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Asia Potash International Investment Guangzhou Co Ltd (000893) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 44.9B CNY (≈ $6.7B) · ISIN CNE000000XS0

What is Asia Potash International Investment Guangzhou Co Ltd really worth?

AP Asia Potash International Investment Guangzhou Co Ltd 000893 · SHE
Price¥48.41
Fair Value¥38.01
Upside−21.5%
Quality59/100

A solid business, but trading 27% above our fair value of ¥38.01.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 32.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 76/100

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +71.1 %/yr)
!Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
!Weak on valuation: 5 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 5 out of 100

For context

·0.23% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range ¥20.93 – ¥47.51

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥20.93 to ¥47.51) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥69.03 ¥10.69 Fair Value ¥38.01 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥10.69 – ¥69.03 · fair‑value band ¥20.93 – ¥47.51 · the ¥48.41 price screens above the ¥38.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Asia Potash International Investment Guangzhou Co Ltd (000893) currently trades at ¥48.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥38.01, implying the stock looks roughly 27.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥53.69 per share, and 5 of the 24 models we run sit above the ¥48.41 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥9.69, and 19 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Asia Potash International Investment Guangzhou Co Ltd generated revenue of 5.6B CNY at a net margin of 32.5%. Revenue grew 22.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.0%. Net debt stands at 760M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥20.93 (bear case) to ¥47.51 (bull case); at ¥48.41, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 65% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at −21%, 000893 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥1.27 per share, which is 3.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ¥6.69 ¥10.91 ¥24.11 75
EPV ¥20.26 ¥23.71 ¥26.73 74
Growth DCF ¥6.28 ¥12.18 ¥24.00 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥6.69 ¥10.91 ¥24.11 75
Owner Earnings ¥8.29 ¥19.46 ¥42.89 70
5Y Revenue Exit ¥6.20 ¥11.77 ¥23.01 68
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥24.24 ¥49.59 ¥97.77 70
5Y P/E Exit ¥22.24 ¥53.34 ¥95.22 67
10Y Revenue Exit ¥6.08 ¥13.93 ¥21.22 65
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥19.26 ¥50.25 ¥111.62 62
10Y P/E Exit ¥17.83 ¥46.23 ¥98.85 58
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥12.31 ¥85.84 ¥120.46 63
Lynch FV ¥28.42 ¥40.60 ¥52.78 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥28.42 ¥40.60 ¥52.78 57
EPV ¥20.26 ¥23.71 ¥26.73 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥28.51 ¥38.01 ¥47.51 63
P/S Multiple ¥6.92 ¥9.22 ¥11.53 58
P/B Multiple ¥23.08 ¥30.77 ¥38.46 55
EV/EBIT ¥30.36 ¥40.63 ¥50.90 66
EV/EBITDA ¥30.79 ¥41.20 ¥51.62 67
EV/Revenue ¥5.59 ¥8.18 ¥10.78 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥7.23 ¥9.69 ¥14.46 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥6.28 ¥12.18 ¥24.00 74
Rev-Margin DCF ¥6.20 ¥13.29 ¥24.27 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥13.58 ¥16.45 ¥36.65 70
ROIC Compounder ¥24.94 ¥37.33 ¥46.36 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥37.58 ¥53.69 ¥69.80 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥53.69) versus Asset-Based (¥9.69). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (75).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 24.3
P/S ratio 7.64 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥1.99 price ÷ EPS = P/E 24.3
Dividend yield 0.2% payout 5.5%
Net margin 31.4% FY2025
Return on equity 14.0% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 10.1% avg 5y
Operating margin 42.2% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 5.6B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +22.7% 3y avg +15.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +38.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 397M CNY FY2025
Net debt 760M CNY FY2025 · ≈ 1.9 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 73
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 83
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 24
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 62
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 54
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 70
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 58
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the processing, production, sale, and marketing of potash fertilizers in China and internationally. It is also involved in the potash mining; overseas dry bulk carrier and logistic activities; entrepot trade businesses; and the provision of logistic services.

Full company description

Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the processing, production, sale, and marketing of potash fertilizers in China and internationally. It is also involved in the potash mining; overseas dry bulk carrier and logistic activities; entrepot trade businesses; and the provision of logistic services. The company was formerly known as Donlinks International Investment Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Asia-Potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd. in September 2020. Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1998 and is based in Guangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Asia Potash International Investment Guangzhou Co Ltd reported revenue of 5.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 839M CNY in FY2021, a compound +58.7%/yr. Reported net income was 1.7B CNY in FY2025, compounding +16.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
5.3B CNY
Latest YoY
+50.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+71.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (30Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.8%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+87.4% (87.2 + 0.2)
Revenue +58.7%/yr
FY21 839M CNY
FY22 3.5B CNY
FY23 3.9B CNY
FY24 3.5B CNY
FY25 5.3B CNY
Net income +16.8%/yr
FY21 899M CNY
FY22 2.0B CNY
FY23 1.2B CNY
FY24 950M CNY
FY25 1.7B CNY
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) +24.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share −18.1 %

of which total revenue −11.2 % · buybacks/dilution −7.8 %

EBIT margin +56.3 %
Tax rate +0.2 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −2.9 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

000893 screens 27% overvalued. Compare with Corteva, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Asia Potash International Investment Guangzhou Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000893

Peer Group

Agricultural Inputs · 175 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside −22% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Above median
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 33% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 42% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 23% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.13× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 24.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.36× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 8.01× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 16.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 14.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 2.08× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE5 · sector 24
FUTURE100 · sector 45
PAST56 · sector 25
HEALTH94 · sector 97
DIVIDEND5 · sector 40

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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ICL Group ICL $5.47 $2.98 −46%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Asia Potash International Investment Guangzhou Co Ltd (000893) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥38.01 versus a price of ¥48.41, about −21% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000893?
Our model-based fair value for Asia Potash International Investment Guangzhou Co Ltd is ¥38.01 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥48.41.
What is the quality score of 000893?
Asia Potash International Investment Guangzhou Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Asia Potash International Investment Guangzhou Co Ltd (000893)?
Asia Potash International Investment Guangzhou Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000893?
The net profit margin of Asia Potash International Investment Guangzhou Co Ltd is about 32.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 32.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Asia Potash International Investment Guangzhou Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Asia Potash International Investment Guangzhou Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.23% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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