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Uranium Royalty Corp (UROY) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $431M · ISIN CA91702V1013

What is Uranium Royalty Corp really worth?

UR Uranium Royalty Corp logo Uranium Royalty Corp UROY · US
Price$4.44
Fair Value$1.62
Upside−63.5%
Quality18/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 174% above our fair value of $1.62.

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Strengths

Ranks above peers (6/10)

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +4.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 8.0% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 36/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 5 out of 100
Evidence: Low Range $1.07 – $2.02

Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated today

Share price +32.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.02). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (18/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($1.07 to $2.02) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$5.78 $1.47 Fair Value $1.62 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.47 – $5.78 · fair‑value band $1.07 – $2.02 · the $4.44 price screens above the $1.62 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

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Analysis

Uranium Royalty Corp (UROY) currently trades at $4.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.62, implying the stock looks roughly 174.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 18/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

It earns a return on equity of 1.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $12.8M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 148.0. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.07 (bear case) to $2.02 (bull case); at $4.44, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 94% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −66% fair-value upside, at −64%, UROY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 12 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.0300 per share, which is 1.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) best evidence $1.01 $1.35 $2.01 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) best evidence $1.01 $1.35 $2.01 54

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 148.0
P/S ratio 7.89 TTM
EPS (TTM) $0.0300 price ÷ EPS = P/E 148.0
Net margin −36.3% FY2025
Return on equity 1.3% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −1.2% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 17.8% TTM
Growth
EPS growth (YoY) +462%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$21.5M FY2025
Net cash $12.8M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 18/100

Of which business quality 24 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 3
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 2
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 69
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Uranium Royalty Corp. operates as a pure-play uranium royalty company in Canada, the United States, Namibia, and Spain. It engages in the acquisition and assembly of a portfolio of royalties; investment in companies with exposure to uranium and physical uranium; and purchase and sale of physical uranium.

Full company description

Uranium Royalty Corp. operates as a pure-play uranium royalty company in Canada, the United States, Namibia, and Spain. It engages in the acquisition and assembly of a portfolio of royalties; investment in companies with exposure to uranium and physical uranium; and purchase and sale of physical uranium. The company also owns and manages a portfolio of geographically diversified uranium interests. Uranium Royalty Corp. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Uranium Royalty Corp reported revenue of C$15.6M in FY2025 versus C$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −C$5.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 9/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$15.6M
Latest YoY
−63.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.0%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue
FY21 C$0
FY22 C$13.9M
FY23 C$13.9M
FY24 C$42.7M
FY25 C$15.6M
Net income
FY21 −C$1.4M
FY22 −C$4.3M
FY23 −C$5.8M
FY24 C$9.8M
FY25 −C$5.7M

UROY screens 174% overvalued. Compare with China National Uranium Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Uranium Royalty Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UROY

Peer Group

Uranium · 26 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 24 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −64% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Above median
Return on assets 0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Uranium median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 148.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.46× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 7.89× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST5 · sector 0
HEALTH98 · sector 97
DIVIDEND0 · sector 11

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Uranium stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China National Uranium Co 001280 ¥63.29 ¥16.71 −74%
NexGen Energy Ltd NXE $9.93 $1.03 −90%
Sprott Physical Uranium Trust Fund UU $18.61 $29.76 +60%
Centrus Energy Corp LEU $170.46 $58.25 −66%
CGN Mining Company 1164 HK$2.87 HK$1.01 −65%
Deep Yellow Limited DYL A$1.75 A$0.3000 −83%
IsoEnergy Ltd ISO C$15.59 C$1.59 −90%
Bannerman Energy Ltd BMN A$3.63 A$3.63 +0%
Boss Energy Limited BOE A$1.53 A$0.3600 −76%
enCore Energy Corp EU C$1.93 C$0.7900 −59%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Uranium Royalty Corp (UROY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.62 versus a price of $4.44, about −64% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of UROY?
Our model-based fair value for Uranium Royalty Corp is $1.62 (as of Sep 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.44.
What is the quality score of UROY?
Uranium Royalty Corp has a Quality Score of 18/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of UROY?
The net profit margin of Uranium Royalty Corp is about 8.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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