China National Uranium Co Ltd (001280) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what China National Uranium Co Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
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Energy · CN · Market cap 140B CNY (≈ $20.8B)
At a glance
CNChina National Uranium Co Ltd001280 · SHE
Price¥67.47
Fair Value¥14.20
Upside−79.0%
Quality41/100
Below-average quality, and trading another 375% above our fair value of ¥14.20.
As of Sep 11, 2026, the fair value of China National Uranium Co Ltd is ¥14.20 per share against a price of ¥67.47, so the fair value sits 79% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +23.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 8.4% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (8/12)
!Moderate moat 53/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 2 out of 100
Evidence: MediumRange ¥10.65 to ¥17.75
Fair value as of: Sep 11, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated today
Share price +4.8% over the past month.
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥17.75). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (9 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
9‑month range ¥56.64 – ¥100.25 · fair‑value band ¥10.65 – ¥17.75 · the ¥67.47 price screens above the ¥14.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Sep 11, 2026.
China National Uranium Co Ltd (001280) currently trades at ¥67.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥14.20, implying the stock looks roughly 375.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥21.36 per share, and 0 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥67.47 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥5.47, and 17 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, China National Uranium Co Ltd generated revenue of 17.3B CNY at a net margin of 8.4%. It earns a return on equity of 15.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.3B CNY. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 74.1. Fundamentals as of Sep 11, 2026
Scenario range: ¥10.65 (bear) to ¥17.75 (bull), the price of ¥67.47 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −65% fair-value upside, at −79%, 001280 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.6333 per share) are deliberately not added.
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (¥1.04 to ¥36.89). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
ModelBear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence
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Key figures & financial health
P/E ratio74.1
P/S ratio6.13P/E × margin
EPS (TTM)¥0.9100price ÷ EPS = P/E 74.1
Dividend yield0.1%payout 6.9%
Net margin8.3%FY2025
Return on equity15.5%TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT)9.0%avg 5y
Operating margin13.7%TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM)17.3B CNYTTM
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow−4.5B CNYFY2025
Net cash1.3B CNYFY2024
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality41/100
Of which business quality 41
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23
Profitability38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength89
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment21
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility18
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum28
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance47
Buybacks instead of dilution
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
China National Uranium Co., Ltd. engages in the mining, smelting, sale, and trading of natural uranium resources in China and internationally. The company offers monazite, uranium-molybdenum, and tantalum-niobium products; and natural uranium, rare earth chloride, ammonium tetramolybdate, tantalum pentoxide, niobium pentoxide, and other related products.
Full company description
China National Uranium Co., Ltd. engages in the mining, smelting, sale, and trading of natural uranium resources in China and internationally. The company offers monazite, uranium-molybdenum, and tantalum-niobium products; and natural uranium, rare earth chloride, ammonium tetramolybdate, tantalum pentoxide, niobium pentoxide, and other related products. China National Uranium Co., Ltd. was founded in 1989 and is based in Beijing, China. China National Uranium Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of China National Nuclear Corporation.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China National Uranium Co Ltd reported revenue of 19.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 8.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound +22.3%/yr. Reported net income was 1.6B CNY in FY2025, compounding +18.9%/yr from FY2021.
Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
19.9B CNY
Latest YoY
+15.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+23.6%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+15.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+15.7%
Dividend yield0.1%
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12.3% (2021) → 14.8% (2025) · rising
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE0· sector 0
FUTURE0· sector 0
PAST62· sector 0
HEALTH89· sector 97
DIVIDEND2· sector 12
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Oil & gas
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10 more Uranium stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 11, 2026).
Is China National Uranium Co Ltd (001280) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥14.20 versus a price of ¥67.47, about −79% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 001280?
Our model-based fair value for China National Uranium Co Ltd is ¥14.20 (as of Sep 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥67.47.
What is the quality score of 001280?
China National Uranium Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China National Uranium Co Ltd (001280)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥14.20 (as of Sep 11, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥10.65, optimistic scenario ¥17.75. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China National Uranium Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥14.20, about −79% upside versus a price of ¥67.47 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥10.65, optimistic scenario ¥17.75. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China National Uranium Co Ltd (001280)?
China National Uranium Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 17.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 001280?
The net profit margin of China National Uranium Co Ltd is about 8.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does China National Uranium Co Ltd pay a dividend?
China National Uranium Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.09% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 11, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China National Uranium Co Ltd (001280)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China National Uranium Co Ltd it is ¥14.20 per share (as of Sep 11, 2026), against a price of ¥67.47. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China National Uranium Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 11, 2026, 001280 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥67.47, fair value ¥14.20, a gap of about −79% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 001280?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥67.47); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥14.20). For China National Uranium Co Ltd the two are ¥53.27 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China National Uranium Co Ltd worth?
The market values China National Uranium Co Ltd at about 140B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 11, 2026). Per share that is ¥67.47; our models calculate a fair value of ¥14.20 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 001280?
Our models span a range for China National Uranium Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥10.65, base ¥14.20, optimistic ¥17.75 per share (as of Sep 11, 2026, price ¥67.47). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 001280?
China National Uranium Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 74.1 (as of Sep 11, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥14.20 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 6.9, P/S 6.8, EV/EBITDA 48.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of China National Uranium Co Ltd (001280)?
Balance-sheet figures for China National Uranium Co Ltd (as of Sep 11, 2026): return on equity 15.5%, debt of 0.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 001280 from its 52-week high?
China National Uranium Co Ltd trades at ¥67.47, about 36% below its 52-week high of ¥104.87 and 15% above the low of ¥58.88 (as of Sep 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥14.20 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China National Uranium Co Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value NexGen Energy Ltd, Sprott Physical Uranium Trust Fund, Centrus Energy Corp, CGN Mining Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China National Uranium Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 11, 2026: price ¥67.47, calculated fair value ¥14.20 (−79%), Quality Score 41/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 001280 calculated?
We run China National Uranium Co Ltd through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥14.20, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 32.6 % above its aggregate fair value. China National Uranium Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on <a href="/is-it-worth-investing-now/">is it worth investing now</a>.
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