Stage $6.52 $9.18 $12.26 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $20.86 $27.81 $34.76 63
P/S Multiple $20.86 $27.81 $34.76 58
P/B Multiple $20.86 $27.81 $34.76 55
EV/EBIT $45.36 $59.06 $72.77 66
EV/EBITDA $47.10 $61.38 $75.67 67
EV/Revenue $31.56 $43.27 $54.97 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $18.05 $24.19 $36.10 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $49.35 $65.80 $89.29 79
Rev-Margin DCF $36.39 $50.11 $65.22 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $27.39 $27.53 $25.74 76
ROIC Compounder $34.64 $40.59 $47.31 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $15.29 $21.85 $28.40 67

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($50.11) versus Dividend Discount ($9.18). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 47.9
P/S ratio 3.01 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $1.85 price ÷ EPS = P/E 47.9
Dividend yield 0.8% payout 38.9%
Net margin 6.3% FY2025
Return on equity 5.1% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.2% avg 5y
Operating margin 23.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $17.9B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.0% 3y avg −0.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +12.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $2.8B FY2025
Net cash $1.9B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 70/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 80
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 83
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 57
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 80
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Corteva, Inc. operates in the agriculture business. The company operates through two segments, Seed and Crop Protection. The Seed segment develops and supplies advanced germplasm and traits that produce optimum yield for farms.

Full company description

Corteva, Inc. operates in the agriculture business. The company operates through two segments, Seed and Crop Protection. The Seed segment develops and supplies advanced germplasm and traits that produce optimum yield for farms. It offers trait technologies that enhance resistance to weather, disease, insects, and herbicides used to control weeds, as well as food and nutritional characteristics. This segment also provides digital solutions that assist farmer decision-making with a view to optimize product selection, and maximize yield and profitability. The Crop Protection segment offers products that protect against weeds, insects and other pests, and diseases, as well as enhances crop health above and below ground through nitrogen management and seed-applied technologies. This segment provides herbicides, insecticides, nitrogen stabilizers, and pasture and range management herbicides. It serves agricultural input industry. The company operates in the United States, Canada, Latin America, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. Corteva, Inc. was founded in 1802 and is headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Corteva Inc reported revenue of $17.4B in FY2025 versus $15.7B in FY2021, a compound +2.7%/yr. Reported net income was $1.1B in FY2025, compounding −11.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$17.4B
Latest YoY
+2.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (9Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.4%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+0.6% (−0.2 + 0.8)
Revenue +2.7%/yr
FY21 $15.7B
FY22 $17.5B
FY23 $17.2B
FY24 $16.9B
FY25 $17.4B
Net income −11.2%/yr
FY21 $1.8B
FY22 $1.1B
FY23 $735M
FY24 $907M
FY25 $1.1B

CTVA screens 219% overvalued. Compare with Nutrien Ltd →

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Corteva Inc · Fair Value
$27.81 −219%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Corteva Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CTVA

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Agricultural Inputs · 175 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −69% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 24% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.07× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 47.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.37× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.20× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 20.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 13.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 1.44× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 24
FUTURE55 · sector 45
PAST21 · sector 25
HEALTH97 · sector 97
DIVIDEND16 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 35/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nutrien Ltd NTR C$103.71 C$113.16 +9%
Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 ¥27.65 ¥21.26 −23%
CF Industries Holdings CF $125.79 $161.00 +28%
SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 122.90 SAR 127.31 SAR +4%
Yara International ASA YAR kr 437.20 kr 630.39 +44%
Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 ¥31.58 ¥42.12 +33%
The Mosaic Company MOS $23.60 $28.68 +22%
Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 ¥45.86 ¥38.01 −17%
ICL Group ICL $5.47 $2.98 −46%
Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL ₹2,039 ₹817.06 −60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Corteva Inc (CTVA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $27.81 versus a price of $88.62, about −69% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CTVA?
Our model-based fair value for Corteva Inc is $27.81 (as of Aug 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $88.62.
What is the quality score of CTVA?
Corteva Inc has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Corteva Inc (CTVA)?
Corteva Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $17.9B (latest available figure, as of Aug 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CTVA?
The net profit margin of Corteva Inc is about 6.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Corteva Inc pay a dividend?
Corteva Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.81% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 21, 2026).
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